Emmett Shear Profile picture
Nov 27 9 tweets 2 min read Twitter logo Read on Twitter
The real villain here is Google.
Google found one of the very best business models of all time, skimming all the surplus profit off of the entire free open internet.
This is the natural end state of that process. Image
The closure of internet has been driven by this because the only way to make money sustainably is to *not* leave your shit open on the internet where Google will index it, middleman you, and eventually clone you.
If your content was hard to index (eg video) that would work for a while, but those days are coming to an end. Plus Google bought the world’s *second* biggest search engine, YouTube, so it’s sort of a moot point anyway.
This could have been averted if Google was less avaricious. Instead of trying to eg. eat Yelp alive with by giving Google reviews an unfair advantage in search, they could have partnered with them and cut them in on the revenue.
The fact revenue sites now optimize to trick you into reading for as long as possible before giving you the recipe is directly due to this phenomenon…more time on site both ranks them higher on Google, and also lets them show more ads, which they need to compete for top spot.
The reason the % of the internet that is globally indexed keeps dropping is because of this.
If Google worked closely with their partners, the sites and people who provide the open content that makes one of the most profitable businesses in the world work…then people like SEO-heist-man would be out of luck. Bc Google would know they were being ripped off.
Look how it works on YouTube. Extensive controls mean you can’t just copy someone else’s videos and rank. If you tried to GPT-steal their YT videos they’d rightly strike you. But Google hasn’t bothered to build that for the open web because it’s just a commons to plunder to them.
Sad. I remember the huge surplus of an open web. Maybe someday we’ll figure out how to get it back.

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More from @eshear

Jul 1
Since it seems timely and relevant, let me explain how service level stability works for large applications in my experience.
There are 3 things which cause a service to suffer degradation:
- increased usage
- making changes
- bad architecture
Increased usage can be due either to growth or abuse. Either way, there is more incoming traffic than the service was designed to support, and queues fill up and service degrades. You can throttle service, add capacity (if possible), or rebuild to support higher scale.
Making changes to the service also introduces instability. Changes include new features, bug fixes, infrastructure improvements, re-design to add capacity (haha gotcha!), etc
Read 7 tweets
May 14
Blizzard and Apple have the same fundamental strategy as businesses. Take a proven popular product category (MMOs, phones, etc) and fanatically polish their own entrant to the point where not only is it better than the competition, it dramatically expands the category.
There are MMOs before World of Warcraft, then WOW, and then there are MMOs after WOW. Every MMO after WOW has to be understood primarily as a reaction to WOW. Ditto Diablo/ARPG, StarCraft/RTS, Hearthstone/CCG.

Ditto Apple iPhone/cellphones, iPod/MP3 player, AirPods/headphones.
Will any particular entrant from either company succeed? The track record is very good but not perfect. Blizzard missed with All-Stars/MOBA. Apple famously missed w Newton/PDA. More recently, arguably HomePod is a failure, at least in terms of radically expanding the category.
Read 5 tweets
May 14
I attended Hereticon in 2022, and I had an experience there that made a truly deep impact on me. Getting to the conclusion was a trek for me, so you’re going to have to listen to the whole story.
The conference itself was effectively TED from the Nega-Earth dimension: only talks the NYT would *not* approve of, lots of interesting young people, low prep talks, great parties.
While it is true that, as they say, reversed stupidity is not Intelligence, I had a great time. Only a couple of the talks grabbed me but I had some incredible conversations. Did you know you can use nicotine gum as a reinforcement tool to condition yourself to exercise?
Read 24 tweets
Mar 28
tyler asked an interesting question and I got interested in how this weird occult word got pulled into everyone's vocabulary in tpot...it turns out the history of egregore is in many ways the history of tpot...
(Aggggh my thread got killed by the web interface, this is the worst!)

methodology: used binary search through time on people-i-follow to find first reference to egregore, then stepped forward from that point searching all tweets
as all memes on the internet do, the new sense of egregore originated ultimately from 4chan. St Rev was patient zero in tpot.

Read 16 tweets
Mar 27
It is possible to expect that a certain outcome will occur, without being able to specify exactly how that outcome will happen.
I can predict with great confidence that there will someday be another megasuccessful social media format, in the long line of new formats from text to images to video to … whatever you call a TikTok or Reel.
I can predict with great confidence a chess grandmaster will checkmate a an average chess player, tho I cannot predict exactly how.
Read 6 tweets
Feb 27
It is a priori a little bit weird that all politics generally seems to break down along a one-dimensional spectrum, from right to left. What's that all about? I have developed a theory...
Things are obviously messed up. People are suffering. Even worse things could happen in the future. We would like the world to be better than it is today! Yet we are divided on how to accomplish that by the source of our imagined better world.
The essence of the reactionary is of course the idea of RETVRN: a golden past where things were better, from which we have fallen. Improving the world is mostly a matter of reversing the terrible mistakes we've made since then.
Read 25 tweets

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