Myth-busting Israel Defense Force🧵

Many have seen the video of Hama fighters attacking Israeli tanks from point blank range.

Now another video emerged showing Hamas fighters attacking a Namer APC.

Again, with no supporting Israeli infantry in sight, why is that?
1/8
To understand the current Israeli urban warfare doctrine you have to look to where it came from.

All the major conflicts Israel have fought in the past were quick, high intensity wars, fought in open terrain.

From the Sinai to the Golan Heights. Image
The focus on these terrains is reflected in the IDF's force structure.

It has an ridiculously high ratio of armored brigades to infantry brigades.

🔸Pre 1970s, it was 2 tank brigades for every 1 infantry brigades.

🔸Now, it's 1 tank brigades for every 2 infantry brigades.
Even though the numbers are flipped, and more focus placed on infantry, the amount of amor is still very high.

From this, we can describe the Israeli urban warfare doctrine as an armored demolition team.
It's centered around the heavily armored Namer APC(armored personnel carrier) and the Puma combat engineer vehicle.

Attach some Merkava tanks and armored bulldozers, forms the "combined arms" (heavily armored) approach to urban warfare by the IDF.

Image
Image
Image
Israeli infantry are encouraged to use the heavily armored Namer APC as a safe bastion.

In a stressful situation, the average infantry tend to crowd around places where they feel the safest, instead where they should be.

More so, if permissive by the doctrine they were taught
Since the 2nd intifada and 2nd Lebanon war that forced the IDF to form their current urban warfare doctrine.

It has never been tested at a large scale until this current conflict.

So Israel is going into Gaza basically blind, with an untested doctrine. Image
The ever present myth of an experienced IDF that's pragmatic and light on its feet, is not an entirely accurate picture.

It may be true 40 years ago, but it's certainly not the case today, when most of their experience are gained dealing with kids throwing rocks in the West Bank Image

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More from @zhao_dashuai

Mar 23
A thread on why the F-47 might not be considered as true 6th generation fighter due to its canards.

And why canards are fine for 5th gen stealth fighters but not 6th gen fighters.
1/9🧵 Image
The most important qualifiers to be a 6th gen fighter, are All-aspect stealth and muti-band stealth.

All-Aspect Stealth; Means the aircraft is stealth from all angles, 6th gen fighters removes the vertical tail to achieve this.

Such as the J-36 Image
Multi-band stealth means the aircraft must be very low observable VLO in both high and low frequency radars.

The B-2 bomber or the Chinese J-36 are great example of an aircraft with multi-band stealth.
Read 9 tweets
Mar 22
People don't understand "market economy". Yes, It's a fraud, but this fraudulent system runs the world.

Here's how China has enabled the cheat code of capitalism.

I'll use this American style suburbia in Shanghai as an example.
1/10🧵
Restricting housing density to low, will drive up home prices, stabilizing the real estate sector. This is the easy way to generate GDP.

Like it or not, the real estate sector is a sizable portion of the economy in every country.
The current oversupply in Chinese real-estate is in part due to very high density developments. Most post 2010 developments are above 30 stories high.

Lower the density, solves half of the problem in Chinese real estate.

BUT, it'll increase the price, capitalist say it's good Image
Read 10 tweets
Mar 9
The rationale for war with China over Taiwan, by the US Army War College:

The Americans believe China will be the one to initiate the war with the US over Taiwan, by attacking US forces.

Comprehensive thread diving into the mind games played between China and the US
1/10🧵
What does this particular rationale presented by the US Army War College tell us?

Our conclusion is that the US is afraid to initiate the war over Taiwan with China, because they lack good rationales for a such costly conflict.

To the US, war should be a profitable business.
Wars do not start with a snap of the finger.

There are many rungs on the ladder of escalation finishing with open conflict.

Whichever side intends to climb that ladder has the *initiative* to escalate.

The other side then has the *dilemma* to escalate in response or not. Image
Read 10 tweets
Mar 8
The US air force on China's 6th gen fighter:

"We have some choices to make as we observe what China has produced".

China has surpassed the US on 6th gen fighter development. They're reacting to the Chinese development.

Thread on this watershed moment for air superiority
1/9🧵 Image
It's the first time the US is playing catch up in air superiority, since World War 2.

The entire Western war doctrine revolves around gaining air superiority, losing that means losing everything.

For China, winning that means winning everything.
That's what at stake. Image
Currently the most public and advanced 6th gen fighter in the world is the J-36, the competing "J-50" is less known, hence less talked about.

The J-36 is designed to set the rules for 6th gen air warfare.

J-36 is to 6th gen air warfare as F-22 is to 5th gen air warfare. Image
Read 9 tweets
Mar 1
The Trump-Zelensky fight was the unintended consequence of a setup from both sides.

Zelensky wanted to act tough on camera, and Trump got cold feet and wanted to back out of the deal presented by Rubio.

Ultimate fault lies with Rubio and his State Department.
Here's why🧵:
1/8 Image
The details of this mineral for protection deal would've been drafted by the State Department, and sold as a profitable business transaction by Rubio to Trump.
Trump initially liked it, but reality probably set in for him.

Rare Earth minerals are not rare per se. However, because of its low concertation, mining it requires a robust mining industry.

It is only economically viable IF your country has an existing robust mining industry.
Read 8 tweets
Feb 5
The US have promised to ethnically cleanse Gaza of the Palestinian population.

This is for the ultimate goal of the creation of Greater Israel, where Arabs live as 2nd class citizens under the Zionist apartheid.

The Arab world must wake up, here's what they must do.
🧵1/16 Image
First thing first, get rid of all the weapons systems of Western origin.

All of it, even the European ones has backdoors that prevents their usage against Israel.

Might is Right, you don't have any bargaining power unless you have the fire power to back it up.
Then splurge on Chinese weapons.

Currently, China is the only non-Western weapon exporter that can provide full sets of weapon systems on time.

So what kind of weapons do the Arab nations need? Image
Read 17 tweets

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