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Oh boy, the manifold RuAF artillery supply chain logistical failures shown in the @secretsqrl123 post & the telegram video.😱
It is time for us all to visit "The Myth of the Russian Artillery Ammocopia: North Korean edition."
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t.me/warhistoryalco…
It is time for us all to visit "The Myth of the Russian Artillery Ammocopia: North Korean edition."
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t.me/warhistoryalco…
https://twitter.com/secretsqrl123/status/1725363041510805913
Let's start with the fact we are looking a North Korean D-20 152mm howitzer with dry rotted to nothing wheels, using North Korean 152mm ammo.
This underlines four things true in every war:
1. There are never enough artillery shells
2. There are never enough tires
3. There
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This underlines four things true in every war:
1. There are never enough artillery shells
2. There are never enough tires
3. There
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(3. con't)...are never enough barrel liners.
4. There is never enough productive capability for new guns barrels.
And one thing that is true in this war that no one noticed for 80 years. The lack of mechanized logistics in the form of pallets & forklifts in the Russian Army.
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4. There is never enough productive capability for new guns barrels.
And one thing that is true in this war that no one noticed for 80 years. The lack of mechanized logistics in the form of pallets & forklifts in the Russian Army.
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The amount of brute, back breaking, manual labor to place a D-20 howitzer _without tires_ into that firing position beggars the imagination.
And here is the thing, you can't move the puppy outside it's mount firing azimuth without vehicles dragging the thing.
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And here is the thing, you can't move the puppy outside it's mount firing azimuth without vehicles dragging the thing.
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Good luck with that now that its mud season, shooting into Ukrainian counter-battery radar coverage and under Ukrainian 25 km range FPV drones.
I've done a couple of 2022 threads on the logistical problems RuAF artillery, particularly barrel life.
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I've done a couple of 2022 threads on the logistical problems RuAF artillery, particularly barrel life.
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https://twitter.com/TrentTelenko/status/1559013714782785538
These D-20's had, at best, 1,500 equivalent full charge rounds (EFC) of barrel life brand new (and more likely 1,000) with a range 2/3rds of a M777 towed gun.
And this D-20 is not new
No one knows how many shells RuAF or DPRK frontline or "reserve" barrels had through them
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And this D-20 is not new
No one knows how many shells RuAF or DPRK frontline or "reserve" barrels had through them
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...before the latest Russian invasion of Ukraine kicked off.
Older M777 and newer Russian guns last 2,000 rounds.
According to the Perun Youtube channel, older Soviet guns like the D-20 last from 1000 to 1,500 EFC.
And the newest Russian guns have corruption problems.
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Older M777 and newer Russian guns last 2,000 rounds.
According to the Perun Youtube channel, older Soviet guns like the D-20 last from 1000 to 1,500 EFC.
And the newest Russian guns have corruption problems.
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Russia lacks production foundries for the necessary grades of high strength steel for gun barrel liners
Nadin Brzezinski's July 17, 2022 article "Logistics Collapse" goes deeply into the corruption of Russian Artillery barrel liner metallurgy.
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nadinbrzezinski.medium.com/logistics-coll…
Nadin Brzezinski's July 17, 2022 article "Logistics Collapse" goes deeply into the corruption of Russian Artillery barrel liner metallurgy.
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nadinbrzezinski.medium.com/logistics-coll…
Shooting poor dimensional quality DPRK (North Korean) artillery shells through 65-to 75 year old barrels of doubtful life span and serviceability is a violently explosive way to commit lethal self-harm.😱
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https://twitter.com/Tendar/status/1725821663273472476
Nor is that the only place we are seeing corruption, Russian tire corruption.
If the Russians had the any tires to replace the ones rotted off this D-20.
They would have been on that gun to increase its combat capability and reduce the manual labor. RuAF didn't.
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If the Russians had the any tires to replace the ones rotted off this D-20.
They would have been on that gun to increase its combat capability and reduce the manual labor. RuAF didn't.
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RuAF hasn't used D-20 152mm gun for three decades. There isn't any production capability for the tires to replace them.
And the Soviet Union sold most of what D-20's they had in reserves in the 1980's to the Iraqis in the Iran-Iraq War
The figure⬇️
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And the Soviet Union sold most of what D-20's they had in reserves in the 1980's to the Iraqis in the Iran-Iraq War
The figure⬇️
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https://twitter.com/TrentTelenko/status/1578502006989209600
....with yellow highlighting is from the US Marine Corps FMFRP 3-203 Lessons Learned: Iran–Iraq War Volume 1 and details the masses of late 1940's to 1960's guns pawned off on the Iraqi's to kill Iranian militia.
Ukraine's new 155mm/39 caliber & 155mm/52 caliber guns...
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Ukraine's new 155mm/39 caliber & 155mm/52 caliber guns...
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...coming from Europe can sit at 22 km and eat D-20's right out of their immobile positions.
But why should Ukraine bother when FPV drones that can do the job, and avoid "Shell hunger" in the first place?
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But why should Ukraine bother when FPV drones that can do the job, and avoid "Shell hunger" in the first place?
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https://twitter.com/front_ukrainian/status/1725910078803284033
Ukraine can save it's Turkish & US DPICM cluster munition rounds, and it's artillery barrel life, to kill Russian infantry.
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https://twitter.com/Heroiam_Slava/status/1725236867774247009
And to use limited 155mm barrel life to fire DPICM to kill Russian vehicles assaulting Ukrainian positions.
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https://twitter.com/CasualArtyFan/status/1719810000820826148
The X accounts pooping their trousers about Ukraine "being buried by huge numbers of DPRK D-20 guns firing shells" really need to take a chill pill.
Russia is having to put more and more effort using scarce foreign exchange to achieve less and less military results.
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Russia is having to put more and more effort using scarce foreign exchange to achieve less and less military results.
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Putin's Regime started the war with $650 billion. It lost ~$325 Billion frozen overseas to sanctions.
It blew another $150 Billion propping up the Ruble.
And of the ~$175 Billion left, $120 billion went to military spending so far.
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It blew another $150 Billion propping up the Ruble.
And of the ~$175 Billion left, $120 billion went to military spending so far.
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Nominally, Putin's state bank has $60 billion left over from the original $650 billion plus whatever the state has from sanctioned oil and has stolen from private firms.
And Putin is buying D-20 guns with dry rotted tires & poor dimensional quality shells from DPRK with it🤭
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And Putin is buying D-20 guns with dry rotted tires & poor dimensional quality shells from DPRK with it🤭
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There is another name for Russia is having to do more effort to achieve less military capability.
It's called Lanchester Square Law Collapse.
It's the trend from Msta-S guns to towed D-20s & Kamaz Tactical Trucks to UAZ/Loaf/Scooby Doo vans.
19/19 End
It's called Lanchester Square Law Collapse.
It's the trend from Msta-S guns to towed D-20s & Kamaz Tactical Trucks to UAZ/Loaf/Scooby Doo vans.
19/19 End
https://twitter.com/TrentTelenko/status/1626320243848093699
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