In today's #vatniksoup, I'll introduce an American attorney, weeaboo and social media personality, Tyler Weaver (@ArmchairW). He's best-known for his copium-infused, pro-Russian analysis on the Russo-Ukrainian War, and for his deep admiration of Russian Imperialism.
1/17
Tyler spent 9 years in active service as an Artillery Officer in the US Army, and he frequently leans on his military background to lend credence to his takes and to shut down criticism. And although Tyler claims not to like credentialism, they seem very important to him.
2/17
As someone who often bends the definition of truth, Mr. Weaver has definitely chosen the right career path - he currently works as an Assistant District Attorney after graduating from the University of Washington School of Law in Jun 2022.
3/17
On X, Tyler is mainly known for 4 things: posting dubious anime girls, battlefield predictions that age spectacularly badly, downplaying all Russian strategic losses and war crimes and of course overestimating Ukraine's losses and their alleged war crimes.
4/17
Oh, and if you want to engage with Mr. Weaver, try to refrain from describing him or his book as "creepy". I mean, in his book he does describe in detail the breasts of a schoolgirl as she undresses, but that's just high-quality literature.
5/17
Apparently Tyler absolutely loathes Zelenskyy. During the early days of the full-scale invasion, he was supporting the rumour that he had fled to Poland and was hiding in a "Polish basement". That's pretty ironic, as it was actually grandpa Putin who was hiding in a bunker.
6/17
Then there's the other classics, like calling Zelenskyy a drug addict, claiming that he's not a "real Jew" (or that he's not a Jew at all), that he doesn't visit synagogues, that he & his wife are profiting from the war & that he's raising an army from children and elderly.
7/17
Tyler asserted that the claims of a massacre of civilians in Bucha were dubious, because they were made a week after Russians left town. In actuality, the news was starting to come out in real-time, but since the press could not visit the area until the Ukrainian Army...
8/17
...had forced a Russian withdrawal, journalists had to wait for verification. He called the incident an "ongoing psyop campaign" and demanded "hard evidence" for the massacre. That hard evidence came in a form of photos and video later in an article by the New York Times.
9/17
He's often described the abduction of Ukrainian children to Russia as "patent nonsense". The International Criminal Court seems to disagree with this statement,having issued an arrest warrant for Putin after determining the extent of child abductions equated to a war crime.
10/17
He's also downplayed war crimes conducted by Russian soldiers, claimed that Russia's soldiers and leadership have adhered to the Geneva conventions. Naturally, he's downplayed Russian casualties, too, suggesting that Ukraine has lost 7-13 times more soldiers than Russia.
11/17
As you can guess, his battlefield predictions are usually wrong. Good example of this is the recapture of Kherson, which Tyler called a "disastrous counteroffensive".He later stated that Russia actually didn't want to keep Kherson since they met their "withdrawal criteria".
12/17
He's stated that he's seen "zero evidence of any systematic Russian violations". UN Commission of Inquiry on Ukraine of course disagrees with Tyler, and in Oct 2023 reported about "continued war crimes and human rights violations gravely impacting civilians."
13/17
According to Weaver, Russia was surgical in Mariupol, minimizing the damage done to the city and asserting that power was back on and stores open while fighting was still ongoing. In reality, approximately 46% of buildings in Mariupol were either destroyed or damaged.
14/17
Emergency services collapsed completely, and civilians had to be buried in mass graves. A total of 350 000 citizens fled. The precise scale of death is still unknown due to the Russian occupation, but estimates put the number of dead civilians into the 10s of thousands.
15/17
Tyler's ignored all drone-footage verified evidence about completely demolished cities like Bakhmut and Mariupol, referring to them as "mere projection" and "hyperventilating stories," and claims that it's again Ukraine who shells their own cities and citizens.
16/17
Like @GeromanAT and @Trollstoy88 (RIP Zoka), Weaver has no trouble in lying, exaggerating and just making shit up to his +80 000 followers.
