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It's time to talk about the AFU's Avdiivka🦃 shoot of the RuAF.
The @PStyle0ne1 account had a very nice thread posting many videos of the failed Russian assault.
Check them out and come back here to read the rest of my thread.
Avdiivka🦃 shoot🧵
1/
The @PStyle0ne1 account had a very nice thread posting many videos of the failed Russian assault.
Check them out and come back here to read the rest of my thread.
Avdiivka🦃 shoot🧵
1/
https://twitter.com/PStyle0ne1/status/1712136954442092717
The Denis Pyatigorets account on facebook gives the following run down of RuAF losses in the battle to date.
19 artillery systems
19 UAV
34 Tanks
91 armored vehicles (BTR/BMP/MTLB)
24 units of different machinery (Trucks, etc)
And one more VKS jet.
2/
facebook.com/denis.pyatigor…
19 artillery systems
19 UAV
34 Tanks
91 armored vehicles (BTR/BMP/MTLB)
24 units of different machinery (Trucks, etc)
And one more VKS jet.
2/
facebook.com/denis.pyatigor…
Pyatigorets also states Russia took 820 deaths and up to three times that in wounded.
This claim is based on the extensive use by AFU of US & Turkish artillery cluster munitions on Russian infantry.
3/
This claim is based on the extensive use by AFU of US & Turkish artillery cluster munitions on Russian infantry.
3/
https://twitter.com/anno1540/status/1712130558908579943
This is the biggest Russian offensive defeat since the failed attempted ford the Siverskyi Donets River in May 2022.
And it was done without a river barrier!
4/
english.nv.ua/nation/analysi…
And it was done without a river barrier!
4/
english.nv.ua/nation/analysi…
The 74th Motor Rifle Brigade of the RuAF 41st Army loss 100 pieces of heavy military vehicular equipment then.
Where as the RuAF lost 125 tanks & infantry fighting vehicles at Avdiivka with another 40 odd artillery systems, trucks and other major kit.
5/
Where as the RuAF lost 125 tanks & infantry fighting vehicles at Avdiivka with another 40 odd artillery systems, trucks and other major kit.
5/
That is 170% of the RuAF failed May 2022 Siverskyi Donets River crossing attempt...
...without a river!
The RuAF attempted a major operation using Mobiks and PTSD-ed veterans - a self-inflicted 🦃shoot.
6/
...without a river!
The RuAF attempted a major operation using Mobiks and PTSD-ed veterans - a self-inflicted 🦃shoot.
6/
It is amazing how attrition impacts the skills base -and the moral dimension- of a force.
And the video below of Russian soldiers pounding a 122mm rocket into a warped Grad tube with a wooden packaging box is evidence of that Mobik skills collapse.
7/
And the video below of Russian soldiers pounding a 122mm rocket into a warped Grad tube with a wooden packaging box is evidence of that Mobik skills collapse.
7/
https://twitter.com/bayraktar_1love/status/1711700088836260055
The lack of training of Russian mobiks is so low that, I'm told, 20% of Mobiks are dead after two months inside Ukraine.
Given the poor RuAF medical care and casevac capabilities, that means another 30% are wounded in that same time period.
8/
Given the poor RuAF medical care and casevac capabilities, that means another 30% are wounded in that same time period.
8/
That RuAF took 170% of the casualties of the Siverskyi Donets River crossing is very much evidence of a Lanchester Square Law Collapse in RuAF ground force effectiveness.
AKA more and more effort for less and less combat power.
9/
AKA more and more effort for less and less combat power.
9/
https://twitter.com/TrentTelenko/status/1626320243848093699
The reason I keep slamming on the Lanchester Square law collapse concept is that every time imagined, trivial or irrelevant RuAF gains appear.
They always feed the "Invincible Russia" defeatists and de-escalation camp in the West.
10/
They always feed the "Invincible Russia" defeatists and de-escalation camp in the West.
10/
https://twitter.com/TrentTelenko/status/1711552202802708727
These imagined, trivial or irrelevant RuAF gains get more traction than warranted because there are too many people with personal vested interests in "Invincible Russia".
Avdiivka🦃 shoot shows such people are living in a delusional fantasy world.
11/11 End
Avdiivka🦃 shoot shows such people are living in a delusional fantasy world.
11/11 End
@threadreaderapp unroll please
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