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Very dangerous developments in Ukraine
The conflict between Zelenskyy's office and Zaluzhnyi is apparently real. Within this conflict, people close to Zelensky leaked to WaPo what is effectively an admission that 🇺🇦 is responsible for Nord Stream.
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archive.is/sgzm8
The conflict between Zelenskyy's office and Zaluzhnyi is apparently real. Within this conflict, people close to Zelensky leaked to WaPo what is effectively an admission that 🇺🇦 is responsible for Nord Stream.
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archive.is/sgzm8
The purpose of the leak is to blame Zaluzhnyi for the Nord Stream attack while claiming that Zelensky did not know about it.
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In effect, a leak to WaPo becomes a weapon in the internecine struggle, but the admission itself puts Ukraine in an incredibly tough spot diplomatically.
This just shows how destructive the spiraling conflict between Zelenskyy and Zalyzhnyi can be.
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This just shows how destructive the spiraling conflict between Zelenskyy and Zalyzhnyi can be.
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The admission comes on top of other adverse developments:
- a stalemate at the front
- declining interest and increasingly skeptical coverage of Ukrainian efforts in the media
- America's preoccupation with Israel, with some weapons likely being diverted from 🇺🇦 to Israel
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- a stalemate at the front
- declining interest and increasingly skeptical coverage of Ukrainian efforts in the media
- America's preoccupation with Israel, with some weapons likely being diverted from 🇺🇦 to Israel
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My point is not to criticize the Ukrainian leadership, which I have neither the right nor the desire to do. The point is analytical - to show the rapidly deteriorating situation.
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To me, it is absolutely clear that the current developments are *exactly* what Putin wants and what he's waited for.
Not only that, but to him, these are signs of weakness that call for further escalation!
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Not only that, but to him, these are signs of weakness that call for further escalation!
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This is why the discussion of "peace plans", e.g. the one offered by Arestovych - NATO membership in exchange for territories - is beside the point.
Putin interprets any such plans as a reason to expand and escalate the war.
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Putin interprets any such plans as a reason to expand and escalate the war.
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He is NOT going to give up, he is NOT going to negotiate and he will announce a second wave of conscription after his 2024 "elections" if he sees any opening.
An opening for him would be the weakening of Western support for Ukraine.
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An opening for him would be the weakening of Western support for Ukraine.
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It is my belief, based on many years of studying Russian politics, that Putin is waiting for literally any sign of weakness and Ukraine is in grave danger.
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This is why it's supremely important to reaffirm unflinching support for Ukraine at this moment. The West should really prepare to support Ukraine for as long as it takes. These should not be empty words.
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