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1/6: Military aid for Ukraine may seem expensive but it is actually far, far cheaper than the price Western nations will have to pay if Putin’s invasion is allowed to succeed
A THREAD ⬇️
A THREAD ⬇️
2/6: If the West proves unwilling or unable to stop Putin in Ukraine, there will be little to deter further Russian aggression against smaller and more vulnerable former Soviet republics. Moldova, Armenia, Georgia, and Kazakhstan would all be immediate targets
3/6: With NATO discredited by the fall of Ukraine, Putin would then be tempted to test the resolve of the alliance in a more fundamental manner by threatening the Baltic states. Would demoralised Western leaders go to war with Russia over an Estonian border town?
4/6: Even if a direct NATO-Russia war can be temporarily avoided, Russian victory in Ukraine would oblige Western leaders to boost defense spending to levels not witnessed since the end of the Cold War. This would be ten-twenty times more expensive than arming Ukraine now
5/6: As we have seen with the recent Iranian-backed Hamas attack on Israel, the West’s indecisive response to Russia’s Ukraine invasion is already emboldening the forces of authoritarianism. Russian victory in Ukraine would usher in a new era of wars and international instability
6/6: With the invasion of Ukraine, Putin has burned his last remaining bridges and is now completely committed to confrontation with the West. He will not stop until he is stopped. The longer Western leaders delay, the higher the price they will pay
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