John Spencer Profile picture
Oct 19, 2023 9 tweets 3 min read Read on X
It looks like among the many challenges the @IDF will face in a ground campaign into Gaza is one we feared on a daily basis in Iraq - the Iranian engineering Explosively formed penetrator (EFP) IED 🧵
When I saw the pictures of captured equipment from the Hamas terrorist massacre on October 7th I saw the distinctive concave disked improvised explosive device... Image
I was immediately taken back to Sadr City, Iraq 2008 where my unit and fellow soldiers faced and suffered EPF strikes everyday. Image
EFP were road-side improvised explosive devices but more deadly than anything U.S. forces faced in Iraq until Iranian Quds Force provided them to Iranian-backed Shiite militias across Iraq.
EFPs are made of machined cooper plates placed into everything from coffee cans to large pots, backed by plastic explosives then once exploded turn the copper plate into a molten slug that can rip through several inches of armor pulling fire and death into any space. Image
EFPs killed at least 196 U.S. troops and wounded nearly 900 between 2005 and 2011. washingtonpost.com/national-secur…
Counter-measures were fielded to protect U.S. soldiers from the horrible, faceless enemy devices. New vehicles like MRAPS were field, new tactics put in place, and new innovations spread. The vehicles helped, but really a tank was the best protector. Image
New innovations included a spark plug (heat source) on a stick called rhino to fool some of the devices were a low tech counter. Now on display in the US Army museum for the lives they saved.
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The @IDF will face this threat and other IEDs with years of their own lessons learned/countermeasures (to included from EFPs used against IDF by Hezbollah in late 1990s in South Lebanon) and Coalition forces in Iraq/Afghanistan. But I still hate seeing them..

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More from @SpencerGuard

Jun 14
Let’s compare the 1967 Six-Day War to Israel’s ongoing operation against Iran. 🛢️
In 1967, Israel faced annihilation. Egypt closed the Straits of Tiran. Five Arab armies mobilized - 465,000 troops, 2,800 tanks, 800 aircraft. Israel struck first, and in six days, defeated Egypt, Syria, Jordan, Iraq, and Lebanon. It was preemption for survival.
In 2025, Israel faces a different, but no less existential, threat. The Islamic regime in Iran was within days of nuclear breakout and already has missiles capable of striking every inch of Israel. This is a regime that funds Hamas, Hezbollah, Houthis, and chants "Death to Israel" as policy.
Read 5 tweets
May 5
1/ BREAKING: Israel announces approval and plan to launch the next major phase of operations in Gaza, Operation "Gideon’s Chariots"— one that appears guided by a phased strategy rooted in lessons from past conflicts: Clear, Hold, Build. Here's what it means—and why it matters. 🧵
2/ Israel's goals remain unchanged: secure the release of all hostages, dismantle Hamas’s military and governing capabilities, and ensure that no threat can reemerge from Gaza to endanger Israel again.
3/The plan is a major shift from what has been implemented in Gaza so far, instead of raiding in, limited clearing, and withdrawal operations, the IDF will operate with full force, expand its presence across Gaza, and remain in every captured area.
Read 14 tweets
Apr 23
War 101 - What is a Genocide? 🧵
Genocide is defined in the 1948 United Nations Convention on the Prevention and Punishment of the Crime of Genocide (Genocide Convention) and codified in various legal instruments, including the Rome Statute of the International Criminal Court (ICC).
Genocide is defined (Article II, Genocide Convention) as any of the following acts committed with intent to destroy, in whole or in part, a national, ethnical, racial or religious group, as such:

- Killing members of the group.
- Causing serious bodily or mental harm to members of the group.
- Deliberately inflicting conditions of life calculated to bring about its physical destruction in whole or in part.
- Imposing measures intended to prevent births within the group.
- Forcibly transferring children of the group to another group.
Read 5 tweets
Apr 23
War 101 - What is a war crime? Who can call it. 🧵
1. Armed Conflict Must Exist - War crimes can only occur in the context of an armed conflict—either international (between states) or non-international (between a state and organized armed groups).
2. Violation of a Law of War - The act must violate a specific rule of international humanitarian law/law of armed conflict, especially rules protecting civilians and combatants who are hors de combat (out of the fight). Examples include:
- Intentionally targeting civilians
- Torture or inhumane treatment
- Taking hostages
- Using banned weapons (e.g., chemical weapons)
Read 7 tweets
Dec 24, 2024
LIE - 45,028 civilians have died in Gaza.

This number is provided by the Hamas Gaza Health Ministry. It does not distinguish between combatants or noncombatants in Israel's war against Hamas in Gaza declared by Israel after the invasion of Israel and war crimes to include rape, murder, mutilations, burnings of civilans and taking of hostages committed by Hamas on October 7th. As of 2 months ago the IDF said they had killed 20,000 Hamas terrorists. youtube.com/watch?v=ROXiZF…
LIE - 45,028 people have died in Gaza since October 7th.

The number is generated by the Hamas Gaza Health Ministry. Many reports have shown the methodology of how the number is generated, the names that make up the list, statistical inconsistency, and false information on the list. This is includes recent studies by the @HJS_Org and others.

The demographics of the names on the list have been revised by the Gaza Health Ministry and the United Nations during the war. The demographics of the names on the list have been proven to contain many errors.
LIE - Israel has killed 45,028 in Gaza.

The cause of death of the names provided by the Hamas Gaza Health Ministry is not listed. A large quantity of the rockets launched by combatants in Gaza have landed inside Gaza killing people in Gaza. Many videos show Hamas killing Gazans since October 7th.
Read 8 tweets
Sep 18, 2024
Hezbollah Pager Operation. A few personal thoughts.
1) Historic & unprecedented. I cannot find a similar intelligence/military operation with such secrecy, lethality, ingenuity, audacity, impact. While there have been other major intelligence operations in war (breaking Enigma, various spies inside governments) or surprise attacks (D-Day, Pearl Harbor, Inchon landing) but nothing so targeted lethal use of force, precise - proportionate & distinction, as many enemy hit, over such a wide geographic area.
2) Physical Impactful. In a single operation, the terrorist group Hezbollah was significantly impacted. Not only in physical injuries - unknown but reported in the thousands. The attack also exposed the Hezbollah network not just in Lebanon but in other places in the Middle East where Hezbollah agents or affiliated agents were carrying this specific pager issued by Hezbollah.
Read 5 tweets

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