Footage by @bradyafr, @COUPSURE and @Tatarigami_UA confirms at least 21 (!) destroyed/damaged 🇷🇺 helicopters after the first use of ATACMS delivered by US. This is the probably the biggest blow to the Russian Air Force since the beginning of the war.
When Ukraine undertakes offensive operations, Russia attempts to manipulate/influence the information environment.
For nearly three years, we have been monitoring the war in Ukraine, and another notable trend has emerged:
whenever Ukraine initiates an offensive operation, social media becomes inundated with claims of significant Ukrainian losses. However, we have observed that these claims often consist of disinformation: they may reference outdated losses, incidents from different regions, or even Russian losses reported as Ukrainian losses... (I kid you not).
This misinformation is often compiled in a way that suggests Ukraine's offensive efforts are failing, thereby attempting to sway public perception.
Recently, as Ukraine commenced an offensive operation (January 4th, 2025), again bold claims were made about Ukrainian losses.
We took a few days to investigate two specific assertions: one from a relatively small account named @NewRulesGeo and another from 'North Wind,' a Russian channel associated with the military.
The thread by NewRulesGeo garnered over 4 million views, while the post by North Wind attracted nearly 100,000 views on Telegram.
As anticipated, the reality is not as it appears.
For an account calling itself NewRulesGeo, it is striking that the individual does not grasp that geolocation is accurate. A significant portion of their thread is unrelated to the newly launched Kursk operation; it includes either older footage, irrelevant content, or different videos of the same vehicle being attacked while implying they depict different vehicles, and they guess the outcome of strikes without any proof.
Some of the footage was indeed from the recent Ukrainian offensive operations in Kursk Oblast, and by mixing it with unrelated material, they attempt to enhance their credibility. This is a well-known technique in spreading disinformation: combining accurate information with falsehoods. People tend to recognize the accurate claims and, as a result, may assign greater credibility to the entire narrative, including the disinformation.
Regarding the North Wind post, the considerable number of vehicles shown at the end of their video are actually Russian vehicles destroyed in mid-December. They misrepresent their own losses as Ukrainian losses.
We prefer not to invest too much time in debunking disinformation, as a lie can be made in just a few minutes, but the debunking can cost you days.
For example, this fact-check took us several days and the effort of a few dedicated volunteers.
I want to thank volunteers @giK1893, @99Dominik_, @moklasen and @GeoRaccoon for their geolocation work, making this thread possible.
We hope our fact-checking thread receives more than 4 million views, because mis-/ and disinformation is a plague on X and Facts DO Matter.
1/20
We will start by the North Wind claim.
"In the area of the settlement of Berdin in the Kursk region, several columns of armored vehicles of the Armed Forces of Ukraine attempted to attack the positions of the Severyans. For most of the armored vehicles and tanks, as well as their crews, the counteroffensive ended as soon as it began. FPV crews, operators of the Lancet loitering munitions, artillery and mortar crews of the Guards "North" actively struck enemy targets. We see the results in the footage.
Such a quantity of "smoking trash of the Armed Forces of Ukraine" clearly shows the attitude of the Ukrainian command to its servicemen. This was another ruthless "meat" assault in the style of Syrsky, and the units of the Guards "North" successfully repelled it."
Ironically, the large number of losses depicted starting at 0:29 are Russian losses incurred during their offensive in mid-December while attacking Ukrainian-occupied territory in Kursk from the west.
Picture two:
Green circle: Russian losses mid-December
Blue arrows: Ukrainian offensive operations which started January 4th, 2025.
Video: Russian losses filmed by the Ukrainian 36th Marine Brigade, published 17 December 2024
Conclusion: North Wind has presented Russian losses from mid-December, misrepresenting them as Ukrainian losses from the recent offensive. Geolocation analysis has confirmed that this footage does not even originate from the area of the recent offensive.
GeoConfirmed Investigation - Thread 3 - October 7th 2023.
Thread 3 - 'Nahal Oz' area.
This thread contains footage of the Nahal Oz area.
At least four different factions participated in the assault on the military base near Nahal Oz and the kibbutz itself:
a) Izz ad-Din al-Qassam Brigades, military wing of Hamas.
b) Al-Quds Brigades, military wing of the Palestinian Islamic Jihad.
c) Al-Aqsa Martyrs' Brigades.
d) Palestinian Freedom Movement, Al-Ansar Brigades
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If any new geolocated footage related to this topic becomes available in the future, it will be added at the end of this thread.
