Israeli ground forces advanced into the #Gaza Strip. The al Qassem Brigades claimed to attack advancing #IDF forces in Beit Hanoun and east of Bureij.

Palestinian militias, including #Hamas, are framing the IDF advances into the Gaza Strip as a failure likely to encourage civilians to stay rather than try to evacuate toward the southern part of the strip. #Iran update w/ @criticalthreats:

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2/ ISW has launched an interactive map of Israeli ground operations to accompany our daily campaign assessments of the #IsraelHamasWar: isw.pub/IsraelBattleMap
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3/ Palestinian militias continued attacks at their usual rate from the #Gaza Strip into #Israel on October 28. The al Qassem Brigades claimed to fire rockets at Dimona for the first time since the war started. isw.pub/IranUpdate1028…

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4/ The Lions’ Den—a #WestBank-based Palestinian militia—appeared to implicitly call for further mobilization and violence against #Israel in the West Bank after the IDF conducted ground operations into the #Gaza Strip on October 27.

Iranian and Palestinian sources are describing Israeli settlers in the West Bank as legitimate military targets.

Palestinian militants clashed with Israeli forces and held large, anti-Israel demonstrations at their usual rate across the West Bank on October 28.
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5/ Iranian-backed militants, including Lebanese #Hezbollah (LH), conducted 12 attacks into #Israel as part of an ongoing attack campaign targeting IDF radar and sensor sites and military targets. isw.pub/IranUpdate1028…
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6/ The Islamic Resistance in #Iraq—a coalition of Iranian-backed Iraqi militias—claimed to attack US forces at al Tanf Garrison (ATG) in eastern #Syria on October 27.

Local media reported two other unclaimed drone and rocket attacks on US forces stationed at bases in eastern and northeastern Syria.

This is the eleventh consecutive day of Iranian-backed militia attacks on US forces in the Middle East. All three attacks occurred after #Israel’s expanded operation into the #Gaza Strip.
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More from @TheStudyofWar

Oct 30
#Ukraine latest:

Ongoing antisemitic demonstrations in the Republic of #Dagestan and elsewhere in the North #Caucasus are highlighting heightened interethnic and interreligious tensions in #Russia.

Ukrainian forces advanced near #Bakhmut amid continued offensive operations near Bakhmut and in western #Zaporizhia Oblast on October 29.isw.pub/UkrWar102923




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2/ Hundreds of demonstrators in #Dagestan broke into #Makhachkala airport, blocked the runway, and attempted to board a plane arriving from #Israel on the evening of October 29. isw.pub/UkrWar102923
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3/ The demonstrations followed the circulation of rumors that Russian authorities were planning to resettle “Israeli refugees” in #Dagestan and elsewhere in the North Caucasus. Image
Read 8 tweets
Oct 27
NEW: Heavy Russian equipment losses around #Avdiivka will likely undermine Russian offensive capabilities over the long term.

Ukrainian forces marginally advanced on the east (left) bank of #Kherson Oblast and continued offensive operations near #Bakhmut and in western #Zaporizhia Oblast.



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2/ Satellite imagery has confirmed that the Russian military has lost at least 109 military vehicles, primarily armored fighting vehicles and tanks, near #Avdiivika between October 10 and 20.

The Russian command has funneled additional forces to the Avdiivka front to offset heavy manpower losses and maintain the Russian military’s ability to sustain its ongoing offensive effort.
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3/ The #Russian command will likely struggle to offset Russian equipment losses, particularly in armored vehicles, however. isw.pub/UkrWar102623
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Read 7 tweets
Oct 26
#Iran and its so-called “Axis of Resistance” are pursuing a coordinated strategy to (1) deter #Israel from trying to destroy #Hamas in the #Gaza Strip, (2) prevent Israel from destroying Hamas if deterrence fails, and (3) deter the US from providing military support for Israel’s ground operation in the Gaza Strip. w/ @criticalthreats:
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2/ #Iran and its proxy and partner militias throughout the Middle East seek to ensure #Hamas’ long-term survival, as #Israel has indicated that it will soon launch a major ground operation into the #Gaza Strip to destroy Hamas. isw.pub/IranUpdate1025…
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3/ #Hamas is conducting attacks targeting population centers and conducting an information operation to erode the will of #Israel’s political establishment and public to launch and sustain a major ground operation into the #Gaza Strip. isw.pub/IranUpdate1025…
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Read 7 tweets
Oct 22
#Ukraine latest:

