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SITUATION REPORT, KHERSON THEATER OF OPERATIONS >>
(NOVEMBER 10, 2023)
Information in this thread is widespread on Russian channels, and therefore does not violate OpSec.
Ukrainian forces have expanded their control over considerable areas on the Russian-occupied bank of the river.
They have also been strengthened by reinforcements, so that there are now several hundred Ukrainian troops holding and consolidating positions and advancing on the Russian-occupied bank.
NOTE that preparations for this operation have been ongoing since as far back as July.
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UKRAINIAN POSITIONS AND ADVANCES ON THE LEFT BANK:
>> Ukrainian forces now have firm control over positions reaching from the Antonovskiy Bridge to the railway bridge to the east of it, as shown in the blue area (A) on the map below.
>> Ukrainian troops are also conducting assaults through Poima (B), Pishchanivka (C) and Pidstepne (D). Ukrainian troops have also established positions between Pidstepne and Kozachi Laheri (E), and are now consolidating the same.
>> Ukrainian forces have expanded their control of Krynky and the surrounding areas (F), and are now storming russian positions to the south-west (G) and south (H) of Krynky.
>> The Oleshky-Nova Kakhovka road has been cut in two places by these assaults, and Ukrainian troops are advancing past the road and into the woods bordering the desert (H).
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ANALYSIS OF UKRAINIAN TACTICS:
>> This is an excellent area to establish a beach head, because the Oleshky Sands desert is impassible and acts as a massive shield against Russian counter-attacks.
Any counter attacks will therefore have to come along the banks of the Dnipro river, and these can be held under heavy artillery fire from the Ukrainian-held bank of the river.
While Ukrainian assaults continue, the desert again complicates russian attempts to defend the area, giving them no space to maneuver or retreat - they literally fight with the desert to their banks.
>> Ukraine continues to use a new class of indigenously-manufactured drone with longer range to engage the enemy. These drones have been reverse engineered from the Iranian Shaheed drones.
>> Russian forces in the area of the present operation are under heavy fire from drone-directed HIMARS strikes.
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ANALYSIS OF RUSSIAN FORCE STRENGTH IN THE AREA:
>> Russian forces in the Kherson theater of operations are highly depleted, and likely do not possess sufficient forces or reserves to impede Ukrainian advances in the area.
>> Reinforcement from other sectors is also highly unlikely, with Russia presently conducting heavy assaults in areas like Avdiivka, and also attempting to defend Zaporizhzhia. It is therefore unlikely that Russia has combat-ready reserves to spare for the Kherson theater of operations.
>> Russian minefields in the area have been swept away by the flood that they triggered by destroying the Nova Kakhovka dam. This simplifies Ukrainian assaults in this theater of operations.
>>Russians forces have placed demolition charges on civilian infrastructure in the area, just as they did before their withdrawal from Kherson.
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A KEY TO THE MAP:
>> In the map below, Blue Areas and Blue Arrows show present areas under Ukrainian control, or vectors for Ukrainian assaults.
>> The Russian Flags show the location of Russian units, and the Ukrainian Symbols the location of Ukrainian ones.
>> My Image on the map (surrounded by a bright green circle) shows my rough location – within a rather vague kilometer or two, of course.
>> The Yellow Line shows the beginnings of Impassable Terrain. This is the Oleshky Sands Desert.
(NOVEMBER 10, 2023)
Information in this thread is widespread on Russian channels, and therefore does not violate OpSec.
Ukrainian forces have expanded their control over considerable areas on the Russian-occupied bank of the river.
They have also been strengthened by reinforcements, so that there are now several hundred Ukrainian troops holding and consolidating positions and advancing on the Russian-occupied bank.
NOTE that preparations for this operation have been ongoing since as far back as July.
---
UKRAINIAN POSITIONS AND ADVANCES ON THE LEFT BANK:
>> Ukrainian forces now have firm control over positions reaching from the Antonovskiy Bridge to the railway bridge to the east of it, as shown in the blue area (A) on the map below.
>> Ukrainian troops are also conducting assaults through Poima (B), Pishchanivka (C) and Pidstepne (D). Ukrainian troops have also established positions between Pidstepne and Kozachi Laheri (E), and are now consolidating the same.
>> Ukrainian forces have expanded their control of Krynky and the surrounding areas (F), and are now storming russian positions to the south-west (G) and south (H) of Krynky.
>> The Oleshky-Nova Kakhovka road has been cut in two places by these assaults, and Ukrainian troops are advancing past the road and into the woods bordering the desert (H).
---------------
ANALYSIS OF UKRAINIAN TACTICS:
>> This is an excellent area to establish a beach head, because the Oleshky Sands desert is impassible and acts as a massive shield against Russian counter-attacks.
Any counter attacks will therefore have to come along the banks of the Dnipro river, and these can be held under heavy artillery fire from the Ukrainian-held bank of the river.
While Ukrainian assaults continue, the desert again complicates russian attempts to defend the area, giving them no space to maneuver or retreat - they literally fight with the desert to their banks.
>> Ukraine continues to use a new class of indigenously-manufactured drone with longer range to engage the enemy. These drones have been reverse engineered from the Iranian Shaheed drones.
>> Russian forces in the area of the present operation are under heavy fire from drone-directed HIMARS strikes.
---------------
ANALYSIS OF RUSSIAN FORCE STRENGTH IN THE AREA:
>> Russian forces in the Kherson theater of operations are highly depleted, and likely do not possess sufficient forces or reserves to impede Ukrainian advances in the area.
>> Reinforcement from other sectors is also highly unlikely, with Russia presently conducting heavy assaults in areas like Avdiivka, and also attempting to defend Zaporizhzhia. It is therefore unlikely that Russia has combat-ready reserves to spare for the Kherson theater of operations.
>> Russian minefields in the area have been swept away by the flood that they triggered by destroying the Nova Kakhovka dam. This simplifies Ukrainian assaults in this theater of operations.
>>Russians forces have placed demolition charges on civilian infrastructure in the area, just as they did before their withdrawal from Kherson.
---------------
A KEY TO THE MAP:
>> In the map below, Blue Areas and Blue Arrows show present areas under Ukrainian control, or vectors for Ukrainian assaults.
>> The Russian Flags show the location of Russian units, and the Ukrainian Symbols the location of Ukrainian ones.
>> My Image on the map (surrounded by a bright green circle) shows my rough location – within a rather vague kilometer or two, of course.
>> The Yellow Line shows the beginnings of Impassable Terrain. This is the Oleshky Sands Desert.
To observe the progress of this operation, you can compare the present Situation Report to the one from November 8:
https://twitter.com/AleksandrX13/status/1722148770433966179
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