You've written several articles about Covid in recent years. Do you ever look back & wonder if the previous ones proved to be factual?
You often ask the same people. Look back at what they said vs what transpired then perhaps ask others.
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One of my faves from Jan 22:
"We're almost there, it is now the beginning of the end, at least in the UK," Prof Julian Hiscox, chairman in infection and global health at the University of Liverpool, tells me. "I think life in 2022 will be almost back to before the pandemic."
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But let me focus on Prof Eleanor Riley first.
Every year you've asked her and even for the most recent article where you say she:
"had her own "horrid" bout of Covid that was "much worse" than expected."
Why did she expect it not to be bad I wonder?
Perhaps there are clues?
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Well the clue is that she has been a proponent of using infection as a route out of this.
That vaccines blunt the harms but infections broaden immunity. She's quite possibly one of the reasons why vaccine boosters haven't been widely offered, She said this in Aug 21: 4/
Here is where she suggests using infection to broaden immunity. She goes on to suggest that we're just scaring people - almost like they should embrace infection - just get out there and live like normal: 5/
Perhaps the reason why she is surprised at how hard Covid hit her recently is because she thought that after Omicron, we'd all have lasting immunity. I assume she thinks antibodies and T-cells would provide lasting protection. This from Aug 21: 6/
You see, Prof Riley also suggests that the immunity from infection would be variant proof. It hasn't worked out that way has it James and yet I don't see any kind of retraction or adjustment to the messaging - just a return to the same folk for more comments. Aug 21: 7/
So in your most recent article she says:
"People's antibody levels against Covid are probably as low now as they have been since the vaccine was first introduced."
Hmmm. I thought they lasted "a while". It would have been good to be a little more precise, right?
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Why are antibody levels low? - well Prof Riley you may recall warned against boosters because we "might be digging a hole for ourselves".
But should we worry? Of course not /s
Because our T-cells will deal with it, right? 9/
But I will return to a quote from Prof Hiscox with a real blockbuster statement from your article of Jan 22. Is this the way it's working out James?: 10/
And we mustn't forget Prof Finn with this gem from Aug 21 where the case is made for this to be a real cost-saver for the Government to throw caution to the wind and just infect everybody as a way out of this. I love the "this isn't proven part". 11/
Now forgive me James but I seem to think all of your articles follow one single train of thought:
Infect everyone over & over again and this will be over & we'll all live happily ever after.
What about other methods to protect people?
What about the consequences of infection?
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Perhaps you could talk about the lack of masks in healthcare. The fact that schools are huge vectors of transmission and often have terrible air quality that nobody is addressing. Or maybe that hundreds a week have been dying of Covid throughout.
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Or that testing & surveillance are at all time lows when we need to be stepping up. Or that people could be protecting themselves with respirators & measuring ventilation with CO2 monitors & installing air filters.
I could fill pages & pages with stuff you've never mentioned.
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Harms from infection. This is an area that I could also fill pages about but your article says "sometimes making people quite ill and occasionally leading to having 'long Covid'"
Occasionally? Seriously. Look at the StatCan info from Canada. It's commonplace.
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No mention that repeated infection increases the odds of Long Covid.
What about strokes, heart damage, neurological problems, diabetes and a thousand other known impacts of the infection you are practically encouraging people to embrace & accept as inevitable?
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You could do more research. You could seek other people to ask rather than the same ones who have always been demonstrably wrong. You could actually save someone from dying or becoming disabled by providing more accurate info.
You have a reach that most of us don't. Use it.
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Give it some thought, please.
There's so much more to say.
Here are links to the 3 articles I've pulled all of these references from:
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It's not too late to take a more proactive approach towards protecting yourself from infectious diseases this winter & beyond.
Making it less likely you suffer bad illness, disability or death shouldn't be a hard sell.
Only ineptitude from Gov'ts & Public Heath made it so.
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Think before you breathe.
Inhaling infectious aerosols is the most likely way to get infected.
A well fitting N95/FFP2 or above will significantly reduce your chances of inhaling enough particles to make you ill.
Consider where you go, who with & for how long.
Outdoors safer.
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Avoid shared indoor air wherever possible outside of home.
If you can't avoid, mask up.
Use other layers like CPC mouthwash and anti-viral nasal sprays.
Where you can control the indoor air, improve ventilation, add air filters & aim for 6 air changes per hour or equivalent.
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I've always thought that infectious diseases are best avoided.
I feel sure most people felt this way too prior to Covid.
Now it feels most are happy to ignore them completely.
So what changed for the majority?
Quite a puzzle really but here are some thoughts:
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I'd say first has to be that people assume that those in power:
a) Inform them truthfully about risk
b) Care about them
Reasonable assumptions but both are false and whilst that is demonstrably the case, people still believe both a) and b) to be true.
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Secondly, I think people have accepted illness now as inevitable; beyond anything that it's possible to do anything about.
A bit like the weather - it's often bad & sometimes with disastrous effects but it's nature & we have no choice but to accept it.
Learn to live with it.
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Some lovely replies to this wishing Kelly well. Thank you all.
What I guess my message doesn't portray is that this isn't out of the ordinary. With a complex chronic illness, this is the reality of day-to-day life.
But many conditions can only be self-managed to a point.
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You see, since I started to get to know Kelly, she has taught me a great deal. A reality check of sorts.
Understanding just how micromanaged pretty much every hour needs to be for her chronic complex condition was not something I truly appreciated beforehand.
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But even though she manages her situation diligently & consistently, it's the unpredictability of a flare up or worsening of symptoms that becomes very hard to manage.
The question of when to seek help with the current levels of Covid becomes a much more difficult judgement.
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For those following my Covid Perspectives Spaces series:
This Thurs we talk aerosol chemistry with @ukhadds (link follows) but I wanted to give a heads up about what's next.
I'm going to do a few episodes looking at how the pandemic has affected folk with chronic illness.
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I know lots of chronic illness & disability is completely out of sight of public view. People who are rarely able to leave home - still very much part of society but go largely unseen by most.
It has also become almost impossible to take part in any social activity for many.
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So I will interview people about their lives, their illness, the additional limitations and complications that Covid has burdened them with.
It will also raise awareness of the need for greater protections in healthcare - both away from home & care received at home.
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Quick thread on portable air cleaners.
It's important to use the right type & number of devices.
It can be complicated but using air filters that are too small or that use ineffective tech doesn't provide the best protection that air filtration can offer.
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It isn't a question of buying just any air filter & thinking it has solved the issue.
Often I see products used that are undersized for the space, too noisy to operate or that use unnecessary gadgets that likely have no impact.
It's important to research & understand first.
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It's made more complicated due to insufficient info about products being easily available.
Many products exaggerate true performance imo.
For example, ideally we'd know CADR, noise & power usage for each speed. It's rarely listed aside from a few suppliers like @SmartairUk.
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