Highmarsed Profile picture
Dec 15, 2023 5 tweets 2 min read Read on X
1/ Here is my BMP assessment for the 769th storage base in Ulan-Ude for September 2023. There are 586 BMPs left down from 897 in 2021 and 327 (56%) of the remaining vehicles look like they are broken beyond repair. I have included pictures of the individual spots in this thread. Image
2/ Spot 1: At least 58 of the 84 BMPs at this spot seem to be missing the turret or other parts of the vehicle. Image
3/ Spot 2: This is the only spot where many of the BMPs seem to be repairable (195 out of 295). In my opinion the vehicles in the middle are BMP-2, because of the larger turret. Image
4/ Spot 3: This spot is very close to the scrap yard of the base, which is why I think these are used for spare parts, but I included the BMPs that have not yet been salvaged as repairable to keep the count consistent. Image
5/ Keep in mind that I made the assessment based on a satelite image of the base looking for visible damage, so the real number of broken vehicles is likely higher than my count.

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More from @HighMarsed

Nov 1
1/ Here are some interesting things I found in the new high resolution imagery from the russian 111th storage base. ⬇️ Image
2/ Looking at tank and BMP numbers over the years since the 2022, it is clear that this base has been a large provider of tanks (mostly T-80, T-62 and some T-55). Image
3/ All T-80s have likely been removed and only some hulls that were partially scrapped in 2022 remain. Interestingly these have been moved from the red area to the area marked in blue. They might try to safe the hulls eventhough they have been without a turret for two years. Image
Image
Read 4 tweets
Sep 27
1/ Getting reliable data regarding attrition of the Russian artillery forces is very hard, but there are some trends that can be observed based on what is being removed from the storage bases, which I will present in this thread.⬇️ https://ukr.warspotting.net/view/19057/155050/
2/ Here are the equipment numbers visible on satelite images. Almost 11000 towed artillery units, self-propelled guns and towed mortars have been removed from visible storage since the start of the invasion. Image
3/ A large inital drop in the number of stored artillery systems can be observed. These were likely needed for the force expansion after the mobilization, since towed guns can be reactivated faster than SPGs, which have been removed at a more linear rate of roughly 900 per year. Image
Read 19 tweets
Sep 19
1/ Since the start of the invasion Russia has removed at least 8300 units of towed artillery and mortars from their storage bases. I will provide some additional information to the count we published recently. Image
2/ First of all I would like to explain the new ID system. I tried to make more use of measuring the guns to put them into categories. I would like to thank @bentanmy , for looking into which systems might be in storage based on guns removed for exhibits.
3/ I have also linked all of his threads about the individual systems below. Interestingly there were even ZiS-2 and ZiS-3 removed from storage for exhibits.
Read 9 tweets
Aug 18
1/ Here is our updated count of self propelled guns at Russian storage sites, with data points for 2022, 2023 and 2024. With @CovertCabal ⬇️
Image
2/ As usual here is the data. Russia has so far removed roughly 1700 SPGs from storage and 60% of of their stocks remain at the bases in various conditions. Image
3/ Interstingly some systems have been removed at a roughly linear rate: ~220 per year for the 2S1, ~160 for the 2S3 and ~140 for the 2S9. Image
Read 6 tweets
Jul 31
1/ Someone should update the "List of equipment of the Russian ground forces" on Wikipedia with Military Balance 2024 numbers. ⬇️
en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_e…
Image
2/ Many bad assesments of Russian equipment are based on numbers from , which in turn seems to be at least partially relying on the Wikipedia article I mentioned above:globalfirepower.com
3/ The main problem with this article is that it is using some outdated numbers from The Military Balance 2022 that were corrected in 2023 and 2024.
Read 12 tweets
Jul 30
1/ This thread aims to provide some open-source and reproducible facts about Russian pre-war tank storage. ⬇️ Image
2/ The main reason I am writing this thread is that the only other source (except our previous counts) is The Military Balance 2022 (10200 tanks: 7000 T-72, 3000 T-80 and 200 T-90), which they have later corrected in TMB2023 and TMB2024.
3/ The IISS lists 5000 tanks of all types in storage for 2023 and 4000 for 2024, which are both very reasonable numbers. This is cleary not only an adjustment of the numbers caused by the war, but also a re-evaluation. Sadly these numbers are only quoted rarely.
Read 20 tweets

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