Tim Hogan 浩勤 Profile picture
Dec 22 6 tweets 2 min read Read on X
1. I've seen reports by attorneys who think that the $148,000,000 judgment against Rudy Giuliani is exempted from discharge. It was a default judgment and that means it was not on the merits and thus not entitled to collateral estoppel. Just like Alex Jones' judgment.
2. The case will have to be re-tried in a Bankruptcy court adversary proceeding under 11 USC 523(a)(6) and the plaintiffs have to move promptly or be forever barred. The money judgment is an unsecured debt and will likely be paid nothing or a few cents on the dollar
3. from his current assets if Rudy owes taxes and spousal support obligations. His major risks come from hiding assets or not cooperating in the process. The former could create criminal exposure and the latter put a trustee in charge of his case.
4. His judge is experienced and will likely want to keep it moving. His bankruptcy firm is small with several practice areas. If a big firm goes in hard and Rudy remains Rudy, it's possible that things could get gnarly.
Image
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5. His schedules claim he has no secured creditors. That means that all his assets that are not exempt are available to pay creditors. The defamation claim will be the largest claim if it is sustained and should get the lion's share of the proceeds of his assets. I can't recall Image
6. another case like this where there were no secured creditors. I'd want to see a lien search if I was involved in this one.

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More from @TimInHonolulu

Dec 24
1. Russia's intel site Rybar reports Ukraine now has F-16s. The reporting makes it sound like good news for Russia that can now destroy them. Reports of their arrival with reports Putin wants to talk are unlikely coincidental. For months Ukraine had to just hold until they had
2. the means to establish air superiority over their territory. A Patriot battery taking out three Su-34s near Kherson and now Russian pilots have to fear being stalked by a superior US fighter that has overmatch capability in air combat and can carry US ordinance like
3. JDAMs and HARMs that can be used with all their precision capabilities. Once Ukraine can operate F-16s free of SAMS via HARMS and only the most intrepid Russian fighter pilots dare venture into Ukraine, no Russia positions in Ukraine will be safe. From a trench war the battle
Read 7 tweets
Dec 23
1. After Iranian proxy Houthis' attacks have began to harm the struggling Chinese economy, the phone rings for the fist time in a long time at the Pentagon and the PLA wants to talk. My guess is China will want to end this threat but also prevent a US headed coalition to Image
2. take control of the Bab al-Mando strait and perhaps even the Yemeni coast. At some point we have to acknowledge that Russia is no longer the second most-powerful force and that the Middle Kingdom is not going away. The Chinese Central Military Commission also has to come
3. to terms with the fact that Taiwan isn't going to roll over without a fight and that our one China policy never conceded Taiwan. So I'm guessing the delay in action against the Houthis is due to haggling with Beijing over the Chinese position. I've always believed
Read 6 tweets
Dec 20
1. Link to the DC Court website order issued by Chief Judge Boasberg regarding Scott Perry's phone. This is apparently the decision post-remand by the three judge panel that allowed much of the Perry material to be withheld pending further review.
dcd.uscourts.gov/sites/dcd/file…
2. Here is the case caption for the instant order. Image
3. And here is the opinion in the DC Cir where the court remanded to the district court for further review. Same case. A secured communications act proceeding that tells me Perry had his phone data on a could server. Image
Read 5 tweets
Dec 17
1. I think it is quite likely that the @HouseGOP MAGA are coordinating their obstruction with a Russian offensive in Ukraine. I make this assessment based on the level of desperate human wave attacks that Russia has begun deploying in the Donetsk region.
2. Defeated forces often seek one last battle to try to turn the tide. Germans tried in 1944 in the Arden, Japan's operation Sho at Leyte and the Tete offensive are notable. The only one that worked was Tete because US media & Congress fell for it. It's what I fear is happening.
3. Consistent with Hitler's Arden/Battle of the Bulge plan that helped delay the German surrender, Russia has begun shelling along a wide front including Chernihiv in the north, Kupyansk in the northeast and Bahkmut, Avdiivka and Zaporizhia in the east.
Read 7 tweets
Dec 17
1. My analysis is holding that the IDF have failed to maintain a competent force for the kind of fighting needed to remove Hamas without engaging in total war campaign that kills civilians and destroys infrastructure. IDF use of undisciplined forces in the occupied West Bank has
2. likely enabled the extremists who are shooting first and killing hostages in Gaza. The key is to replace poorly trained reservists with front-line professionals with proper training. This may expose waste of US financial recourses not put to good use preparing Israel for this
3. fight and that may have simply been used as subsidy for other things unrelated to the mission. Possible Netanyahu family corruption would be the first place I would examine. Netanyahu may not just cost Israelis their lives. The longer he stays in power
Read 4 tweets
Dec 17
1. A chess board is being set in the Red Sea. The super container ships likely stopped transiting due to the size of the risk to these massive ships and cargo that for now are uninsurable in the Red Sea. The rest of the traffic seems to be in a protectable formation. Image
2. Iranian subs are still a threat and this formation has hint of a long convoy under protection. I doubt Iran wants to risk its subs or surface vessels to support the Houthis. If Iran starts a war they will likely be the first casualties Iran would suffer. Image
3. Iran made its play for imperial domination of the Mideast and it may be about to pay a high price for it. Lebanon, Yemen & Syria could become Iranian graves. Iraq is at a crossroads. It can continue on a road to development & stability or join Iran on its road to perdition.
Read 5 tweets

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