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By doing so, you are enabling us to enhance our website and servers, and allowing us to buy satellite imagery for our investigations.
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GeoConfirmed 7OCT23.
At sunrise, a large convoy of Palestinian militants, over 30, drive towards Israel in jeeps and with motorcycles. They drive in the direction of Nahal Oz, whilst outgoing rocket fire can be heard and seen.
GeoConfirmed Investigation - Thread 2 - October 7th 2023.
Thread 2 - Zikim area.
This thread contains footage of the Zikim area, highlighting three events:
1) Destruction of Remote-Controlled Weapon Systems
Israeli guard towers along the fence were equipped with remotely controlled weapon systems. These systems were neutralized at the onset of the attack using grenades dropped from drones.
This tactic mirrors the widespread use of drone-dropped munitions observed in the ongoing conflict between Ukraine and Russia.
2) Coastal Infiltration
Militants also employed boats to infiltrate the area via the coastline.
3) Civilian Casualties
The attack resulted in civilian casualties, including teenagers, who were killed at close range.
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If any new geolocated footage related to this topic becomes available in the future, it will be added at the end of this thread.
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If you like our work you can buy us a coffee (buymeacoffee.com/geoconfirmed) By doing so, you are enabling us to enhance our website and servers, and allowing us to buy satellite imagery for our investigations.
1/X
October 7th 2023.
Smoke emanating from two locations near the Shikma Reservoir, Israel filmed by a Hamas drone.
Point of View - 31.58415, 34.501819
Smoke 1: around 31.595433, 34.493592
Smoke 2: around 31.594119, 34.497942
GeoConfirmed Investigation - Thread 1 - October 7th 2023.
Thread 1 - Massive Rocket barrage.
The attack on Israel on October 7, 2023, began with an unprecedented rocket barrage at approximately 6:30 a.m. local time.
Thousands of rockets were fired from Gaza into Israel, targeting various areas. This massive rocket attack forced many Israelis to seek shelter in bunkers and safe rooms.
The timing of the attack was strategically chosen to coincide with the Jewish holiday of Simchat Torah, when security forces were operating at minimum levels. This reduced security presence, combined with the early morning timing and the chaos caused by the rocket barrage, allowed Hamas militants to breach the Gaza-Israel barrier more easily.
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If any new geolocated footage related to this topic becomes available in the future, it will be added at the end of this thread.
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If you like our work you can buy us a coffee (buymeacoffee.com/geoconfirmed)
By doing so, you are enabling us to enhance our website and servers, and allowing us to buy satellite imagery for our investigations.
A Belgian journalist and his fixer were abducted in Beirut, Lebanon, while his cameraman was shot in the leg and left behind. The journalist and the fixer were released a few hours later, albeit with injuries.
Yesterday @WarMonitors made some unusual assertions regarding "a Zionist spy that many Lebanese have seen many times"
These claims were accompanied by two videos, which were initially difficult to geolocate.
Both tweets had over 13k likes and over a million views.
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In the morning, Belgian news agencies began reporting on the well-known war journalist @ramaekers_robin, who, along with his fixer, was kidnapped while covering the bombing of a specific apartment building in Bachoura Beirut, reportedly the office of Hezbullah's MP Amine Cherri.
(x.com/GeoConfirmed/s…)
When Robin was speaking with eyewitnesses of the attack, things went wrong. A group of approximately twenty men assaulted the journalists. The men accused Robin and Stijn of spying for Israel and began shooting at Stijn, who was hit by two bullets in the leg. Robin and the fixer were beaten and dragged away. They were then locked in a basement, where they were beaten several more times and interrogated for hours.
After their release, both journalists were hospitalized for their injuries. Ramaekers suffered facial fractures, while De Smet was treated for a leg wound caused by gunshots.
❌"Cemetery of Ukrainian tanks in the Kursk region." ❌
These are Russian tanks that have been marked with Ukrainian symbols following their capture during the Ukrainian Kharkiv offensive in autumn 2022, near the village of Myrne. ✅
Factchecked by @BuschModelar and community noted.
Despite this, the post remains pinned to the profile and is going viral, currently boasting 1.1 million views.
In the comments, the author (@Ug_chelsea) is engaging in discussions with users who point out the flaws in his/her post, remaining entirely convinced of his/her perspective.
Now @EjShahid has geolocated this location, proving again that this is disinformation: