1/ While many non-political-scientists look askance at political parties, the pol sci literature regards them as vital for making democracies in large societies work. Let me explain why in this 🧵.
First things first: How do we define political parties?
2/ There are many definitions, but let me highlight two particularly important ones. Downs (1957, 25), following Schumpeter, defined parties as “teams of [politicians] seeking to control the governing apparatus by gaining office in a duly constituted election.” Sartori (1976, 64)
3/ , by contrast, defines a party as a ‘political group that presents at elections, and is capable of placing through elections, candidates for public office’. Fundamentally, parties facilitate compromise between different factions who, while sharing broadly similar ...
4/ ideological commitments, differ in their specific policy views.
So, why do parties matter? See👇for my summary of the literature - I explain these four points in more detail below.
5/ 1⃣ Parties allocate the scarce resource of political power by deciding (i) activists / members can run for office and (ii) which elected candidates are appointed to which parliamentary committees, cabinet posts, or other positions. This point is emphasised by Aldrich.
6/ 2⃣ Parties allow politicians to compete more effectively for votes in (at least) two ways.
2⃣.1⃣ Parties allow candidates to coordinate their campaign efforts via the pooling of resources and by alleviating the moral hazard problem inherent in electoral ...
7/ teams (Cox et al. 2021, @JFiva + @ProfDanSmith).
Moral hazard refers to the party leadership’s (leader of the electoral team) problem of incentivising their candidates (team members) to exert the maximum possible campaign effort (supply productive sciencedirect.com/science/articl…
8/ productive inputs), when the latter is unobservable or cannot be contracted for and only the outcome (winning or losing a seat/the election) is observable (see also Holmstrom 1982)
Why is this problematic for seat-maximizing parties? jstor.org/stable/3003457…
9/ In some elections, notably closed-list PR ones, parties would gain higher seat shares if those with high (safe) or low (hopeless) list positions campaigned vigorously for those with marginal list positions - though they would not benefit personally. Cox et al. (2021) show
10/ theoretically and empirically that parties can solve this moral hazard problem by committing ex ante to allocating higher offices in government as a monotonically increasing function of members’ list rank.
2⃣.2⃣ Parties allow politicians to compete more effectively for
11/ votes when the policy space is multi-dimensional, as Levy (2004) argues in an elegant paper. Here is the argument.
•Without parties, candidates compete in multiple dimensions by proposing policy vectors. Most candidates face the problem that their sciencedirect.com/science/articl…
12/ ideologically most preferred vector diverges from the vote-maximizing one (core tenet of citizen-candidate models a la Osborne and Besley).
•Candidates cannot credibly promise to implement a compromise vector that is closer to the vote-maximizing vector than their
13/ ideologically most preferred one. After all, without parties, no one can prevent them from breaking this promise once elected. Multiple dimensions create a commitment problem.
•Party-based enforcement mechanisms, such as whipping, enable individual candidates to credibly
14/ commit to a compromise vector, which is some weighted average of the ideal vectors of the different intra-party factions.
•Why does Levy’s argument fail in a one-dimensional policy space?
•Absent concerns about campaign effort, candidates would be better off running
15/ on their own with one dimension, rather than forming parties.
•Any party would consist of left- and right-wing candidates. The party’s policy platform would be some weighted average of the candidates’ ideal points. As is well-known, in stylised environments, the median
16/ position wins.
•So, candidates cannot find a compromise that would satisfy all of them relative to the median, making the party unstable.
This brings us to the third function.
3⃣ Parties help legislators solve the problem of collective policymaking in (at least) two ways.
17/ 3⃣.1⃣ There is a Coasean logic to political parties (@boixserra 2009).
•Suppose legislatures consisted of unorganized representatives. Then, for every piece of legislation, new groups of legislators would have to form to draft the ... academic.oup.com/edited-volume/…
18/ laws and organize majorities.
This is time-consuming and would slow down legislative activity. A similar argument holds for committee work and other oversight activities.
•Parties, like firms, reduce the transaction costs of legislating and holding the executive accountable.
19/ They are vehicles for coordinating parliamentary activity.
3⃣.2⃣ Parties allow for credible vote trading (log-rolling) between parties and factions within a party. This, as Rosenbluth and Shapiro (2018) argue, can improve the coherence of policy platforms - both within ...
20/ one time (horizontal coherence) period and across time periods (vertical coherence or dynamic consistency). This is because parties internalise / take into account one policy proposal has on other domains, which individual legislators would be less likely to do.
21/ 4⃣ A fundamental problem for voters is that information acquisition is costly (see Lupia and McCubbins). Parties and party brands alleviate that problem.
