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Baruch Kogan Profile picture
@BaruchKogan
Nov 1 • 5 tweets • 1 min read Twitter logo Read on Twitter
Again, what would happen if Israelis were to have their own militias, with light arms, rockets, drones etc.?

For instance, instead of the IAF spending millions flying F-35s to bomb terrorist buildings, you'd have a drone guide a homemade missile into a marketplace...
...or any other location where the civilians of Gaza gathered aboveground numbering five or more.

The IDF could still do its thing with the Iron Dome and its other toys.

I bet in a month the Gazans would embrace beace and harmony, or leave.

This is, btw, their model today.
Also the model of Pakistan and Iran and other countries. A regular military on the defensive, irregular militias doing the dirty work.
This is completely impossible today.

But if we lose the war in Gaza-and when you're fighting against an insurgency, anything short of total victory is a defeat-then other possibilities will emerge.
@HeTows this is one of those ideas that's insane until it's inevitable

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More from @BaruchKogan

Baruch Kogan Profile picture
Nov 2
Good thread.

But there is something missing here.

There are really not many secular voluntarists left. They saw Israel as embodying some sort of Marxist zeitgeist, or were inspired by earlier Israeli successes, or were just young and full of chutzpah. All that is gone.
Fatalism is fundamentally a trait of exhausted secular Israelis who embrace the modernist worldview. Once you believe that God doesn't exist/care and that there's no fundamental difference between Jews and anyone else, what's left? Only material conditions. What are those?
Well, we're a small country surrounded by enemies without much in the way of natural resources. So what can we ultimately do but go with the consensus of the "international community"? And if the international community agrees that we need to give in, we need to give in.
Read 8 tweets
Baruch Kogan Profile picture
Oct 29
Why are they like this?

1) originally, the IDF was led by a socialist mafia which would cover up its mistakes and lie about its failures, unaccountably

2) with the sale of Israel to the US as a satrapy in the 1970s, the existential threats keeping them a little bit honest were
...pushed off into the indefinite future. This freed our generals completely to focus on what was important: their own careers, both pre- and post-retirement.
3) there are 2000+ retired generals in Israel. They retire in their 50s, full of vigor, coming out of an experience where they were at the peak of their game in terms of power, influence, respect. What will they do now? There are a few dozen positions available in politics and...
Read 6 tweets
Baruch Kogan Profile picture
Oct 12
I don't see the GOI (Government of Israel) as capable of formulating a goal for the Gaza operation. What is the desired end state?
1. Expulsion. This would be condemned as a war crime, result in sanctions hurting our I-Tek economy, crippling the essential ability of Israeli politicians to go shopping in Europe and retired Israeli generals to make millions off consulting contracts and arms deals.
2. Direct rule. This is colonialism, see above, same thing but slower.
Read 8 tweets
Baruch Kogan Profile picture
Aug 2
Thread.

What is going on in Israel right now is much deeper than the legal reform and the question of whether the opinion of 15 self appointed judges on whether a law or executive decision is reasonable or not should be the final say in any matter.
What is going on is that the establishment, which has controlled all the institutions that matter and thus set the bounds of permitted discourse for half a century after losing the majority of Jewish voters, is feeling that control crack. The earth is opening up under their feet.
By the way, this doesn't really mean a transfer of power to the elected politicians on the right. They are part of the same establishment, just one it dislikes. Kerensky and Milyukov types.
Read 21 tweets
Baruch Kogan Profile picture
Jul 26
Secular Israeli kibbutzcucks don't reproduce but won't cede their land to Jews who do at normal prices. Therefore, they lose it to Arabs. The decaying state can't stop Arab crime, extortion, theft. The kibbutzcucks won't stop it-they're not "hilltop hooligans", after all!
This is the context of the rage towards me and those like me from @GhostArikSharon. This is a young guy who drank the Kool Aid and bought into the lies, which grow more threadbare daily, but doesn't have the courage to admit he was made into a freier.
@GhostArikSharon He tweets insults at me, while outside his window another Jewish kindergarten closes, another Jewish school moves to a "mixed" model (Jewish and Arab kids together, predictable results,) another Jewish family flees, Muhammad takes another ten dunam of land.
Read 5 tweets
Baruch Kogan Profile picture
Jul 26
I'll say it again. A conqueror must rule the conquered (or expel them.)
If you do not rule over them, others will emerge to do so, because hierarchy is natural to humans. And then soon those others will work to get rid of your ineffectual presence. And then, having conquered those areas back, they will look to your original territory.
And, being morally weak, you will slowly concede more and more of it to them, first informally and then formally, each time in exchange for "peace" which lasts until they want the next slice.

Is this not the story of the Israeli regime over the last 4 decades?
Read 6 tweets

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