Brian Albrecht Profile picture
Oct 26 14 tweets 6 min read Twitter logo Read on Twitter
In 1984, F.A. Hayek was asked who his favorite economist was. He named two.

The first was Nobel Prize winner George Stigler. The second, sadly, never got the recognition he deserved.

Here are 5 papers by the 🐐, Armen Alchian, and why you should read them today 👇 Image
Most grad students today never hear the name Alchian. That's a shame!

He made foundational contributions to so many fields like property rights economics, the theory of the firm and monetary economics.

That's why he's the GOAT. economicforces.xyz/p/why-armen-al…
#1 Production, Information Costs, and Economic Organization with Harold Demsetz

- Chosen as one of AER's Top 20 articles in its first 100 years.
- Anyone interested in IO, contract theory, or entrepreneurship needs to grapple with this paper. josephmahoney.web.illinois.edu/BA549_Fall%202…
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The big question: Why do firms exist?

The fundamental problem that Alchian and Demsetz point to is Hayekian. Information isn't free!

With team production, paying each worker their marginal product isnt straightforward. People will specialize in monitoring and metering workers
#2 Vertical Integration, Appropriable Rents, and the Competitive Contracting Process with Klein and Crawford

- Q: Again, why do firms exist?

- A: Once workers and firms have invested in each other, there are rents to haggle over. josephmahoney.web.illinois.edu/BA549_Fall%202…
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Haggling is destructive. So workers and firms have the incentive to find contractual workarounds.

The more investments are specific to a particular trading partner, the more likely we will see contracts tying the two sides more tightly together.
Bob Gibbons calls Klein, Crawford, and Alchian one of four formalizable theories of the firm. Every mechanism design course covers the models on the left.

We need to start building models of those on the right! masonlec.org/site/rte_uploa…
Image
#3 Uncertainty, Evolution, and Economic Theory Do firms maximize profits?

That's not a well-posed question with uncertainty.

In fact, in many ways, it doesn't matter what people try to do. The profit system selects for firms that make positive profits jstor.org/stable/1827159
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From here, we can impose assumptions on costs that make sense.

For example, all else equal, executing the same task in less time is more costly. I summarized this paper in a newsletter a while back economicforces.xyz/p/costs-and-ou…
#4 Information Costs, Pricing, and Resource Unemployment

This 1969 paper was groundbreaking in applying information economics to the labor market, especially search theories.

This is true microfounded macro before it was cool.
onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/j.…
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#5 Why Money?

Money arises not just to overcome double coincidence of wants, but due to information costs in assessing goods' attributes. Money has low costs.
jstor.org/stable/1992014
Using money plus experts in goods reduces costs of assessing quality. Experts become specialist middlemen due to reputability. Explains unemployment too.

Again, microfounded (search) macro.
And just in terms of general badassness as an economist, no one surpasses Alchian.

He discovered the top-secret fuel material in the hydrogen bomb! How cool is that?! sciencedirect.com/science/articl…
Image
That's why Alchian is the GOAT.

Check out my newsletter for more reasons why.
economicforces.xyz/p/why-armen-al…

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More from @BrianCAlbrecht

Oct 9
To no one's surprise, the Nobel Prize goes to Claudia Goldin

Here are 3 things from her to start your dive into her work: Image
One of the things that makes it difficult to jump into Claudia's work is that there really isn't ONE paper. It's a body of work built over decades.

Contrast this with last year's prize, which was literally for one model of bank runs.
I would start with "The Power of the Pill."

The paper traces the profound influence of oral contraceptives on women's life choices, especially around work. By granting reproductive autonomy, the pill gave educational and career freedoms for women. dash.harvard.edu/bitstream/hand…
Image
Read 16 tweets
Jul 19
We've known @linakhanFTC wanted to rewrite US antitrust since she first took office. (Actually, since she was in law school). So far, she's struck out.

Today's new draft FTC/DOJ guidelines reveal her vision on mergers.

If taken seriously, they will set antitrust back decades 🧵
First, what are the merger guidelines?

The rule of law requires that people know beforehand whether something is legal or not. A speed-limit sign tells drivers the rules of the road. 🚦

The merger guidelines give a signal to businesses what the FTC/DOJ will challenge in court.
Since 1968, the merger guidelines have become more explicit and more grounded in economics and the "CONSUMER WELFARE STANDARD"

I won't say consumers are out the picture now, but they have taken a backseat to a hodgepodge of things thrown at the wall to see what can block mergers
Read 20 tweets
Jun 13
A Short Course on How To Understand Inflation

Economic Forces Edition 🧵
Lesson #1: Our intuitions are often faulty when thinking about inflation.

You cannot ask people why they are raising prices. People don't know. Don't overinterpret what CEOs say as evidence.

You need *economic theory* to make sense of cause and effect. economicforces.xyz/p/dont-ask-peo…
Lesson #2: Supply and demand are the core theory. Even that basic framework helps us cut through lots of noise.

Are prices and quantities moving up? That's a demand increase.

Are prices moving up but quantities down? That's a supply decrease.
economicforces.xyz/p/is-inflation…
Read 13 tweets
Jun 8
I didn't study econ in undergrad.

One Friday, I picked up Thomas Sowell’s Basic Economics. On Sunday, I told a friend that I was going to be an economist.

After reading Knowledge and Decisions, I was 💯% hooked.

Why You Should Read More Thomas Sowell
economicforces.xyz/p/why-you-shou…
Basic Economics hammers home the central idea of economics: everything is about trade-offs because of constraints.

Knowledge and Decisions focuses on the "most severe constraints facing human beings in all societies and throughout history—inadequate knowledge" Image
You could say, "isn't that just Hayek?" Fine. Knowledge and Decisions is Hayek turned up to 11.

Hayek titled his review of Sowell “The Best Book on General Economics in Many a Year.”
reason.com/1981/12/01/the…
Read 7 tweets
Jun 2
I agree. Price controls would stop inflation faster.

Guess what? They're still a terrible idea for all the standard reasons: reduced supply, the deadweight loss from waiting in line, I mean, queuing.

The policy goal isn't to limit inflation by any means necessary. Tradeoffs! Image
The Bank of England has only raised rates to 4.5%, which is lower than pre-financial crisis rates when we didn't have inflation.

Real interest rates are still negative. Let's not imagined they turned it up to 11.

The reason? The BofE, unlike the Guardian, recognizes tradeoffs.
The BoE, sensibly, doesn't want to absolutely hammer the economy by raising rates to 10%.

Unemployment in the UK at 3.9%. Great. Output is flat or slightly negative. Not good.

Like the Fed, the BoE is taking a slow and steady approach.
Read 10 tweets
Jun 1
Why are groceries expensive?

The NYT ran a piece that blames the failure to enforce the Robinson-Patman Act for rising food prices.

Anytime you see a piece connecting antitrust to inflation, you know it's going to be a stretch 🧵 Image
Before we get to the RPA, the op-ed starts with "To understand why grocery prices are way up, we need to look past the headlines about inflation." I agree.

But we should look at some DATA, not just stories about 1 grocery store that would be bad for nearby people if it closed.
Are food prices rising fast? Since when?

It's not exactly clear when things went wrong in the author's mind. Sometimes it seems 1960 was the golden era.

Or maybe up until 1980, things were good. You always need a Reagan reference in these pieces.
Read 13 tweets

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