Why does what @RepMattGaetz is doing matter to economists?
When I was 11, our family took our first big vacation to Grand Cayman Island
I remember my dad handing my sister and I each a hotel key card with one instruction—“Don’t lose this”
48 hours into the week long vacation, we discovered the key cards were, in fact, magic
You see, they operated as de facto credit cards for anything you wished to purchase at the resort
“Just charge it to our room”
Ice cream served poolside, candy, toys at the gift shop, suddenly everything was within our reach with the possession of this little card
We did what any children would do—we used the cards. It was a gloriously fun vacation :)
Then came the last day
At check out, the bill comes due. The ITEMIZED bill.
“WHAT IN THE WORLD ARE ALL THESE LITTLE CHARGES?” Dad’s eyes were bulging out of his head
Suddenly we had to account for every single tiny, “just add it to the room” charge
There was a lot of austerity and garnishing of allowance in the weeks following that trip, but we learned a valuable lesson:
THE BILL ALWAYS COMES DUE
For the last 20+ years, America has been living and spending as if the bill never comes due
All of us
Our government does it, our corporations do it, our people do it
BUT THE BILL IS COMING DUE
I don’t know when and I don’t know how, but I know that it is
In what way and by whom is it going to be paid?
THAT is what most younger generations want a politician—ANY politician from ANY party—to answer for us. But they don’t. They won’t.
Love him or hate him, Matt stepping forward to ACKNOWLEDGE our debt problem and call out lawmakers for their “just add a line item to every spending bill and we will do this forever without term limits” mentality is a step in the right direction
🎤 drop
And this may be a very unpopular opinion, but try to objectively look at how a person is doing their public job
Sex scandals are everywhere and aren’t partisan
Bill Clinton and JFK were good presidents who had their share of private life failings with women
This tweet blew up a lot more than I expected
I typically avoid both long form tweets and politics like the plague 😂
I post about housing, macroeconomics and how the US debt spiral is impacting millennials/Gen Z
Follow me @texasrunnerDFW if you’re interested in these topics
• • •
Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to
force a refresh
Many experienced trauma during the GFC—losing homes, jobs, families
Now, we have housing PTSD
As veterans returning from war hear fireworks & flinch, thinking, “bomb!”
Today, we flinch at the rapid home price appreciation since 2020
Feels familiar
1/7
But what if it’s not a bomb this time?
What if, instead, it’s fireworks? 💥
The fireworks of an exploding money supply and currency devaluation combined w/massive pandemic demographic + geographic shifts colliding with tight housing supply
2/7
In the years leading up to the GFC, M2 money supply was growing well within historical norms
In the 2020 post-Covid era, M2 grew by a whopping 40%
All this newly printed money found a new home for itself in asset prices
Seller financing is when the seller of a property works out loan terms with a buyer, without rigorous underwriting standards from a traditional bank or lender
It’s sometimes called a wraparound mortgage
2/8
Seller financing is a private loan with NO pre-qualifications
It enables sellers to find a buyer at the price they want to sell for, who may not otherwise qualify for a loan
Win-win, right?
So, what’s the downside?
A little something called a “Due on Sale Clause”
3/8
“When credit was tight after the financial crisis, acquiring firms, led by Blackstone, figured out a way to generate more of it by creating a NEW FINANCIAL INSTRUMENT”
(remember how well those worked in the 2008 crisis?)
3/9