CryptoCon Profile picture
#Bitcoin Technical Analyst || Conservative long-term analysis || Here to help you make money || Creator of the Halving Cycles Theory
Dec 1, 2023 5 tweets 2 min read
About 1 Year ago, I went all in on #Bitcoin at 16.5k.

Prior to that, I had sold all of my coins bought under 10k, at 54k in April 2021. (documented in pinned tweet)

I left the space for a 1 1/2 years, until I heard about the FTX crash.

The Monthly RSI was one of the many indicators I used to make these decisions.

I posted a chart just like this about one year ago urging everyone to buy. (see next post)

I have been covering this simple piece for a very long time.

It's not super precise, but it's simple, Bitcoin tops on the second double RSI top, and bottoms in the green zone.

The last drop we saw to 25k went below the mid-line, just like the 2020 black swan.

That was the last chance buying opportunity, now gone.

Long-term data like this shows the way, time after time.

The RSI double top or something of the likes, will come again!
Image One of the many times I encouraged people to buy in Nov 2022 with the Monthly RSI:

Oct 23, 2023 4 tweets 2 min read
With the latest move, every single prediction of the #Bitcoin November 28th Cycles Theory Green Year (Now Halving Cycles Theory) is complete.

Green Year called for:

✅A cycle bottom +/- 21 days from Nov 28th, 2022

✅The lowest cycle buying prices

✅A move to $34,500 (median price, half of previous ATH)

I created this Theory in early January this year, and it remains precisely on track.

Here's what's next:

Blue Year 2024: price spends time around the median (34,500) and makes an advance towards new ATHs end of year.

The second early top will come +/- 21 days from July 9th, 2024. (purple dot)

If this is the cycle mid-top, I believe the price will be about $48,000 then.

Red Year 2025: Price makes new ATHs. The cycle top comes at the end of the year +/- 21 days from Nov 28th, 2025.

I expect the price to be 90-130k. These are based on my own observations and models. Most confluence is around 130k.

Blue year (2024) is a good year for Bitcoin, and creates additional steps forward in preparation for Red Year.

The model is centered around the dates of the first and second halving: November 28th, 2012 and July 9th, 2016.
Image The Original November 28th Cycles Theory post:

Oct 22, 2023 19 tweets 5 min read
After #Bitcoin dipped to 25k in August 2023, I started looking for a bottom on data.

There are many that don't think we can continue from these prices, and are still waiting on 20 - 23k.

But I have come prepared. Here is data evidence of why Bitcoin is likely to go up: September 14th, 2023:

The Elliot Wave Oscillator prints a red candle, and calls for a bottom:
Oct 12, 2023 7 tweets 3 min read
The Gann Square predicts either $89,000 or $135,000 for the #Bitcoin top this cycle.

Using the blue 2x1 fan as the fair value line and drawing the end at Nov 28th (Havling Cycles Theory), has nailed Cycle 1 and 3 tops to precision at Gann Square level 4.

Cycle 2 did something a bit different and came slightly above level 5.

With our fair value line almost certainly set for the cycle, we now have the two predictions for cycle 4 at levels 4 and 5.

135k lines up with both my N28CT price model and Trend Pattern Price model. 90k is slightly above the 5.3 diminishing returns Theory.

Be sure to check out the other posts below for the different price predictions!
Image Steve's 5.3 Theory calls for diminished returns around 80k for this cycle top:

Oct 3, 2023 15 tweets 4 min read
Since I came to the crypto space in 2018 I have now:

Bought #Bitcoin under 10k in 2018 - 2020.

Sold it all at 54k in April 2021.

Went all in at 16.5k in Nov 2022.

Yep, this is my real story.

Here are all of the lessons I've learned so you can start doing the same 👇 Image 1. You need the charts

You can call it what you want, astrology... etc. but data is the key.

Without charts you are relying purely on how you feel, and that's a quick way to lose a lot of money.

You don't need to be an expert, but some understanding of the facts a must.
Jul 20, 2023 9 tweets 2 min read
In April 2021 I sold all of my #Bitcoin at 54k, and left crypto

I actually didn’t plan on coming back, ever.

But then, I caught ear of news, “FTX exchange collapse”

It was instinctual, I knew I had to go all in, and that’s exactly what I did at 16.5k

Let me show you how... Image I’m going to give you 5 steps to train your mind to become an unstoppable investor, making it impossible for you NOT to profit

Commit these to memory, write them down, whatever you have to do

Here’s how to profit, instinctually:
Jul 13, 2023 10 tweets 3 min read
I have looked at 1000s of data pieces to determine how to buy and sell #Bitcoin at the right times

Using what I found I was able to:
-Buy below 10k last cycle
-Sell everything at 54k in April 2021
-Go all in at 16.5k in Nov 2022
(Pinned Tweet)

It’s time to show you how👇 Image 1. Use data from as many sources as possible

One of the biggest failure points I see is relying on one, or even a few charts or models to tell you what to do

