December 2021: Israeli tanks go 100-200 meters inside Gaza to raze a strawberry farm while a Hamas militant prevents farmers from attacking the Israelis. How come?
🧵Explaining the Israeli-Hamas "ceasefire understandings" & why Israel never went for a formal ceasefire agreement
2\ The Israeli-Hamas "understandings" were brokered by Egypt, Qatar & UN
Hamas polices Israel's siege from the inside, prevents by force anyone from attacking Israel during periods of calm in return for Israel alleviating the blockade
Israel only partially fulfilled its promise
3\ Many attempts & proposals were made to cement "the calm" & establish a formal permanent ceasefire that'd see a mutual full cessation of hostilities in return for lifting the siege on Gaza
Israel killed the Hamas leader advancing this deal in 2012 & turned down later proposals
4\ In return for maintaining calm, Israel only gave Gazans occasional crumbs of mercy: e.g allowing 17,000 people to work in Israel, Qatari cash aid..
Gazans call these "sedatives" b/c Israel maintains "we won't allow real & long-term development in Gaza" maariv.co.il/news/military/…
5\ The situation in Gaza continued to be dire: a permanent state of non-life where the majority of the population are unemployed & living beneath the poverty line.
Israel's occasional crumbs of mercy were a tool of blackmail: e.g. keep quiet or we will re-close the fishing zone.
6\ Israel's gov perfectly understood the only way to end Gaza's plight & get more sustainable calm would be to lift the blockade & go for a formal ceasefire.
An Israeli minister proposed re-opening Gaza's airport & seaport under int. supervision. Netanyahu turned him down...
7\ One reason why Israel never went for a permanent ceasefire was that it dehumanized Gaza so much & for so long that the only acceptable way to discuss Gaza became in terms of strength & deterrence.
Israeli politicians would only compete in terms of who can be tougher on Gaza!
8\ Israel's gov also had strategic gaols of keeping Gaza on the brink & under Hamas' control, to:
Use Gaza as a scarecrow to kill any discussion about ending its occupation in the West Bank. "If we leave, Hamas will take over like in Gaza"
To push Gazans to leave permanently!
9\ Even the informal Israel-Hamas "understanding" was violated repeatedly
Israel kept shooting at farmers & fishermen almost daily
Israel kept flying fighter jets & predator drones equipped with rockets 24/7 inside Gaza with an unbearable buzzing noise that gets loudest at night
10\ Israel kept heavily restricting Gaza's imports & exports & banning people from going in/out of Gaza except for very few humanitarian exceptions.
"We allow them to keep their heads above water, but not beyond that" Israel's defence minister 2018 makorrishon.co.il/news/12431/
11\ Whenever a violent escalation erupted, mediators would rush to Gaza to restore calm & go back to the "understandings". A formal ceasefire was NEVER finalized.
That very calm was always inherently violent for Gaza's population; a slow death & permanent state of non-life.
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This plan is significantly better than previous Trump proposals (e.g. no ethnic cleansing, abolishing GHF, no occupation or annexation, decommissioning not disarmament...)
Yet it's filled with negatives, explosive mines & loopholes that'd allow Netanyahu to occupy Gaza forever🧵
2\ Positives:
The infamous GHF would be abolished since the plan says aid will only be distributed by groups "not associated in any manner with either party" (GHF is an IDF front).
Full suspension of "all military operations" (e.g. bombing) & immediate end to the war
3\ Trump's plan now talks about decommissioning instead of disarmament. There's a major difference; the latter connotes surrender, whereas decommissioning is gradual, tied to a political process & includes reintegration of militants into security sector ecfr.eu/article/decomm…
The US & Israel are the ones who asked Qatar to host Hamas' political (NOT military) leadership to maintain indirect dialogue with them
When Qatar asked Hamas' leadership to leave in Nov 2024 & suspended their office in Doha, Trump asked them to reopen it again & re-host Hamas🧵
2\ Netanyahu just broke this arrangement & bombed Doha to target Hamas negotiators in the midst of their discussion of Trump's latest ceasefire proposal
In March 2025, Netanyahu killed Hamas entire negotiating team in Gaza (e.g. Salah Bardawil, Essam Da'alees, Ismael Barhoum, Abu Obaida al-Jimassi)
3\ Netanyahu killed Hamas' negotiating team inside Gaza in March 2025 while they were discussing Witkoff's proposal to extend the ceasefire
Similarly, Israel killed Hamas' top negotiator Ismael Haniya in July 2024 right after he accepted Biden's ceasefire/prisoner swap proposal
Last time Israel raided & took over Nasir hospital, they executed doctors, patients, children & elderly after chaining their hands & legs!
Mass graves were discovered when Israel left the area. The atrocity was so shocking, the US demanded answers (that Israel never gave)🧵
2\ Bodies in the mass grave showed gunshot marks in the head & tied hands, some buried in patient gowns, including children.
3\ Amongst the bodies discovered in the mass grave was that of a girl whose leg was amputated after being wounded in an Israeli airstrike. Her family says she was still alive at the hospital when Israel raided it