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Trent Telenko Profile picture
@TrentTelenko
Oct 15 • 4 tweets • 1 min read Twitter logo Read on Twitter
Most of these weapons came through Hamas tunnels from Egypt.

There is a coastal sea trade/smuggling from Lebanon to Egypt and from Iran through the Red Sea to the Sinai.

1/
The satellite geo-located map of global navigation satellite system (GNSS) jamming provided by the @AOCrows recent webinar makes clear the Lebanon coastal trade to Egypt is the most used, as Iran has placed a lot of jammers on the truck route from Iran to the Mediterranean.

2/ Image
GPS/GNSS jamming has reduced the accuracy of Israeli bombs and missiles.

While some of those jammers in Syria are Russian. Most are Iranian.

It is this pattern of jamming that makes me believe Egyptian claims they told Israel something big was about to happen in Gaza
3/3 End
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More from @TrentTelenko

Trent Telenko Profile picture
Oct 13
I think this assessment of Israeli public opinion is correct:

"Calls for restraint and protestations about the finer points of international law are going to fall on deaf ears."

IDF 'Collateral Damage Implications' for the International Media 🧵
1/
This event is downstream from the Israeli gloves coming off.

Any international journalists using sat-phones for transmitting video within 30 kilometers of IDF forces in Israel are going to be treated as a Hamas or Hezbollah transmitter and eat artillery shells or rockets.

2/ Image
International media video transmissions look a lot like Hamas or Hezbollah drone operator or remote television sensor command and control positions to Israeli ELINT sensors.

They are going to be treated as such for the duration of the current Gaza war.
3/
Read 11 tweets
Trent Telenko Profile picture
Oct 13
A lot of X accounts, myself included, have been talking about the Avdiivka 🦃shoot.

And yes, there is a lot going on there...

More to the war than the Avdiivka 🦃shoot🧵
1/
As this post's laying out the last three days RuAF losses at Avdiivka makes clear

2/
However, commander of the Tavria operational-strategic group claims:
786 people.
13 tanks,
34 armored fighting vehicles,
17 artillery systems,
3 anti-tank systems,
1 mounted anti-tank grenade launcher,
1 air defense system,
6 UAVs and
5 vehicles
3/
 ukrinform.net/rubric-ato/377…
Read 8 tweets
Trent Telenko Profile picture
Oct 11
It's time to talk about the AFU's Avdiivka🦃 shoot of the RuAF.

The @PStyle0ne1 account had a very nice thread posting many videos of the failed Russian assault.

Check them out and come back here to read the rest of my thread.

Avdiivka🦃 shoot🧵

1/
The Denis Pyatigorets account on facebook gives the following run down of RuAF losses in the battle to date.

19 artillery systems
19 UAV
34 Tanks
91 armored vehicles (BTR/BMP/MTLB)
24 units of different machinery (Trucks, etc)
And one more VKS jet.

2/
 facebook.com/denis.pyatigor…
Pyatigorets also states Russia took 820 deaths and up to three times that in wounded.

This claim is based on the extensive use by AFU of US & Turkish artillery cluster munitions on Russian infantry.


3/
Read 12 tweets
Trent Telenko Profile picture
Oct 10
Since most are focused on the Israel Hamas War, I'm going to put up something truck related on Ukraine with this :

"Ukrainian Scouts Successfully Destroy Occupiers and Their Equipment Near Bakhmut With Drones (Video)"

RuAF truck🧵

1/
 en.defence-ua.com/news/ukrainian…

Image
Image
There is not much text in that article, but by gum, it has this literally killer 3 min. 8 sec FPV greatest hits video by Ukraine's SBU:

2/
The compilation FPV strike video at that link is just amazing.

I counted the following vehicles and skewed two uncertain shots as large tactical trucks:

BTR-80/82 - 1
Kamaz/Ural Tactical Trucks - 3
SUV/Pickup Trucks - 6
UAZ/Loaf/Scooby Doo vans - 20

3/ Image
Read 20 tweets
Trent Telenko Profile picture
Oct 9
This is a reality that will have to faced regarding Israeli actions in Gaza going forward.

"The International Panel on Fissile Materials estimates that as of the beginning of 2020, Israel may have a stockpile of about 980 ± 130 kilograms of plutonium

1/
 thebulletin.org/premium/2022-0…
Image
...(International Panel on Fissile Materials 2021). That amount could potentially be used to build anywhere between 170 and 278 nuclear weapons, assuming a second-generation, single-stage, fission-implosion warhead design with a boosted pit containing 4 to 5 kilograms

2/
...of plutonium.4"

This link provides more information on Israel nuclear cruise missile armed submarines mentioned above.

3/
 strategypage.com/htmw/htsub/art…
Image
Read 15 tweets
Trent Telenko Profile picture
Oct 8
I've been saying variants of this "Russia doesn't have battlefield medical care" since March 2022.

And Western intelligence has been having "motivated cognition" i.e. reject all data that does not fit their "invincible Russia" preconception.⬇️

Russian battlefield casualty 🧵
1/
July 2023

2/
April 2023

3/
Read 15 tweets

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