Alastair Thompson Profile picture
Dec 11 9 tweets 3 min read Twitter logo Read on Twitter
It is very hard to understand what exactly the COP presidency was thinking today releasing this draft of the key stone Global Stock Take GST text.

Given the positive atmosphere leading up to the release of this text, it feels as if he has set a match to burn 🔥 his own COP Presidency down just as it has begun.

And the absence of UNFCCC Exec Sec. Simon Stiell from this afternoons interrupted plenary suddenly makes a lot more sense.
This was the interruption. From a 12 year climate activist from East Timor. It took place roughly an hour before the Presidency’s draft text was released, a text which now looks set to ignite protests across the planet. [I caught the very end of this as she was being hauled away.]

I expect she will receive a hero’s welcome on her return to Indonesia.
It’s hard to overstate how much this last minute text - supposedly a “take it or leave” version, which cannot be amended will have come as a shock to the 10s of thousands of delegates attending the event here in Dubai.
Notwithstanding the 2000+ Fossil Fuel lobbyists attending, every indication from the Presidency since his unfortunate remarks about “phaseout not being supported by science” had been that he had come to his senses read the room and accepted that it did not accept this nonsense.
Then now we find that this display of urbane sensible diplomacy was all a charade. On the very day that @antonioguterres - who is in a sense the overarching boss of all this - arrived for a pep talk.

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Clearly I was spectacularly naïve on this front, but also far from alone. I boarded the metro bound for where I am staying when the text dropped. Moments later the reviews came out. All damning. Sultan Al Jaber had said he wants this to finish tomorrow at 11am. This now seems impossible. Unless there is a consensus view to chalk the years work up as a failure, which is impossible to imagine.

Cop will almost certainly run on into the 13th now, after which lots of delegations will depart.
And it’s not as if the opposition to this proposed “take it or leave” text is only from the poor nations of the south. THE EU is also horrified. It’s not clear to me where China is yet, but as it votes with the G77 it will likely be on the side of the angry and disappointed majority.
@antonioguterres What a mess.
@antonioguterres /ends

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More from @althecat

Dec 13
#COP @UNFCCC Exec Sec Simon Stiell is about to make a brief statement outside the Plenary and take questions from media.
Part 1
Part 2
Read 8 tweets
Dec 11
This bit considers the language around equity which has been a very hot topic in many of the civil society discussions here in Dubai. Equity = fairness and the context here is about finding a way to acknowledge that the phase-out of fossil fuels inherently bumps up against and gives effect to the “differentiated rights and responsibilities” language in the UNFCCC framework convention.

Helpfully there is now a first draft practical assessment (ngo report) on the table which suggests how this could work in practice.
This is the report, which I was kindly given a copy of on day one.

The report and a list of endorsers can be found at equityreview.org
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It outlines a methodology for determining different equitable timelines for countries in the COP to manage their phase-out based on an equitable framework based on a set of principles. These pages show the suggested phase-out time frames for each country in three groups.

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Read 8 tweets
Dec 10
A short thread on Uganda 🇺🇬 whose pavilion I have had the pleasure of dropping into a couple of times over the past two days. I attended a recording session with three speakers on the subject of the plastics waste treaty with three youth speakers. Each gave impassioned speeches on the subject from different perspectives. 1/6
2/6 ^^ the first speaker addressed the issue from an overview of the treaty perspective what it is for and why it is needed. The plastics packaging industry which is an offshoot of the Fossil Fuel Industrial Complex causes a lot of issues in terms of contributing to the waste stream in developing nations, and unfortunately many plastics contain a lot of toxic chemicals & are not recyclable.
3/6 Correction: There were actually four speakers. The first above was Mohammed from Egypt. Next up was Yobel from Indonesia 🇮🇩 who also addressed the issue from a policy / treaty perspective.
Read 8 tweets
Dec 8
Packed Plenary today at #COP28 considering progress so far and perhaps signing off some documents on work which has been completed.

In comparison to the Westminster parliamentary system this phase is a bit like a collective report back from all select committees to to committee of the whole of Parliament. Not precisely this, but similar.

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From my recollection this really is an astonishing turnout. Not only are most of the nation state tables occupied but so are most of the NGOs and Civil society desks. Nearly all seats are filled.

The overall interest shown by attendees in this - a largely technical part of the process - is definitely different from what I saw in both Glasgow and Sharm el sheikh (Egypt). I’m assuming this represents a higher level of energy and desire to understand the #COP process.
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The way the system works is a little complicated but useful to have some understanding of. The process of negotiations is nearly continuous and takes place in multiple venues including in the annual SB (subsidiary bodies) meeting which is held every year in Bonn Germany where the UNFCCC is Headquartered. I attended this this year. From what I could see, very few of the texts were agreed there. Which I think is normal.
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Read 20 tweets
Dec 5
These remarks by UAE’s Sultan Al Jaber 2 weeks ago are now at the heart of the Phaseout vs Phasedown of fossil fuels debate which has always been at the heart of what was going to be deliberated here at #cop28

Through making these remarks and then seemingly seeking to gaslight the world by claiming that he didn’t Sultan Al Jaber has now brought this question very clearly to centre stage, and highlighted how much self interest among the super wealthy interests behind fossil fuel exploitation is an obstacle to the scale of energy transformation which is needed to keep 1.5o degrees alive.
This article from a couple of days ago, resurrecting the earlier remarks had launched what is now a firestorm of controversy about the role of fossil fuel interests, nation states, lobbyists and financiers in obstructing the path to net-zero carbon emissions.

“Cop28 president says there is ‘no science’ behind demands for phase-out of fossil fuels”
But it was these remarks yesterday which propelled @cop28 President Al Jaber’s conflicts of interest as the CEO of one of the largest fossil fuel companies in the world 🌍 into the stratosphere. theguardian.com/environment/vi…
Read 10 tweets
Dec 5
The mood of #cop28 has changed dramatically. The UAE 🇦🇪 COP which had been peaceful & ambiant is now activated and in some circles angry following an apparent crack-down on civil society protests and a unfortunate press conference by the COP President on the “fossil fuel phase-out Vs phase/down debate.
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Two out of an already very limited number of locations for civil society activism “actions” were closed yesterday, the first I reported on in the quoted thread below yesterday.
A second site was also closed later yesterday with the explanation that it was too close to high voltage electricity equipment. Behind closed door negotiations are now under way to find an acceptable compromise. But for now things remained tense and today started with a series of protests starting at 8am in a confined space near the entrance to the Dubai EXPO 2020 site.

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Read 12 tweets

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