Trent Telenko Profile picture
Nov 7 17 tweets 4 min read Twitter logo Read on Twitter
The simultaneous Ukraine fielding new jammers of Russian FPV drones (below) and new longer ranged, cheap, EW hardened FPV's with a ~30 km range operating in the same electromagnetic battlespace over #Krynky to cover ferry operations is a demonstration of its E.W. mastery.

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The map (H/T @secretsqrl123) and the quoted post below will give you the idea of the area of effect Ukraines simultaneous deployment of FPV Drone Jammers and new generation longer range & electronic warfare hardened FPV's to interdict RuAF vehicles.

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What Ukraine did here was what the US manual JP 3-51, Joint Doctrine for Electronic Warfare, calls "Frequency Deconfliction."**

Ukraine fielded a number of powerful river mobile drone jammers while at the same time deploying slightly larger FPV drones with different radio
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...operating frequencies that the jammers don't cover.

Or the AFU are simply opening windows in time and space where their jammers don't affect Ukrainian FPV, or grenade dropping drone, frequencies like shown in the video below.

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Ukraine's coordination of it's "Talkers" (jamming community), it's "Listeners" (Signals intercept community), it's combat arms and it's military procurement organizations to deliver what is looking like battle winning performance to cross the Dnipro is something the US

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...Military would be very hard pressed to duplicate.

Particularly given the US Army's complete organizational annihilation of its electronic warfare jamming community, its 'talkers.' in the 2000's.

The lack of 'talkers' with the tools to exercise with for 15 years has

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...left it far, far behind Ukraine of November 2023 in terms of systems level coordination of procurements with electronic deconfliction needs on the battlefield.

Especially since the US Army's Military Intelligence "listeners" hate jamming talkers just for existing, turf🙄⬇️
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...reasons.

Add in decades of a dead ground jamming equipment industrial base, more byzantine than the Byzantine's DoD procurement laws, rules, and regulations, plus yet more interservice turf issues of who exactly owns drones...

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...there really isn't a chance the US Military can get this right before combat failure, particularly if it involved the leadership of the US Army

Just a cursory evaluation of Ukrainian FPV drone jammer numbers suggest a modern US Army division needs two E.W. battalions

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...in order to function on a modern battlefield.

Electronic Warfare for the US Army is set to become the combat engineers of the electromagnetic spectrum.

You can't move on the battlefield without them.

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The interrelation of drones and EW means we will likely see a combined drone/EW branch eating most of the functions of fire support, aviation and intelligence into a new combat arms branch/union.

Attack heloes will be replaced by drones in most scenarios, that much is clear.
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Drones have become the main low tactical level level Recce platform.

Attack heloes will need standoff weapons for non-line of sight fire support, and drones to scout ahead and provide over the hill targeting.

Electronic Warfare Officers (EWO) will need to be embedded into

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...every drone, mech, artillery, infantry etc Bde.

Plus technicians to do the maintenance and other EW grunt work.

Exactly how to do this structurally is a good question. 🤔

Embedded and integrated is the likely outcome.

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Drones & their required EW force structure is a "disruptive innovation" that will only happen in the US Military over the dead bodies of all the various service pilot unions, plus the US Army's Military Intelligence & Field Artillery branch chiefs.

Only the falls of Poland,

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...France and catastrophic military defeat at Pearl Harbor from Sept. 1939 thru Dec. 1941 got rid of both the Horse Cavalry Generals and the Battleship Admirals.

Only a similar level of failure can unscrew the mess the US Military is in now over drones.

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P.S.

You can download a copy of JP 3-51, Joint Doctrine for Electronic Warfare at the link below.
irp.fas.org/doddir/dod/jp3…
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More from @TrentTelenko

Nov 6
In watching the current Israeli - Hamas War, very few have tried to analyze Israel's strategic dilemma & what happens to Gaza Palestinians after Israel militarily exterminates Hamas.

I've just found an article that does...and it's going to be a dystopian Sci-Fi horror show.

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This section of Holsinger's article makes the right comparison to the US battle to liberate Manila from the Japanese in early 1945 to get reasonable estimates for IDF losses.

I posted on Manila before & hope he's wrong on civilian casualties in Gaza 😱
2/
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This is the only article I've seen mention this point about what Hamas is.

