Tatarigami_UA Profile picture
Dec 7 8 tweets 3 min read Twitter logo Read on Twitter
While public attention was on airfields in Luhansk and Berdyans'k, russians set up secret helicopter bases and FARPs in various locations.

This was initially exclusive to paid subscribers, but I am now releasing it, especially in light of the recent SBU strike in the region. Image
2/ In November, as Ukrainian forces advanced towards Kherson, the Russian military opted to move their helicopters from the Chaplynka Airdrome to more secure inland locations, including a fenced beach resort in Arabat Split near Crimea. Image
3/ In this image, 20 helicopter pads are visible, some occupied by Russian helicopters like Mi-24, Mi-8, Ka-52, and possibly Mi-28. Notably, the site is within the beach resort "Volna," enclosed by a fence. Image
4/ Further analysis of 2021 imagery shows no helicopter pads at this location, hinting at rapid efforts to establish an ad-hoc helicopter base conveniently placed among beach resorts and hotels, potentially serving as accommodations for their pilots. Image
5/ Russians didn't use this location during the early stages of the war. Historical imagery analysis indicates that construction commenced around October 2022, coinciding with the Kherson offensive. This effort was probably aimed at relocating from Chaplynka, Kherson oblast.
6/ The evacuation and relocation of the Chaplynka airbase, as previously mentioned, exemplify the Russian necessity to establish new concealed locations due to concerns about potential targeting. Given the growing range of Ukrainian weaponry, this pattern will continue. Image
7/ Simultaneously, it must be acknowledged that the quality and frequency of concealment measures have notably improved compared to 2022. The Russians have been notably successful in concealing some of their new helicopter sites and command centers for a while
8/ Please like and share the first message of the thread, and follow to stay updated on future developments.

This analysis as well as some of these images is possible thanks to contributions via BuyMeACoffee and support from paid subscribers.

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More from @Tatarigami_UA

Dec 5
While exploring recent developments in one of Russia's most secretive zones, our team “Frontelligence Insight” has spotted facility expansions and new constructions on the grounds of Sarov, formerly known as Arzamas-16, the birthplace of the Soviet Nuclear Project.

2/ Nestled in the Mordovsky Nature Reserve, a seemingly serene forest 370 km from Moscow houses a complex of secret facilities. With a history dating back to the Soviet era, it played a pivotal role in the Soviet nuclear program and the production of nuclear weapons. Image
3/ Sarov, formerly Arzamas-16, is a closed city with restricted access, requiring specific authorization for residency or visits. It hosts research and production facilities linked to the military-industrial complex, focusing on nuclear warhead development and related projects.
Read 11 tweets
Nov 25
I'm disappointed by the misleading article from NYT with a sensationalist headline, inaccurately claiming "In less than two months, more than twice as many women and children have been reported killed in Gaza than in Ukraine after two years of war." Here's why it's inaccurate🧵: Image
2/ The article asserts that "More than twice as many women and children have already been reported killed in Gaza than in Ukraine after almost two years of Russian attacks, according to United Nations estimates. To verify this claim, I checked UN-provided numbers Image
3/ Firstly, the given number is not verified; it's a claim from the Gaza Health Ministry, provided to the UN. This is markedly different from UN-verified deaths in Ukraine, as one is a claim from an involved party, while the other represents independently verified casualties. Image
Read 9 tweets
Nov 24
Despite dense cloud cover blocking satellite, drone, and optical surveillance of the Avdiivka battlefield, our team continued the analysis using Synthetic Aperture Radar (SAR) systems. Here is what we learned about the current situation. 🧵Thread: Image
2/ Before we move further, let's clarify what Synthetic Aperture Radar (SAR) is. It's a technology that employs radar to generate images of the Earth's surface. By capturing and processing reflected waves, SAR provides detailed imagery regardless of weather conditions or daylight Image
We combined SAR data with on-the-ground testimonials and open-source video materials to gain comprehensive insights.

Some Key Observations

- Vehicle Reduction: In contrast to the initial month of assaults, russian forces are employing fewer vehicles in smaller numbers. Image
Read 14 tweets
Nov 17
Amid the ongoing debate about the number of operational Ka-52 helicopters on the frontlines, I've analyzed and compiled imagery of bases used for helicopter operations by the Russians. The findings are summarized in this 🧵Thread:

1/ Image
2/ Based on acquired Maxar images from November 1st, the Taganrog airbase hosted at least 4 operational Ka-52 helicopters on its tarmac. The surrounding activity indicates their use, a fact further supported by their absence in earlier shots. Image
3/ The Buturlinovka Airbase accommodates a minimum of 5 Ka-52 helicopters. Although Helicopter #7 is not distinctly visible in this image, the next image includes a slightly older photo of the same helicopter at the same location for clarity. Image
Read 15 tweets
Nov 15
BBC published an article in Russian titled "Does it make sense for Ukraine to fight for Avdiivka?" In this article, several experts argue that Avdiivka lacks military significance. I disagree with this assessment, finding it misleading. Here's why. 🧵Thread:

1/ Image
2/ While I agree that the assault on Avdiivka likely has political reasons, as I discussed on the day the assault started, focusing solely on political aspects is not only inaccurate but also dangerous.
3/ The article states, "Most experts agree that it has exclusively political, not military, significance for the Kremlin."

I strongly disagree with it - Avdiivka has played a key military role in Donetsk since 2014.
Read 10 tweets
Nov 12
Avdiivka 2023-11-12

In line with our earlier projection this week, russian forces have gained partial/temporary control over the eastern portions of Stepove. In this report, we analyze forthcoming developments and explain how we accurately foresaw recent advancements. 🧵Thread: Image
2/ Despite negative assessments of russian tactics and high losses near Avdiivka, their overall approach has seen partial success. They managed to breach defense positions north of Avdiivka, reaching the railroad. Image
3/ This jeopardizes Avdiivka's resupply routes, creating few options for the russians - they can either seize Stepove and attempt to take Berdychi or take control of AKHZ. Either scenario puts pressure on the primary supply lines to Avdiivka.
Read 11 tweets

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