December 2021: Israeli tanks go 100-200 meters inside Gaza to raze a strawberry farm while a Hamas militant prevents farmers from attacking the Israelis. How come?
🧵Explaining the Israeli-Hamas "ceasefire understandings" & why Israel never went for a formal ceasefire agreement
2\ The Israeli-Hamas "understandings" were brokered by Egypt, Qatar & UN
Hamas polices Israel's siege from the inside, prevents by force anyone from attacking Israel during periods of calm in return for Israel alleviating the blockade
Israel only partially fulfilled its promise
3\ Many attempts & proposals were made to cement "the calm" & establish a formal permanent ceasefire that'd see a mutual full cessation of hostilities in return for lifting the siege on Gaza
Israel killed the Hamas leader advancing this deal in 2012 & turned down later proposals
4\ In return for maintaining calm, Israel only gave Gazans occasional crumbs of mercy: e.g allowing 17,000 people to work in Israel, Qatari cash aid..
Gazans call these "sedatives" b/c Israel maintains "we won't allow real & long-term development in Gaza" maariv.co.il/news/military/…
5\ The situation in Gaza continued to be dire: a permanent state of non-life where the majority of the population are unemployed & living beneath the poverty line.
Israel's occasional crumbs of mercy were a tool of blackmail: e.g. keep quiet or we will re-close the fishing zone.
6\ Israel's gov perfectly understood the only way to end Gaza's plight & get more sustainable calm would be to lift the blockade & go for a formal ceasefire.
An Israeli minister proposed re-opening Gaza's airport & seaport under int. supervision. Netanyahu turned him down...
7\ One reason why Israel never went for a permanent ceasefire was that it dehumanized Gaza so much & for so long that the only acceptable way to discuss Gaza became in terms of strength & deterrence.
Israeli politicians would only compete in terms of who can be tougher on Gaza!
8\ Israel's gov also had strategic gaols of keeping Gaza on the brink & under Hamas' control, to:
Use Gaza as a scarecrow to kill any discussion about ending its occupation in the West Bank. "If we leave, Hamas will take over like in Gaza"
To push Gazans to leave permanently!
9\ Even the informal Israel-Hamas "understanding" was violated repeatedly
Israel kept shooting at farmers & fishermen almost daily
Israel kept flying fighter jets & predator drones equipped with rockets 24/7 inside Gaza with an unbearable buzzing noise that gets loudest at night
10\ Israel kept heavily restricting Gaza's imports & exports & banning people from going in/out of Gaza except for very few humanitarian exceptions.
"We allow them to keep their heads above water, but not beyond that" Israel's defence minister 2018 makorrishon.co.il/news/12431/
11\ Whenever a violent escalation erupted, mediators would rush to Gaza to restore calm & go back to the "understandings". A formal ceasefire was NEVER finalized.
That very calm was always inherently violent for Gaza's population; a slow death & permanent state of non-life.
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🚨Why is Israel flooding Gaza with Gold-plated Iphone 17s while preventing medicine, reconstruction, tents or basic necessities?
Six reasons: mass surveillance 24/7, voice recognition technology, propaganda, propping up gangs, pure corruption & possibly another pager attack 🧵
1\ Mass surveillance: Every single phone Israel allows into Gaza is implanted with an Israeli bug that allows them a back entry door into everything on that phone (e.g. camera, microphone, internet traffic, passwords, chat history...etc)
Smart phones become portable intel gathering centres for the IDF. Any person carrying a smart phone in Gaza is unknowingly walking around with a possible recording device 24/7. They don't even need to be using those phones at all for the IDF to activate the recorder or camera.
Every single phone call made in Gaza or the West Bank from a "smart" or "dumb phone" is also recorded by Israel & stored in the cloud. This giant data base is analyzed by AI or the data of specific individuals is retrieved upon need by the IDF. middleeasteye.net/news/israel-ca…
2\ Dumb phones cannot be used as recorders outside phone calls. Smart phones, however, are connected to the internet & have a lot of apps or malevolent bugs that can be used to activate the microphone even when the phone is not being used.
This is Minority Report level dystopia! Imagine the amount of data Israel can collect on anyone in Gaza at any minute without regulations, rules, privacy rights...etc.
What's next for Gaza? 🧵
After the hostage release, Israel will hold onto a fully depopulated 58% of Gaza.
After an international force enters, Israel will hold onto 40% of Gaza where the IDF's proxy gangs will thrive!
Genocide or reconstruction? The devil is in the details!
2\ Right now, the 58% beyond the yellow line is not only under IDF control, it's fully depopulated. Any Gaza civilian that tries to enter is shot on sight. Israel killed 35 Gazans in the first 24 hours of the ceasefire.
Israel is planning to hold onto those areas for a long time
3\ Israel's proxy gangs (e.g. Abu Shabab, Husam al-Astal, Ashraf Mansi) are all currently hiding in the 58% of Gaza the IDF is stationed in
Israel cultivated those gangs to create "gated communities" (concentration camps) to push Gazans into.
Now with the ceasefire, Israel is using those gangs to launch attacks on Hamas deep inside Gaza without the IDF having to invade.
This is Israel's way of saying "we're not violating the ceasefire, it's Palestinians killing Palestinians."
Israel will also try to get Gazans to move into those areas with promises of a better life while the other half of Gaza remains reduced to rubble. kan.org.il/content/kan-ne…
This plan is significantly better than previous Trump proposals (e.g. no ethnic cleansing, abolishing GHF, no occupation or annexation, decommissioning not disarmament...)
Yet it's filled with negatives, explosive mines & loopholes that'd allow Netanyahu to occupy Gaza forever🧵
2\ Positives:
The infamous GHF would be abolished since the plan says aid will only be distributed by groups "not associated in any manner with either party" (GHF is an IDF front).
Full suspension of "all military operations" (e.g. bombing) & immediate end to the war
3\ Trump's plan now talks about decommissioning instead of disarmament. There's a major difference; the latter connotes surrender, whereas decommissioning is gradual, tied to a political process & includes reintegration of militants into security sector ecfr.eu/article/decomm…
The US & Israel are the ones who asked Qatar to host Hamas' political (NOT military) leadership to maintain indirect dialogue with them
When Qatar asked Hamas' leadership to leave in Nov 2024 & suspended their office in Doha, Trump asked them to reopen it again & re-host Hamas🧵
2\ Netanyahu just broke this arrangement & bombed Doha to target Hamas negotiators in the midst of their discussion of Trump's latest ceasefire proposal
In March 2025, Netanyahu killed Hamas entire negotiating team in Gaza (e.g. Salah Bardawil, Essam Da'alees, Ismael Barhoum, Abu Obaida al-Jimassi)
3\ Netanyahu killed Hamas' negotiating team inside Gaza in March 2025 while they were discussing Witkoff's proposal to extend the ceasefire
Similarly, Israel killed Hamas' top negotiator Ismael Haniya in July 2024 right after he accepted Biden's ceasefire/prisoner swap proposal