Thank you for the sous-chef @ArmchairCopelrd for helping me to prepare this soup and @UnintelAgency seasoning it to perfection.
In today’s vatnik soup, I’ll discuss how Estonia, Latvia & Lithuania cut the cord on Russian energy, further reducing their reliance on the Kremlin.
At the same time, the Baltics set an example for EU countries like Slovakia & Hungary whose leadership still worships Putin.
1/24
Moscow has long used its vast natural gas reserves as a geopolitical weapon, manipulating energy supplies to keep neighbors obedient. They’ve used the “energy weapon” several times, with the most blatant cases of Kremlin blackmail coming of course from Ukraine.
2/24
Let’s rewind back to the 1990s: The USSR dissolved, but Russia inherited the gas reserves, pipelines, and Gazprom — its political weapon. Meanwhile, the Baltic states were politically free but economically tied to Russia, heavily reliant on Russian gas.
In today’s Vatnik Soup, I’ll introduce an Estonian politician, Jana Toom (@JanaToomEE). She’s best-known for promoting pro-Kremlin viewpoints both in domestic Estonian politics and in the European Parliament.
1/22
Toom’s mother, Margarita Chernogorova, studied law in Leningrad & worked for the Communist Party. She was also a confidant to the most notorious leader of the Estonian Soviet Socialist Republic, Karl Vaino. One of Chernogorova’s tasks was to suppress the Singing Revolution.
2/22
During the early 90s Toom lived with her husband in Snezhinsk, Russia and returned to Estonia in 1994. Soon after, she joined the editorial board of Molodyož Estonii, a paper known for being a mouthpiece for the Leninist Communist Youth League during the Soviet era.
In today’s Vatnik Soup, I’ll discuss the Kremlin’s toolbox at sea. Recently, we have seen several sabotage operations allegedly conducted by Russia & its allies, especially in the Baltic Sea region. Since 2023, there have been several underwater cables cut by ships’ anchors.
1/18
Since Russia’s full-scale invasion of Ukraine,the Baltic Sea has become a hotspot for NATO-Russia rivalry. This rivalry ramped up in Sep 2022,when the Nord Stream gas pipelines were sabotaged by an unknown perpetrator (some blame a “pro-Ukraine group”, others, the Russians).
2/18
These sabotage operations in the Baltic Sea now target critical infrastructure like Internet and energy cables, links that are vital for European communication and trade. Russia and its allies allegedly use these acts to test NATO’s resilience and response.
In today’s Vatnik Soup, I’ll discuss the absolute state of X in January 2025. Since its acquisition by Elon Musk, this platform has rapidly transformed into his personal political tool and a breeding ground for hate speech and disinformation.
1/22
Not everyone is following this shitshow as closely as I am, so I thought it would be good to write a summary of all the changes that have happened on this forum and outside of it. These changes have drastically changed how the platform operates and who gets “a voice” here.
2/22
Elon’s team has been tweaking the algorithm many times after the takeover. One of these tweaks happened already around Nov 2022, when the platform heavily suppressed the visibility of pro-Ukraine accounts. This change was then noticed & reported by many pro-Ukraine accounts.
3/22
In today’s Vatnik Soup, I’ll introduce a Venezuelan bus driver, politician & dictator, Nicolás Maduro (@NicolasMaduro). He’s best-known for ruining Venezuela, turning it into a dictatorship, and for collaborating with other authoritarian regimes like Russia, Iran & Belarus.
1/22
His exact birthplace has been questioned, but most sources agree that Mr. Maduro was born in Caracas, Venezuela. Maduro was raised in a Catholic family, but at some point became a follower of Indian Hindu guru Sathya Sai Baba and even visited the guru in India back in 2005.
2/22
Nicolás’ introduction to leftist politics happened during the 80s, when he acted as an unofficial trade unionist and as bodyguard for José Vicente Rangel, who later worked as a foreign minister under Hugo Chávez. He also visited Havana, Cuba, where he “studied communism”,…