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This article is a little old 26th Oct. but as today is the day that we will likely find that Seymour & Luxon do not have a majority it’s most relevant today. scoop.co.nz/stories/HL2310…
https://twitter.com/althecat/status/1720155810247156169
The problem - and this is my opinion not GC’s - is that nobody in the Labour Caucus seems to be willing to step up and take on the position of leader. There were some half hearted attempts to discuss having a leadership vote in caucus after the defeat. But the obvious candidate for caretaker PM Grant Robertson seems to still be unwilling to step up. He should be dragooned IMHO. And if. It him then Parker Sepoloni or Woods.
My understanding is that Chris Hipkins has not even picked up the phone to James Shaw (Greens) so probably also not Rawiri (Te Pati Māori) either.
This sort of uncertainty in Govt formation is a feature not a bug of MMP. And I think an illustration of MMP just doing its thing - and of an electorate which is learning how the system works. But it breaks the system if the 2nd Major party rules out forming a Govt.
Chris Hipkins at the moment seems to wwant to simply hand over the keys to the Beehive to Luxon. And in doing so I think he has effectively abdicated his responsibility - and therefore needs to resign to let the Caucus decide who should pick up the phone to Winston, Rawiri & James.
My understanding is that Chris Hipkins has not even picked up the phone to James Shaw (Greens) so probably also not Rawiri (Te Pati Māori) either.
This sort of uncertainty in Govt formation is a feature not a bug of MMP. And I think an illustration of MMP just doing its thing - and of an electorate which is learning how the system works. But it breaks the system if the 2nd Major party rules out forming a Govt.
Chris Hipkins at the moment seems to wwant to simply hand over the keys to the Beehive to Luxon. And in doing so I think he has effectively abdicated his responsibility - and therefore needs to resign to let the Caucus decide who should pick up the phone to Winston, Rawiri & James.
At 2pm we will find most likely that once again @WinstonPeters holds all the cards. Luxon’s on real alternative to get himself a working majority is Te Pati Māori. Conventional wisdom suggests the Greens 🥬 would ruin a good thing should they talk to Luxon.
But in coalition negotiations the devil is always in the detail and after a 2 week pause where Luxon has presumably commenced his courtship of Winston - this is where the negotiations will begin. But someone in Labour needs to also reach out to him. And Chippy needs to get out of the way.
But in coalition negotiations the devil is always in the detail and after a 2 week pause where Luxon has presumably commenced his courtship of Winston - this is where the negotiations will begin. But someone in Labour needs to also reach out to him. And Chippy needs to get out of the way.
@winstonpeters /ends
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