Thread by @SteB777

Should be the biggest news in the world.

‘Insanity’: petrostates planning huge expansion of fossil fuels, says UN report

Plans by nations including Saudi Arabia, the US and UAE would blow climate targets and ‘throw humanity’s future into question’

1/🧵theguardian.com/environment/20…

This changes everything, and must change how all scientists and concerned people think about the climate crisis.

For over 30 years, our leadership have been lying to us about their plans to phase out fossil fuels.
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All major world leaders and senior politicians in government, must have known about this planned fossil fuel expansion for a very long time.

These politicians all have large intelligence agencies, which must have known about this, and therefore, so did the senior politicians.
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Climate scientists have been taken in by senior politicians, simply because these politicians told them they were committed to reducing emissions, when they were actually lying to them.
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Most honest people, don't understand, devious, disingenuous Machiavellian people within the dark triad. Who can convincingly say something, and not mean a word of what they say. They cannot grasp total disingenuity.

5/psychologytoday.com/gb/basics/dark…

Unfortunately, in my personal life, I have been at the wrong end of people who were very convincing, but totally disingenuous. The problem is, you can only see this with hindsight. Only, with that hindsight, do you realize that person, never meant a word of what they said.
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So a long time ago, I developed a hypothesis, that perhaps our leadership might be like this. After all, if you factored in this possibility, it would explain everything about the world's supposed inability to address the climate crisis.
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There is a widely used, but widely misunderstood, thinking tool, used in science. Occam's razor. Essentially, it says that the most likely explanation is the one that requires the fewest possible number of assumptions, preferably one.

8/en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Occam%27s…

Occam's razor, is based on probability i.e. that it would be very unlikely, that an explanation, requiring a multiple array, of assumptions, would be the correct explanation. However, it's not infallible, as improbable things do happen, but only very rarely.
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Whole tracts have been written, about our apparent inability to address the climate crisis. But it has never been "our" failure to address the climate crisis. It has always been the failure of our leadership, not us.
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In my very deep thinking about this, I posited one simple explanation, for the failure of our leadership, to address the climate crisis. That was very simple, that actually weren't even trying to phase out fossil fuels, that they were only pretending to.
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This single assumption, explained everything. That COP talks kept failing, not because of the intractable problem, but simply, because our leadership, didn't actually wanted to phase out fossil fuels, but they were planning to expand fossil fuel extraction/burning.
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But this would mean our leadership, both political and business, was actively lying to us, in a massive way.

As I've said, I know this is possible, because I've personally had a few people do it to me.
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The difficulty is, we don't know how many people in our society, are totally disingenuous, ruthless liars. I know from personal experience, it isn't common, and most people can't be that totally insincere, they'd find it impossible.
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However, even if it is only a small percentage, that adds up to a considerable number of people, in our society. Enough to people, many governments.

So I asked, what if our leadership, were such people, totally disingenuous.
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What I realized from my personal experience is that it is very difficult to spot these people, even when they are very close to you. They are so good at making excuses. But eventually, something happens, and you suddenly realize this person was lying all along.
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What I'm suggesting is that this UN report is such a moment. It is not just this report, but we can see it with our own eyes. Where governments supposedly committed to addressing the climate crisis, are actually still opening up new fossil fuel reserves.
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They use superficially plausible arguments (specious arguments), that it is supposedly part of a transition away from fossil fuels. But this supposed transition, has been going on for over 30 years, and we burn more and more fossil fuels. The pattern is the opposite.
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Please see my thread about specious arguments. Specious arguments, are so seductive, to the point that people cannot comprehend that they are false arguments. Often knowingly false, by people that are utterly disingenuous and insincere.

19/threadreaderapp.com/thread/1678802…

To conclude, it is not plausible that our senior politicians did not know, that there were plans to greatly expand fossil fuel use, because their own governments would have such plans, and their intelligence services would have told them other governments had these plans.
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The only plausible explanation for this, is that this was a knowing charade, to pretend to be wanting to end fossil fuel use, whilst knowingly intending to expand fossil fuel use.
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There is a killer fact, that tells us, that throughout this was their hidden agenda. They were careful, never to sign a binding agreement, to phase out fossil fuels. In other words, it shows they were planning to renege on this, all along.
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This report, validates everything I have been saying, for over 30 years, where I've often been left in a minority of one, and I have been accused of being cynical. No, I was right, as this UN report proves.
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Anyone who engages with this slimy liars, thinking they actually want to phase out fossil fuels, is either naive, or complicit, in it.

We must end the COP talks (they're a fraud) immediately, and demand a new format, totally committed to phasing out fossil fuels.
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I don't have the words to fully convey, how this totally changes everything, and it is delusional, to think we can convey the totally disingenuous people who are our supposed leaders, to take action. They are determined not to take action to reduce fossil fuel use.
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@GretaThunberg @ClimateHuman @KevinClimate @GeorgeMonbiot @JKSteinberger @ChrisGPackham @JustStop_Oil @ExtinctionR @XRebellionUK @GreenRupertRead @CarolineLucas @NaomiOreskes

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