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Dec 1 5 tweets 2 min read Twitter logo Read on Twitter
About 1 Year ago, I went all in on #Bitcoin at 16.5k.

Prior to that, I had sold all of my coins bought under 10k, at 54k in April 2021. (documented in pinned tweet)

I left the space for a 1 1/2 years, until I heard about the FTX crash.

The Monthly RSI was one of the many indicators I used to make these decisions.

I posted a chart just like this about one year ago urging everyone to buy. (see next post)

I have been covering this simple piece for a very long time.

It's not super precise, but it's simple, Bitcoin tops on the second double RSI top, and bottoms in the green zone.

The last drop we saw to 25k went below the mid-line, just like the 2020 black swan.

That was the last chance buying opportunity, now gone.

Long-term data like this shows the way, time after time.

The RSI double top or something of the likes, will come again!
Image
One of the many times I encouraged people to buy in Nov 2022 with the Monthly RSI:

After my success in crypto, it's been my mission to help as many as possible.

There is no better place to learn to make the right long-term crypto decisions than the Bitcoin Data Newsletter, which you can join for free!

Just visit my profile 👉@CryptoCon_ Image
My first post after coming back after the FTX to 15.5k drop using the Monthly RSI:

"The best buying opportunity for every cycle"

One of my final urges to buy before the lows were over, using the Monthly RSI:

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More from @CryptoCon_

Oct 23
With the latest move, every single prediction of the #Bitcoin November 28th Cycles Theory Green Year (Now Halving Cycles Theory) is complete.

Green Year called for:

✅A cycle bottom +/- 21 days from Nov 28th, 2022

✅The lowest cycle buying prices

✅A move to $34,500 (median price, half of previous ATH)

I created this Theory in early January this year, and it remains precisely on track.

Here's what's next:

Blue Year 2024: price spends time around the median (34,500) and makes an advance towards new ATHs end of year.

The second early top will come +/- 21 days from July 9th, 2024. (purple dot)

If this is the cycle mid-top, I believe the price will be about $48,000 then.

Red Year 2025: Price makes new ATHs. The cycle top comes at the end of the year +/- 21 days from Nov 28th, 2025.

I expect the price to be 90-130k. These are based on my own observations and models. Most confluence is around 130k.

Blue year (2024) is a good year for Bitcoin, and creates additional steps forward in preparation for Red Year.

The model is centered around the dates of the first and second halving: November 28th, 2012 and July 9th, 2016.
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The Original November 28th Cycles Theory post:

Nov 28th Cycles Theory explained in January:

Read 4 tweets
Oct 22
After #Bitcoin dipped to 25k in August 2023, I started looking for a bottom on data.

There are many that don't think we can continue from these prices, and are still waiting on 20 - 23k.

But I have come prepared. Here is data evidence of why Bitcoin is likely to go up:
September 14th, 2023:

The Elliot Wave Oscillator prints a red candle, and calls for a bottom:
September 15th, 2023:

The Realized Profit-to-Value Ratio calls for a bottom with a return to the buy zone:
Read 19 tweets
Oct 12
The Gann Square predicts either $89,000 or $135,000 for the #Bitcoin top this cycle.

Using the blue 2x1 fan as the fair value line and drawing the end at Nov 28th (Havling Cycles Theory), has nailed Cycle 1 and 3 tops to precision at Gann Square level 4.

Cycle 2 did something a bit different and came slightly above level 5.

With our fair value line almost certainly set for the cycle, we now have the two predictions for cycle 4 at levels 4 and 5.

135k lines up with both my N28CT price model and Trend Pattern Price model. 90k is slightly above the 5.3 diminishing returns Theory.

Be sure to check out the other posts below for the different price predictions!
Image
Steve's 5.3 Theory calls for diminished returns around 80k for this cycle top:

The Trend Pattern Price Model calls for 130k:

Read 7 tweets
Oct 3
Since I came to the crypto space in 2018 I have now:

Bought #Bitcoin under 10k in 2018 - 2020.

Sold it all at 54k in April 2021.

Went all in at 16.5k in Nov 2022.

Yep, this is my real story.

Here are all of the lessons I've learned so you can start doing the same 👇 Image
1. You need the charts

You can call it what you want, astrology... etc. but data is the key.

Without charts you are relying purely on how you feel, and that's a quick way to lose a lot of money.

You don't need to be an expert, but some understanding of the facts a must.
2. Trading is for poor people

Buying and selling every few years at optimal points in the cycle is smart. The best investors in the world do this.

What's not smart is actively trading.

If you made money, you got lucky. Like at a casino.

Stop this ASAP or lose it all.
Read 15 tweets
Jul 20
In April 2021 I sold all of my #Bitcoin at 54k, and left crypto

I actually didn’t plan on coming back, ever.

But then, I caught ear of news, “FTX exchange collapse”

It was instinctual, I knew I had to go all in, and that’s exactly what I did at 16.5k

Let me show you how... Image
I’m going to give you 5 steps to train your mind to become an unstoppable investor, making it impossible for you NOT to profit

Commit these to memory, write them down, whatever you have to do

Here’s how to profit, instinctually:
1. Shut them out

Here in the crypto, you’re going to get a lot of noise in your ear

People spout nonsense, with no facts to back it up

The only person you can trust now is you

Observe, do not absorb

There is one truth, which is the cold hard facts of long term data
Read 9 tweets
Jul 13
I have looked at 1000s of data pieces to determine how to buy and sell #Bitcoin at the right times

Using what I found I was able to:
-Buy below 10k last cycle
-Sell everything at 54k in April 2021
-Go all in at 16.5k in Nov 2022
(Pinned Tweet)

It’s time to show you how👇 Image
1. Use data from as many sources as possible

One of the biggest failure points I see is relying on one, or even a few charts or models to tell you what to do

When you use many sources, the picture becomes clear, and undeniable

Only a few will help you sell at the right time
2. Wait for the right sentiment

There are two times that Bitcoiner’s get really angry, bottoms and tops

I got called stupid for selling at 54k last cycle… yep!

Likewise, I was stupid for buying at 16.5k because there was a recession coming

Long term data wins, every time
Read 10 tweets

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