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#Russian Off. Campaign Assessment, Nov. 29, 2023: The apparent Russian failure to establish a cohesive cmd. structure among forces defending on the east (left) bank of #Kherson Oblast continues to degrade Russian morale & combat capabilities. 1/6
Full: isw.pub/UkrWar112923
Full: isw.pub/UkrWar112923
The #Russian “Dnepr” Grouping of Forces is increasingly comprised of disparate elements of recently transferred and degraded units and new formations, which may be contributing to this apparent lack of cohesive command structure. 2/6
The #Russian ”Dnepr” Grouping of Forces appears to be comprised of elements of the Black Sea Fleet, the Caspian Flotilla, the Southern Military District, the Central Military District, the Northern Fleet, and the Russian Airborne (VDV) forces. 3/6
#Russia’s other grouping of forces in Ukraine largely correspond with Russia’s military districts reinforced in some cases with VDV units, making the ”Dnepr” Grouping of Forces a notable aberration. 4/6
The #Russian military command is unlikely to remedy the ”Dnepr” Grouping of Force’s command issues in the short term, however, and the continuation of Ukrainian ground operations on the left bank will likely only complicate these efforts. 5/6
It is not yet clear if the command-and-control challenges facing #Russian forces in #Kherson will generate notable battlefield effects. 6/6 isw.pub/UkrWar112923
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