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Gregory Travis. Make schools #DavosSafe

@greg_travis

Oct 9

Hey, kids

Are you scared of the dark?

Do pictures like this make you wish a BSL-3 superpathogen developed in a bioweapons laboratory would just GO AWAY?

Are you the prime minister or the president of a major western power?

Have no fear!

At Travis Confounders(TM) our heavy lifting equipment can MOVE YOUR BASELINE

Why compute excess deaths off of "old" years when, for a modest sum, we here at TC will put that junk in the trunk and move you into the bright endemic future?

How does it work?

We replace our old, empty, baseline years with new modern years that come pre-charged with disease.

That way whenever you compare what it's like today, you compare it to a steaming pile of shit from just yesterday!

Suddenly today's shit doesn't smell so bad

Take a look...

Read 4 tweets

Gregory Travis. Make schools #DavosSafe

@greg_travis

Oct 8

When David Leonhardt wrote last July that "excess deaths have fallen almost to zero"

Did he mean just among Young Healthy People (YAH) like himself?

Because excess deaths in July 2023 had NOT "fallen almost to zero"

When David Leonhardt wrote last July that "excess deaths have fallen almost to zero"

Did he mean just among Old And Frail People (OAF) like me?

Because excess deaths in July 2023 had NOT "fallen almost to zero"

When David Leonhardt wrote last July that "excess deaths have fallen almost to zero"

He certainly didn't mean among school-age (5-17) children

Because excess deaths in July 2023 had NOT "fallen almost to zero"

In July 2023, children were still dying every day from COVID

Read 4 tweets

Gregory Travis. Make schools #DavosSafe

@greg_travis

Oct 6

1/Excess Deaths In America, Part II of a ? Part Series

In Part I of this, I explained what the concept of "Excess Deaths" is and why we're interested

In Part II we take a look at some of the fundamentals and start to understand the nature of the data

Let's dig in...

2/Pre-pandemic about 2.8 million people died every year in the USA

The majority of those, 94%, were old (45 years old or older) or very young (under 5 years old)

Only 6% of those who die every year, about 175K, are "young and healthy"

They are who we are going to focus on

3/The 2.8million who die every year in the USA don't die evenly

You can't just divide 2.8m by 12 & get the number who die every month

More deaths happen in winter months, particularly December & January, than in summer months

Read 8 tweets

Gregory Travis. Make schools #DavosSafe

@greg_travis

Oct 5

1/The CDC stopped publishing its COVID / Excess deaths reports last week. I'm preparing a replacement now and thought a quick primer on excess deaths would be welcome

* What are "excess deaths?"

* Why do we care about excess deaths?

* How do you calculate excess deaths?

2/Excess deaths are simply the number of deaths in a given population in excess of the number of deaths expected in that population

Population is usually defined both by a given geographic area as well as demographics such as age, race, income, education, etc.

3/We care about excess deaths because it is nearly impossible to determine "why" a person died

This is because our likelihood of dying from ANYTHING increases with age

By the time we get around to actually dying it's because a whole lot of things all came together to kill us

Read 8 tweets

Gregory Travis. Make schools #DavosSafe

@greg_travis

Oct 2

Sickness and death from HIV/AIDS was brought to a virtual standstill in the USA not by vaccines, not by antivirals, not by horse paste

But by a vigorous public health campaign designed not around treating those who became infected

But by preventing infection in the first place

But before our approach to controlling HIV/AIDS became enlightened, it had to be depraved, cruel & indifferent

HIV/AIDS was vigorously asserted to only affect a "vulnerable" that also happened to be untouchable

Homosexuals, Haitians & "feeble" hemophiliacs

(sound familiar?)

All of today's excuses for inaction were present:

"Correlation is not causation"

90% of US hemophiliacs contracted HIV infections regardless of sexuality, gender, age and the only thing they had in common was blood transfusion...

..."there's no proof it's in the blood supply"

Read 14 tweets

Gregory Travis. Make schools #DavosSafe

@greg_travis

Sep 26

https://twitter.com/jljcolorado/status/1706715130992771324

Professor Jimenez's takedown of this guy inspired me to do a little bit of my own KITCHEN SCIENCE

My lab equipment? Just an ordinary Italian espresso machine and its steam wand, a cheap KN95 mask and a bit of assorted dinnerware

Let's see how it turned out...

https://twitter.com/jljcolorado/status/1706715130992771324

First thing I did was attach the mask to my espresso machine's steam wand

You want to be careful here "fit testing" the mask and machine, lest you burn yourself (do not ask how I know)

Just like the guy in Professor Jimenez's takedown, the mask just couldn't keep it together

Well that was embarrassing

Those tiny water molecules went through our KN95 mask like throwing hot dogs down a hallway

It's clear that "masks don't work."

But just to be certain, let's try & put those SAME water molecules through the mask, but this time in liquid, not gas form