Thread by @MoriartyLab

I'm trying a couple of new ways to try to contextualize current COVID numbers to help people understand the scale of the current problem.

I'll post these tests in this thread.

Please provide feedback...

P.S. these are real estimates for the week ending Oct 14/23

Estimated numbers of healthcare professionals with COVID-19, week ending Oct 14/23:

CAN 60,477
NL 1,016
PEI 298
NS 1,966
NB 1,481
QC 14,013
ON 21,977
MB 2,329
SK 1,986
AB 7,697
BC 7,430
YK, NWT, NUN 141

This is professionals only--not PSWs, non-professional workforce.

The week ending Oct 14/23:

About 9% of ICU beds were occupied by COVID-19 patients (average epidemic to date: 12%)

About 21% of hospital beds were occupied by COVID-19 patients (average epidemic to date: 7%)

The estimated costs of COVID-19 hospitalizations in Canada for the week ending Oct 14/23:

CAN $274M
NL $3.7M
PEI $1.2M
NS $7.2M
NB $5.7M
QC $61.2M
ON $106.3M
MB $9.9M
SK $8.4M
AB $32.0M
BC $37.4M
YT, NWT, NUN $0.9M

cc @alandrummond2 @DickZoutman for thoughts

Estimated current COVID prevalence is about 4% of population infected in Canada. Professional healthforce numbers are CIHI 2021. Costs/hosp/ICU admission CIHI 2022.

@alandrummond2 @DickZoutman QC is publishing estimates of % of healthcare workforce who currently have long COVID. I have to dig around some more, but can do estimates of % workforce with COVID and long COVID to give a sense of scale--it doesn't explain all ER closures, but definitely contributes.