1. Russian forces are funneling additional forces to the #Avdiivka front in #Donetsk Oblast despite ongoing challenges with frontal mechanized assaults and the failure of a renewed push on October 19-20.

2. Ukrainian forces continued counteroffensive operations near #Bakhmut and in western #Zaporizhia Oblast on October 22, and Russian forces conducted a series of missile and drone strikes against Ukraine.

3. The nationalist pro-war Russian information space is reckoning with the possibility of a major demographic decline by weaponizing anti-migrant rhetoric.

4. A prominent Russian milblogger and frontline commander criticized Russian top-down censorship campaigns.

5. Deceased Wagner Group financier Yevgeny #Prigozhin's ideological and rhetorical campaign against the Russian Ministry of Defense (MoD) has largely become decoupled from the issue of the #WagnerGroup and appears to have outlived Prigozhin himself.

6. Russian authorities are intensifying mobilization efforts targeting Central Asian migrant communities.

7. Russian occupation authorities continue to use cultural and education programs to forcibly Russify Ukrainian children.isw.pub/UkrWar102223




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2/ Eastern #Kharkiv/Western #Luhansk:

Russian forces conducted offensive operations along the #Kupyansk-Svatove-Kreminna line and made confirmed advances. Geolocated footage posted on October 22 indicates that Russian forces advanced SW of Pershotravneve (21km NE of Kupyansk), SW of Yahidne (22km SE of Kupyansk), and east of Terny (17km west of Kreminna).

Russian sources claimed that Ukrainian forces conducted offensive operations along the Kupyansk-Svatove-#Kreminna line but did not make any claimed or confirmed advances.

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3/ Ukrainian forces continued ground attacks near #Bakhmut on October 22 and reportedly advanced south of the city. Russian forces continued ground attacks near Bakhmut on October 22 but did not make any claimed or confirmed advances. isw.pub/UkrWar102223

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Read 7 tweets
Oct 21
Latest on the #IsraelHamasWar:🧵(1/4)

1/ Palestinian militias cont' d indirect fire from Gaza into #Israel on Oct 20. #Hamas also released two US hostages held in #Gaza, marking the first time Hamas has released any hostages since its attack into Israel. isw.pub/IranUpdate1020…


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2/ Clashes between Palestinian militants and Israeli security forces in the #WestBank increased following #Hamas calls for protests on October 18. The #Israel-Hamas War may be driving Palestinian militia coordination in the West Bank. isw.pub/IranUpdate1020…
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3/ Attacks from #Lebanon into northern #Israel risk further escalation between Israel and Lebanese #Hezbollah (LH). LH conducted 18 attacks targeting civilian and military infrastructure in northern Israel on October 20, which is consistent with its rate of attacks since Oct. 15. Image
Read 4 tweets
Oct 20
Iranian-backed Iraqi militants in #Syria conducted three attacks using one-way drones and rockets against US military positions in #Iraq and Syria, marking the second consecutive day of such attacks targeting US forces in the Middle East. (1/4) isw.pub/IranUpdate1019…

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2/ The Islamic Resistance of #Iraq fired 3 drones targeting the al Tanf Garrison, #Syria, and 3 drones targeting Conoco Mission Support Site. Iranian-backed Iraqi militias also launched an unspecified number of rockets at US forces at Ain al Asad Airbase, Anbar province, Iraq.
3/ In #Yemen, the Iranian-backed Houthi Movement launched at least three land-attack cruise missiles and eight drones “potentially” targeting Israel that were intercepted by US Navy warship USS Carney.
Read 4 tweets

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