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Trent Telenko Profile picture
@TrentTelenko
Oct 28 • 4 tweets • 2 min read Twitter logo Read on Twitter
Well, this:

"Iranian-backed Houthis in Yemen. They have the new Toufan (Iranian Ghadr) medium-range ballistic missile"

Explains the movement of the US Army THAAD battery to the Mid-East.

1/
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I am really hoping I'm wrong about this prediction of mine regarding THAAD being there to protect US Carriers from Chinese tech anti-ship guided warheads on the Toufan (Iranian Ghadr).

Because if there are Chinese tech ASBM warheads...

2/
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...will there be Chinese satellite surveillance spotting for an Houthi ASBM warhead equipped Toufan/Ghadr?🤨🤔😱

3/3 End

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More from @TrentTelenko

Trent Telenko Profile picture
Oct 28
There are reasons that I'm concerned about Chinese PLA/CCP satellite coverage of US Navy Carrier groups after the US Defense Department ordered a THAAD battery to the Middle East.

1/
Very good reasons having to do with the possibility of Chinese anti-ship ballistic missile (ASBM) tech being on Iranian/Houthi medium range ballistic missiles.

2/
When you look at the outline of a Chinese solid fuel ASBM (left).

And then a Toufan (Iranian Ghadr) medium-range ballistic missile. (right).

It makes you think about Chinese technology transfers to Iran and go🤨🤔😱

3/3 End
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Read 4 tweets
Trent Telenko Profile picture
Oct 28
Interesting claims about the BMPT, a light turret w/o the '125mm autoloader of death' means a BMPT is a lot tougher to kill.

It's still Russian arms show marketing.

A US Javelin in top attack mode or a AFU Stugna will have this vehicle design (diagram⬇️) for a light snack
1/5
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The battlefield vulnerability of the BMPT is easily proven.

There are visuals of a BMPT being engaged by Ukrainian 152mm/155mm artillery shells showing it to be as vulnerable as any other ex-Soviet tank design to modern weapons.

2/5
There are visuals of a T-72 becoming a Stugna light snack.

3/5
Read 6 tweets
Trent Telenko Profile picture
Oct 27
The @UKikaski account brings up a good point here that the Russian S-400 SAM went after the biggest radar target, ATACMS the rocket motor, and not the cloud of M74 APAM bomblets it dispensed

The S-400 has some of the issues US Army Patriot had in 1991 & other unique to ATACMS
1/
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There are reasons for this.

The cloud of M74 explosive fragmentation death covers up to a square kilometer of area in an oval or circular shape depending on missile trajectory and speed of rotation at the moment of dispensing.

The larger the intended area of coverage...
2/
...the higher the altitude this happens.

The ATACMS being a highly non-ballistic missile target means the S-400 cannot really get a good reciprocal intercept track until the ATACMS trajectory settles down for warhead dispensing.

To get a S-400 hit before ATACMS warhead
3/
Read 22 tweets
Trent Telenko Profile picture
Oct 26
Let's talk about how the Biden Administration "De-Escalation" ideology is about to back us all into a real escalation of the Russo-Ukrainian War.

The events leading up to the 1988 US-Iran naval war with Iran were driven mainly by the exhaustion of maritime insurance funds...

1/
...caused by the Iran-Iraq tanker war.

Operation Praying Mantis destroyed 1/2 the Iranian fleet.

1 frigate sunk (45 crew killed)
1 gunboat sunk (11 crew killed)
3 speedboats sunk
1 frigate crippled
2 platforms destroyed[3]
1 fighter damaged

2/
 en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Operation…
Total Iranian losses: 56 killed & 5 ships sunk

Now consider that the threat of Russian Black Sea mining is already affecting tanker insurance rates.

What the heck happens when Ukraine responds in kind at the Kerch Straits and Novorossiysk?


3/
Read 12 tweets
Trent Telenko Profile picture
Oct 25
The idea of the of Pentagon staffers doing work 24/7 and ordering in food was common knowledge in 1990/1991 Desert Shield/Desert Storm era.

The idea of people posting pizza order out volume on social media, to rub it in the faces of Senior Pentagon leaders everyone tracks it

1/
...as an intelligence indicator make me giggle.

It's 2023, what are the current flag's excuse for this?

It shows all the flag ranks and their staffers are dumb as a post about counterintelligence, and their their own operational indicators of impending operations.

2/
Unfortunately, all of America's enemies have intelligence agencies that are a lot better basic intelligence than the Pentagon is at counterintelligence.🤬

3/3 End
Read 4 tweets
Trent Telenko Profile picture
Oct 23
This report makes me think that the reason a THAAD has been sent to the Middle East is to provide radar top cover the carriers Ford and Eisenhower from a Chinese anti-ship ballistic missile tech transfer to Iran.

1/
The THAAD radar system has a well deserved reputation for very good battle management radar in Missile Defense Agency testing.

There needs to be a more energetic extended range THAAD interceptor to match it.

2/
newsweek.com/us-thaad-syste…
It hasn't made it past the usual political roadblocks in Congress and the DoD bureaucracy.

There is a really dumb but PhD educated Democratic political policy faction in DC that thinks the American public "deserves to suffer" from ballistic missile nuclear attacks.😱

3/3 End
Read 4 tweets

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