One of the best ways to win fantasy football championships is by rostering the RB that breaks out out of nowhere
This is a hard feat to pull off as there are approximately 3700 options
I would like to introduce you to one of the bets that you simply have to make
Sean Tucker.
From a size and athleticism perspective Sean Tucker looks the part. Per @rotounderworld in the screen shot above Tucker measured in at a fairly robust 5-9 and 207 pounds while running a 90th-percentile 4.44 40.
We like that very much.
@rotounderworld Was Sean Tucker a one-dimensional runningback in college or was he trusted in all aspects of the game?
As evidenced by his 75th-percentile college dominator and his 95th-percentile target share, it is pretty clear that the offence in Syracuse ran through Sean Tucker.
If y'all want me to say, "Voldemort has peripheral metrics that suggest that he might be better than the 10% target share and 8 fantasy ppg player that he's been" then Ill admit it.
I am in fact expecting him to have greater than 10% targets and 8 fantasy ppg this season.
There are two things at play here.
#1 - The binary notion of is he "good or evil" at football.
#2 - Regardless of #1, is he a good pick in any format?
One of the least understood aspects of fantasy football is projectable range of outcomes, imo.
Let's dive in.
I say this is a not well understood because you see people talking about a player's "ceiling" or "floor" and they don't seem to be grounded by reality sometimes
And maybe I am a total fool and I am the one misunderstanding, nevertheless, this is how I do it.
So lets pick a player.
Y'all seem to think I hate every player, so lets pick someone that I think you are entirely too low on.
Baker Mayfield.
I promise that this is applicable to every player, so if you dont care at all about Baker, don't worry, it will still be relevant.