Hamas is a death cult. It exults in the deaths of its enemies & its supporters.

Cultures that turn pregnant women into suicide bombers are incapable of making a Westphalian Nation-State.

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Read 20 tweets
Nov 5
@vtchakarova Ms. Tchakarova,

War has a horrible inertia all of its own.

It is more likely that a fully mobilized IDF will turn immediately upon Hezbollah after eliminating Hamas.

Then turn upon Fatah on the West Bank after that before going home, AKA once and done threat elimination.

1/
@vtchakarova Those are the political-military-economic incentives of a full Israeli military mobilization.

The economic threat of Hezbollah completely shutting down the Israeli economy regularly with rockets, forcing another full IDF mobilization, is no longer tolerable after 7 Oct 2023.
2/
@vtchakarova And the ethical slope of the 'slippery slope' to go for a comprehensive one state solution after dealing with Hezbollah is nearly vertical.

The strategic shift in Israeli mindset also radically lowers the barrier to deal with Iran before it gets nukes.

3/3
Read 4 tweets
Nov 5
Gosh, reality is being utterly savage to all those X accounts that keep yipping & yapping how "hard and expensive" it is to harden drones from jamming.

They don't know neither jack nor jill about drones or electronic warfare.🤷‍♂️

This 🧵shows easy it is to stop GPS jamming.⬇️
1/
This, BTW, doesn't make me an expert on either subject.

I'm a historian of Gen MacArthur's Section 22 radar hunters & I got a few years experience sticking inspection mirrors into new production RQ-4B wings in North Texas.

Plus, like any US Dad, I'm "daddy drone care"...

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...for my three young boy's nano & micro-drones.

And, BTW, the USA's 1st TV guided combat drone debuted in MacArthur's SWPA theater.😉

Let's just say this gives me a...unique...historical plus nuts & bolts perspective on the care & feeding of drones in Ukrainian combat.🙂

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Read 4 tweets
Nov 4
Do you all remember that guy on X talking smack to me about how expensive electronic warfare hardened FPV drones would be?

Ukraine has proven his near term analytical powers to be highly flawed on the subject of the high procurement costs EW hardened FPV drones.🤣🤣🤣⬇️

Drone🧵
Sadly, the DoD is filled with these kind of guys whose worldview of drones is as a ROBOCOP class procurement/budget threat to their crewed "ED-209's" (F-35/LCS/M1299).

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Three years ago almost everybody was shocked when the Azeris conducted a complete CAS/BAI campaign in N-K using little plastic Bayraktars & miniature MAM-C/L LGBs.

Now no one is shocked that half of all RuAF guns, mortar & rocket systems killed in Oct 2023 died of drones
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Read 24 tweets
Nov 3
So, this device protects a circle 1.2 km across from drones & jams GPS/Glonas. That is the coverage of a platoon position in Ukraine, ~25-to-40 men

How many platoons are there in a battalion?

Usually there are 9 for line infantry, plus another 4-to-9 for US Mech Bn "tail"
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There are usual 9-to-10 battalions of tanks, infantry, & reconnaissance in a division.

In addition, there are usually 3-to-4 battalions of artillery with 18-to-24 guns each in 3-to-4 batteries of 4-to-8 guns.

Gun batteries will need a minimum of 2 jammers each while using
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..."shot & scoot" tactics to avoid counter battery fire.

Plus all artillery fire direction centers will need at least 2-to-3 active jammers so a mass MLRS *blarf* doesn't simply eliminate the grid square they are in.

Then how many are going to be needed with logistics?
Read 9 tweets
Nov 1
This is one of those glass half empty/glass half full posts about the Russo-Ukraine War.

People wanting to see Russian power, see Russian air superiority.

When I look at Oct 22 report, it tells me that the RuAF has run out of trucks to support their artillery.

Logistics 🧵
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The Russians are using the VKS to deliver firepower to the Left bank of the Dnipro in lieu of artillery.

So where are they getting the fuel?

How are they moving & distributing it?

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Russia has an increasingly critical shortage of tactical trucks and particularly fuel trucks to distribute fuel.

This is affecting the Russian economy and has caused fuel shortages in Crimea

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Read 11 tweets

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