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Mike Shelby

Oct 19

I’m seeing people gravely misunderstand the situation.

These protests aren’t what topple governments. Protests this early exist for three reasons:

1. Large national protest mobilizations show Democrats there’s “grassroots” support for hardline political opposition to Trump (optics)

2. They show vulnerable Republicans who support Trump that Dem voter mobilization will unseat them in the midterms (deterrence)

3. Email addresses and phone numbers collected when people sign up for these protests are gonna be pinging in overdrive during early voting going into the midterms. They’ve created basically the single largest Get Out the Vote voter mobilization database in US history.

If Dems don’t win back the House, we’re going to see the protest > resistance phase shift in earnest because they’ll say Republicans stole the midterm elections (via mid-decade redistricting), we have the fascist government they’ve been fearing, and it’s time to take “exceptional risks” heading into 2028.

So, it’s not protesters that topple governments. It’s what comes next in 2028 that does. More to follow on this point, but I’ve already told many of you EXACTLY how it’s going to happen.

Also. I’m seeing people not understand how voter turnout works, so I’ll explain.

1. You engage this GOTV Army to register voters likely to vote Democrat. You can’t ask them, so you register at events where your intended voters are, and try not to register Trump voters. Alternatively, you ask MILLIONS of No Kings protesters to ensure all their friends and family get registered to vote. That’s MANY MILLIONS of newly registered voters.

2. Once they register and you have their contact info, you engage them to increase the likelihood they turnout to vote early. You spend money getting these people to the polls. You send texts, knock on their doors… ASK THEIR FRIEND WHO ATTENDED THE NO KINGS EVENTS TO MAKE SURE THESE PEOPLE GO VOTE. Personal touches have the highest likelihood of voter turnout. Seeing a TV political ad or getting a friend to make sure you vote: which do you think is more effective?

3. You get these people to vote early or through mail-in. YOU CAN SEE WHO HASN’T VOTED YET, so you spend money to make sure these people go vote.

This is how you get a massive blue wave in midterm elections.

Now. Whether this materializes is another matter. But Mobilize is sitting on a treasure trove of high propensity Dem voter contact information, which will be used to get out the vote in the midterms.

Most people are severely discounting how important this is.

ALSO I’m seeing people say Americans are sick of the Left’s shit.

AND I AGREE

Read 4 tweets

Mike Shelby

@grayzoneintel

Jul 9

Here's a quick series of events surrounding this ambush.

In short, based on the number of weapons recovered, it could have been much worse. It sounds like some would-be shooters chickened out.

10:57pm: 10-12 individuals dressed in black begin shooting fireworks towards the Prairieland Detention Center.

10:58pm: 2x unarmed Correctional Officers approach the vandals.

10:59pm: Alvarado Police officers arrive.

10:59pm: 2x shooters engage police officers from about 100-150m, expending 20-30 rounds of 5.56 ammunition from AR platforms. At least one rifle jams, and the two shooting suspects flee to the west.

Shortly after, police apprehend seven suspects in a field west of the shooting positions. Police also find 2x AR-15 style rifles abandoned in a nearby woodline. Some were wearing body armor, carrying weapons, and had radios. A total of 12x sets of ballistic vests are later discovered in the area.

Additionally, a Johnson County Sheriff's Office detective makes a traffic stop and arrests 1x suspect armed with a black pistol, 2x sets of body armor, and 1x ballistic helmet. An additional 2x AR-15s are found in the backseats of the van. The suspect is also carrying a radio (no further information).

(This information is found in the indictment, h/t @wbuppert for the link)

I'll add some additional amplifying information in posts below.

By my understanding, police make about 8 arrests within the vicinity of the shooting.

They make another arrest (9) at 2:00am the following day (05 July) in a nearby town. Apparently, this guy fled on foot away from the scene.

On 06 July, it sounds like the FBI had some cell phone intercepts from a suspect who had left her vehicle parked on the street of another suspect, and requested to a co-conspirator that her vehicle be moved. She was concerned about a search warrant being served at the residence.

On 07 July, an FBI surveillance team observed one suspect carrying "multiple packages from his residence to his truck."

The FBI surveillance team followed this suspect to an apartment complex, and then observed the suspect take a box inside.

The FBI later executed a search warrant and found insurrectionary propaganda (Antifa material).

Read 6 tweets

Mike Shelby

@grayzoneintel

Jul 8

For the first time in nearly a decade tracking the Far Left, we just witnessed a coordinated, complex ambush by a Far Left direct action cell.

And the media is SILENT on its implications. Here's what you need to know: 🧵👇

1. Last Friday, 8-10 individuals launched fireworks and vandalized an ICE facility in Alvarado, Texas to draw a law enforcement presence.

After a 911 call was made, multiple shooters opened fire, at least one in a nearby treeline, wounding an arriving officer.

2. These kinds of shootings are normally conducted by individuals.

What we see here is 10 militants and an 11th co-conspirator forming a cell, selecting a target, and carrying out a coordinated, complex attack.

Armed Far Left violence is not uncommon, but this is unprecedented

Read 17 tweets

Mike Shelby

@grayzoneintel

Jul 7

I've been catching up on these two shootings in Texas -- one on Friday and another this morning.

Friday night, at least one gunman opened fire on a police officer at an ICE facility in Alvarado.

This morning, another shooting happened outside a CBP facility in McAllen. 1/x

We're pretty used to seeing mentally-unstable shooters or lone wolves fueled by personal grievance.

Most shootings like this are the result of a single individual, but Friday's shooting may have been a LOT more significant.

EIGHT suspects were arrested, some in body armor 2/x

It's quite possible that police just started detaining everyone in the area, including some who weren't involved. We'll see how that pans out.

But if the Alvarado shooting DID have multiple shooters, then we just crossed a MAJOR threshold in our low intensity conflict. 3/x

Read 7 tweets

Mike Shelby

@grayzoneintel

Jul 7

Throughout human history, there are only three applications of power:

1. Punishment
2. Reward
3. Belief (Conditioned Power)

There is a SINGLE solitary organization that embodies all three. Like it or not, therein lies the basis of Right Wing power. 🧵👇

The basis of Right Wing power is the Church. It is the root of Right Wing power.

Attempts to build a Right Wing power base outside the Church will fail.

That's why the Left strikes at the root of our moral authority, because without it, we are dis-integrated. 2/x

Christianity has everything you want in an enduring power: A supranational leader in Christ (and the priesthood), material power (money), organizational power (the congregation), and more importantly Divine Providence.

It is the epitome of earthly power and authority. 3/x

Read 6 tweets

Mike Shelby

@grayzoneintel

Jul 2

A quick thread on political power, it's origins, and the differences in its use by the Left and the Right.

Or: what the Left understands about power that the Right does not, which enables the Left to do things that the Right cannot.

🧵👇

It's obvious that the Left has conditioned society to believe that unbridled use of government power towards progressive ends is "muh sacred democracy"

while the conservative use of government power to merely conserve the social and economic order is fascism acskually. 2/x

Power simply can't be used to maintain a conservative social and economic order.

Big-C Conservatives believe that. Progressives believe that.

But MAGA is coming around to the concept of a third source of power that the Left has already mastered.
3/x

Read 11 tweets

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