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Oct 13 8 tweets 2 min read Twitter logo Read on Twitter
1/ The Russian government is forecasting that over 100,000 of its soldiers will have died by the end of 2024. The draft budget of the Social Fund of Russia for the next year has enabled independent media to calculate the government's projections for its war losses. ⬇️ Image
3/ Funding for these monthly payments has been increased to 16.335 billion rubles ($167.7 mi), an increase of 3.2 billion rubles ($32.8 m) over 2023. This amounts to enough money to pay monthly compensation for 102,700 people killed in service or who died from their wounds.
3/ Funding for these monthly payments has been increased to 16.335 billion rubles ($167.7 mi), an increase of 3.2 billion rubles ($32.8 m) over 2023. This amounts to enough money to pay monthly compensation for 102,700 people killed in service or who died from their wounds.
4/ 9.987 billion rubles ($102.5 m) is also being allocated for monthly payments to the families of the wounded who received illnesses in service, shell shock and disability – an increase of almost 1 billion rubles ($10.2 m) over the figure for 2023.
5/ The amount of money being spent on compensating the dead and wounded is swamping other social expenditures. In the Moscow region alone, such payments will be comparable to the total spent on education and healthcare.
6/ Meduza and Mediazona calculated that by the end of May 2023 that 47,000 Russian soldiers could be confirmed as having died in the war. At the rate of growth that they recorded, the figure of 100,000 could be reached by the middle of 2024.
7/ However, the true figure is certainly far higher, as it excludes those deemed missing in action. Soldiers have spoken on multiple occasions of large numbers of dead and wounded being abandoned on the battlefield and subsequently being declared missing.
8/ There have also been claims that the Russian government prefers to declare soldiers missing rather than dead because it then does not have to make compensation payments to relatives. /end

Source:
pointmedia.io/story/6527cfd0…

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More from @ChrisO_wiki

Oct 14
1/ Relatives of mobilised Russians from Tatarstan have appealed to the Russian authorities to "follow the orders" of President Putin and Defence Minister Shoigu and stop using their men in assaults in eastern Ukraine, where they say they are suffering huge losses.
2/ The relatives are from Kazan in Tatarstan. According to ASTRA, the men are fighting in the Svatove area of eastern Ukraine, where fierce fighting has been taking place for months.
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3/ According to relatives, mobilised men are being used in place of professional soldiers who "abandoned their positions and fled." Now, ASTRA says, "mobilised people without training or uniform are forced to besiege the territories controlled by the Ukrainian Armed Forces."
Read 9 tweets
Oct 13
@solonko1648, who's a serving Ukrainian soldier, has published an excellent pair of threads in Ukrainian describing how the Russian system of trenches and firing positions works. It's a very helpful insight into why they have been so difficult to overcome.
He focuses on a Russian fortified stronghold between the villages of Robotyne and Novoprokopivka, through which the road from one village to the other runs. Tokmak lies further along the same road, which is currently contested. The following thread translates his description:
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By @solonko1648:
This, dear friends, is one of the most difficult strongholds located in the Robotyne-Novoprokopivka area. A complex system of trenches-tunnels, dugouts, firing positions, to which the Russian invaders cling with all their might... 🧵 /1 Image
Read 23 tweets
Oct 12
1/ Russia's Southern Military District is witnessing an explosion of murders committed by serving soldiers. Cases have increased at a rate that is unprecedented in recent years, up by more than 2,400 per cent in a single year. It's a direct result of the war in Ukraine. ⬇️ Image
2/ Kavkaz.Realii reports that there has been a huge increase in murder cases being heard by the military courts in Rostov and Novocherkassk. In Rostov, the court heard two murder cases in 2015, one in 2018, two in 2021, one in 2022 and 42 by October 2023.
3/ Similarly, in Novocherkassk there was one case in 2012, one in 2014, two in 2015, one in 2022, and 34 since the beginning of 2023.

Interestingly, this surge of murder cases has not been replicated elsewhere.
Read 23 tweets
Oct 11
1/ A Russian family has buried an unknown soldier in place of their own missing relative so that they could obtain death benefits and acquire their relative's "luxurious" property in his home town of Rzhev in western Russia. ⬇️ Image
2/ Important Stories reports on the 'burial' of 42-year-old Mikhail Smirnov, formerly a builder from Rzhev. After being mobilised in October 2022 he was sent to train as a tank driver. He was last heard from in August 2023, when he told friends he was near Bakhmut.
3/ He was declared dead in late September and a body was brought back to Rzhev in a closed coffin. However, his friends became suspicious after discrepancies emerged. His death certificate gave the wrong year of birth and the personal belongings were clearly not his.
Read 15 tweets
Oct 10
1/ Life on the home front isn't great for relatives of mobilised Russian soldiers living in army accommodation. Relatives living on a military camp at Cherbarkul near Chelyabinsk have recorded a video complaining about their poor living conditions. ⬇️
2/ The women "ask and beg" the head of the Investigative Committee, Alexander Bastrykin, to intervene and do something about their residences. "While our husbands and children are defending our Motherland, we are simply surviving," they say.
3/ "We're in a total mess. The management company doesn't act, doesn't fulfil its duties, and doesn't take out the rubbish on time. And now it turns out, there are rats the size of cats. Rubbish is lying on the ground. Rubbish should be taken out at least daily. It's not done.
Read 12 tweets
Oct 9
1/ Lieutenant General Denis Lyamin, commander of Russia's 58th Combined Arms Army, has reportedly been reassigned to the post of Chief of Staff of the Central Military District less than three months after replacing Major General Ivan Popov in controversial circumstances. ⬇️ Image
2/ Lyamin took up the post on 13 July after Major General Ivan Popov resigned from command of Russian forces in the Zaporizhzhia region with scathing criticisms of the Russian military leadership, in particular Chief of the General Staff Valery Gerasimov.
3/ Popov said that when he confronted Gerasimov, "I fucked him up so bad that the bastard fainted." He complained that the 58th Army had suffered unnecessarily heavy casualties, lacked artillery support and commanders had lied about the true situation.
Read 10 tweets

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