If there were no parties but only individual candidates, it would take a lot of time for voters
22/ to determine what each candidate stands for on the issues that matter most to them. Party brands serve as shortcuts for voters, allowing them to infer what a candidate stands for without too much effort. These shortcuts work particularly well when party discipline is high.
23/ Let me conclude this 🧵with some recommendations for further reading. It goes without saying that the classic paper by Strom should be on the reading list of any serious political scientist. jstor.org/stable/2111461
24/ I applied the Stromian logic in this 🧵on the CDU's incentives to join forces with the AfD.
1/ The veto player approach to analysing politics has considerable intuitive appeal, which is perhaps why few non-political-scientists bother to familiarise themselves with the details. Let me try to explain this approach in somewhat more detail in this🧵.
2/ The slide (👇) summarises the starting point. Let me just expand on the last bullet point. Tsebelis (2002) writes: "While some researchers try to focus on the specific policy implications of certain institutions, I believe that specific outcomes are the result of both ...
3/ prevailing institutions and the preferences of the actors involved. ... institutions are like shells and the specific outcomes they produce depend upon the actors that occupy them." (p. 8)
• Veto players are conceived of as functional equivalents: while institutions might ...
Germany's "informational capacity" is notoriously low, despite it being a relatively wealthy country with a strong Weberian administrative tradition.
I wonder whether this is, at least partly, attributable to Germany's corporatist structures. /1
Why? If the state had higher informational capacity, it would know (a lot) more about, inter alia, companies' profitability, their costs of production, and, crucially, as the gas ...
As an aside: See this thread for more on info. capacity.
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embargo debate illustrates, about their elasticity of substitution (see, for instance, recent work by @ben_moll, @MSchularick und @GeorgZachmann).
It would then be more difficult for companies to extract informational rents, as they tried to do ... /3x.com/ben_moll/statu…
I just re-read (parts of) Lijphart's "Patterns of Democracy" (2012) for something I am working on. In this 🧵, I will offer a fairly detailed summary of this truly seminal work in comparative politics, which, I hope, some of you may find useful. 1/n
The 17 chapters can be divided into four parts.
*Part I: Chapters 1 to 4*.
In chapters 1, 2, and 3, Lijphart introduces the distinction between majoritarian and consensual democracy. Both types, he argues, give different answers to the ... 2/n
fundamental question any democracy has to answer in an institutional sense: If democracy, construed as government for and by the people, who will do the governing and to whose preferences should the government be responsive when the people are in disagreement? 3/n
Follow-up 🧵: Democracies differ in their capacity for implementing reforms that - while creating some losers - generate overall gains.
Lindvall calls this reform capacity, and sets out an interesting theory for explaining systemic variation in reform capacity.
👇Summary
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Lindvall's (global.oup.com/academic/produ…) key thesis:
power-sharing systems do not necessarily have lower reform capacity than power-concentration systems; in fact, when interest groups have moderately high informal power and/or reforms entail short-term costs, whilst ... 2/N
generating long-term benefits ("policy investments", see my 🧵Jacobs), power-sharing systems have higher reform capacity than power-concentration ones.
There are two theories of effective government according to Lindvall: Conventionally, effective government is ... 3/N
👇The latest example of rampant, EU-funded cronyism in Hungary.
For those, like me, who are terrified by the emergence of Orbán's competitive authoritarian regime, it is crucial to understand the factors explaining the latter's endurance. Here are a few thoughts. 1/N
My central claim is that the stability of Orbán's competitive authoritarianism is explained by Hungary being a European Union (EU) member state, whilst not being a member of the Euro. In defence of this thesis, I will proceed in three steps.
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First, I will set out the key characteristics of competitive authoritarian regimes and show that, over the past decade, Hungary has, indeed, turned into such a regime. Secondly, I shall elucidate the role EU funds play in sustaining Orbán's competitive authoritarianism.
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👇Great article.
The eradication of smallpox was one of the greatest successes of international public health diplomacy ever.
For those wondering whether Ostrom's principles for managing local commons can be scaled up, the eradication of smallpox is an instructive example. 1/N
Let us start with my thesis: Ostrom’s design principles for the governance of local common-pool resources (CPR) can be scaled up to facilitate the provision of weakest-link global public goods (GPG) (eradication of smallpox), ...
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whilst they are not conducive to providing aggregate-effort GPGs (climate change mitigation).
To that effect, let me start by providing the intellectual backdrop against which Ostrom articulated her design principles in "Governing the Commons". cambridge.org/core/books/gov…
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