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Iran told Israel through the UN today that it doesn’t want an escalation but if the operation in Gaza continues, it’ll have to get involved. Iran knows the ground operation is going to happen so it could be setting a red line knowing it will be crossed and use it as justification
Also, Israel has been striking airport in Syria is a known transit point for arms from Iran to Hezbollah. It is likely Iran was going to fly in weapons and Israel caught wind. That says they are at least preparing for conflict and most likely through a proxy like Hezbollah.
Iran has now issued a public red line knowing the ground incursion is going to happen. If they don’t act on it then they will have no credibility. They fired ballistic missiles at U.S. bases after Solemani was killed. They are not afraid to strike. Doesn’t mean they will.
Implication — Two carrier groups (another set sail from Norfolk this morning), F-35s, F-22s, and F-15s flown into the region, plus two British warships and public and private warnings to stay out of it from the U.S. tells me the U.S. would take action to defend, if it happens.
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