When you use many sources, the picture becomes clear, and undeniable

Only a few will help you sell at the right time
Jul 6, 2023 8 tweets 2 min read
When #Bitcoin was below 10k last cycle, I went all in, buying as much as I could

Then I sold it all at 54k in April 2021

Now I'm all in from 16.5k in November 2022

Everything is documented in my pinned Tweet

Now, it's time to teach you the 5 secrets to my success...👇 1. I think for myself

The crowd may throw themselves off the cliff, but I won't be going with them

While everyone waited for Bitcoin Stock to Flow 100k last cycle at the top, I was selling

While everyone was waiting for a recession at 16.5k I was buying

We are not the same
Apr 14, 2023 8 tweets 4 min read
Making money in #Bitcoin can be a hard journey, with some losing everything they have

I have found success here, buying two Bitcoin bottoms and selling near the last top (pinned tweet), and now my mission is to help you

Here is a 5 step plan to turning your path around: Image 1. Stop Trading

Trading will make you lose every penny you have

Here is what a successful trading strategy looks like:

-Boring
-40-50% Win rate
-Risk small percentage of your portfolio (1%) that's 10 of 1000 dollars!
-Can't beat buy and hold

Anything more, you're gambling
Apr 6, 2023 7 tweets 3 min read
Buying the #Bitcoin bottom is hard, but selling the top is immensely more challenging

After buying two Bitcoin bottoms and selling near the last top (Documented in Pinned Tweet), I am here to help you do the same

Here are 5 steps to selling the Bitcoin Top:

A thread... 👇🧵 Image 1. Buy low, and be patient

The reality is there is likely years to go before the next Bitcoin top.

Have you bought already?

Can you weather the storm?

Selling the top won't matter if you haven't made it there with your cheap coins without pushing any buttons
Mar 30, 2023 8 tweets 3 min read
#Bitcoin has been a profitable hold for 88.5% of its existence, yet still most people can't make money

I bought my Bitcoin below 10k last cycle, sold it all at 54k, and now I'm back in again at 16.5k

You can do it too. Here's 5 reasons you can't make money:

A Thread👇🧵 1. You don't sell

A common practice among Bitcoin holders is always buying, never selling

You will not be successful if you never take profits

Stop worshiping an internet coin, and learn to sell!

Holding onto your coins is getting much less profitable as cycles diminish
Mar 23, 2023 8 tweets 3 min read
There are some hidden truths about #Bitcoin that can only be learned through success or years of failure

After buying two cycle bottoms and selling the April 2021 Top I will share the truths I have discovered with you

Here are 5 hidden truths about Bitcoin

A thread... 👇🧵 Image 1. WNAGMI

The people that are successful in Bitcoin depend on those that make mistakes to make gains for themselves

Did someone tell you that Buying at 69k was smart, because eventually Bitcoin would go back up?

The people that sold their coins at the top thank you!
Mar 15, 2023 7 tweets 3 min read
In April 2021 when everyone was waiting for 100k #Bitcoin, I used long term data to sell my coins that I bought under 10k at 54k

Now I'm bought in for this cycle at $16,500, and it is my mission to help you succeed

Here is a 5 step plan to success in Bitcoin:

A Thread ..👇🧵 1. Buy your coins cheap (i.e... now!)

Sounds simple right? Well most people won't be able to do this.

You probably missed the cycle bottom prices, but you still have a decent opportunity now

If you bought under 20,000 you're in a fantastic position for the cycle
Feb 26, 2023 7 tweets 3 min read
Since I entered crypto in 2018, I have now bought the #Bitcoin bottom twice and sold the last cycle top

I am going to teach you 5 lessons I have learned through doing this to help you become successful in Bitcoin and crypto this cycle

A thread... 👇🧵 1. Turn off your ears, and use your eyes

The crypto space is very loud, with all the wrong information

Looking at the data behind Bitcoin for yourself shows you the facts

lookintobitcoin.com and basic TA in Trading View are good places to start
Feb 16, 2023 7 tweets 2 min read
When you invest in #Bitcoin or any crypto, there are some things you have to stay away from, or you will fail.

I have bought the bottom and sold the top, and my only goal is to help my followers profit

Here are 4 things you need to avoid in crypto at all costs:

A Thread 👇🧵 1. Bad Influencers

The reality is, not many people actually care whether you win or lose in crypto.

The larger the Twitter account, the more likely they are to be siphoning you for engagement

They will tell you exactly what you want to hear, and cause you to lose
Dec 17, 2020 7 tweets 3 min read
In honor of new ATH’s

My #bitcoin bull run exit strategy thread:

First my coin is all stored on BlockFi to earn interest, and will be moved to an exchange under 2 of these 3 conditions

1. Entering the red zone on the RHODL data Image 2. Entering orange or red zones on easy buy and sell channel Image