Aditya Shah Profile picture
Dec 23, 2023 24 tweets 7 min read Read on X
India🇮🇳

From
🏦Manufacturing
🏦Infrastructure to
🏦Indigenisation of Defence Equipment

India is laying seeds for a massive transformation

India "Ka time aa gaya"
The next 20-30 years will belong to India

A thread🧵on the changes that are happening in the Indian Economy

Lets go👇Image
Global Growth:-

The IMF will downgraded its forecast for 2.9% global growth in 2023.

Growth projections for India will be at 6.5%
India is the fastest-growing economy in the world.
The domestic economy is strong
Manufacturing move to India will only add to upside Image
The Indian Economy

Favorable Demographics:-

The majority of India's population is young below 30 years of age

The share of India’s working population to the total population will reach its highest at 68.9% by 2030.

As this population works they will enhance the productivity Image
Clean up of the system:-

Over the last 5 years,The government has implemented
🏦GST
🏦Insolvency and Bankruptcy code
🏦Bring India's tax rates to the global system

All of this was part of cleaning up the system
India's Move to Digitalisation:-

🏦UPI
🏦Aadhar
🏦Strengthening of the banking system

All of this has meant Digital transactions have now increased from 4.4% of the GDP to 76.1% of the GDP.

This goes a long way in the formalization of the economy.

Source:-Morgan Stanley Image
Aadhar
UPI & now
Open Network for Digital Commerce(ONDC)

As ONDC comes to life It is yet another UPI moment(game changer) in e-commerce

A thread🧵on what is ONDC? How will it revolutionize e-commerce in India?
Manufacturing:-

China+1
This is basically a strategy in which companies avoid investing only in China and diversify their businesses to alternative destinations. Image
India's market share in world exports is continuing to expand rapidly.

This is expected to touch 4.5% by 2030.

Source:-Morgan Stanley Image
Government initiatives:-

The National Manufacturing Policy aims to raise manufacturing’s GDP share to 25% from 13% by 2025:-
🏦The “Make in India” campaign
🏦Production-Linked Incentive Scheme
🏦The start-up ecosystem
Some of the biggest companies in the world, including but not limited to General Electric, Siemens, HTC, Toshiba, and Boeing, are setting up manufacturing plants in India as a result of the “Make in India” policy

Something that has never happened before
Some Key Projects:-
📱Apple to manufacture 25% of iPhones from India by 2025
✈️Tatas are collaborating with Airbus for the manufacturing of C295 aircraft
✈️General Electric signed a contract to manufacture engines wil HAL
📱Foxconn semiconductor plant in Gujarat Image
Defense equipment

India Spends nearly 2 lakh crores on Defence Equipment.

Most of it was imported.

Due to the government's efforts over the last 5 years
60-75% of the purchase is being produced Locally

Big suppliers are setting up factories in India now

Source:-HDFC MF Image
Infrastructure:-

India spent $14 Trillion on infrastructure in the 75 years since its independence.

$7 trillion was in the last 9 years.

Another $7 Trillion will be spent in the next 9 years!

Big Spending is coming in!

Source-DSP MF Image
The Infra Spend is across:-
🛣️Road
🚆Railways
✈️Aviation

The government has its prime focus on improving instratucture Image
Roads:-

There has been an increase in the construction of National Highways (NHs)/roads over time, with 10,457 km of roads constructed in FY22 as compared to 6,061 km in FY16. Image
The ambition is to take the rate of daily highway construction in India to 100km per day

Dubbed India’s ‘highway revolution’,

Rapid highway construction is central to the country’s push to transform itself into a staggering US$5 trillion economy by 2025. Image
Railways:-

The capital expenditure on infrastructure in railways has received a tremendous boost since 2014.

It has seen a continuous increase in the last four years with Capex (B.E.) of ₹2.5 lakh crore in FY23, up by around 29 percent compared to the previous year Image
Major spending has been across:-
1. Track doubling
2. Rolling Stock
3. Electrification projects Image
Dedicated Freight Corridor:-

The 1724km Dedicated Freight movement corridor will help faster movement of goods.

This will help in faster movement of goods! Image
Metro push:-

Each Indian city and town has a large number of proposed new lines,

The following table lists out cities/towns with with serious proposals that could possibly materialize as light rail (Metrolite) and be built in the next 10 years.👇 Image
Aviation push

UDAN( Ude Desh ka Aam Nagrik) Scheme:-
Under this scheme, the govt is trying to set up regional airports

The Budget has proposed to double the outlay for , UDAN, to ₹1,244 crore, from the current year’s budgetary estimates of ₹601 crore. Image
Making India an Aviation hub:-

Airlines are sensing the massive opportunity India has and have placed large orders:-

✈️Air India has 470 planes on order
✈️ Indigo has 300 planes on order
✈️Akasa Air is expected to place a three-digit order by the end of 2023 Image
Conclusion:-

Nothing changes overnight in India

But, India is spending aggressively on

Manufacturing
Reforming the economy
Digitalizing the economy
Infrastructure

As all of these pieces come together slowly in the next 10 years.

India will do exceptionally well.
Keep following me -@AdityaD_Shah as I write daily to make you aware around:
📈Personal Finance
📈Investing
📈Stock Analysis

Go to my profile and hit the bell icon🔔to always stay updated

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More from @AdityaD_Shah

Jul 20
ICICI Bank-The clear Market leader!

Both HDFC and ICICI reported numbers yesterday
How does ICICI Bank stack up against HDFC Bank?

Is ICICI Bank way ahead of HDFC Bank?🤔🤔🤔

A short thread🧵analyzing each and every aspect of both results.

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Loan+Deposit growth:-

ICICI Bank
🏦Total deposits grew 12%
🏦Loans grew at about 12%

HDFC Bank
🏦Deposits grew at 16,2%
🏦Loan grew at just 6%

Both Banks are gaining market share in both deposit and loan portfolios
While ICICI marches on,
HDFC Bank has slowed down its loan growth due to meer issues and bringing down the LDR
Loan portfolio growth:-

Bulk of ICICI's growth came from the 6.9% retail growth.

The corporate loan growth slipped to only 7.5%

HDFC Bank had a retail growth of 8%
The corporate loan growth slipped to only 1.7% Image
Image
Read 12 tweets
Jun 30
Tax Planning is very important to optimize tax outgo!

Hindu Undivided Family(HUF) is a good option that is available for all married persons

What is HUF? How to create it?

A thread🧵on HUF,how to create HUF and its benefits?

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What is Hindu Undivided Family(HUF)?

An HUF, under the Hindu law, is a family consisting of lineal descendants from a common ancestor. It includes their wives and unmarried children.
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HUF is a separate entity for the purpose of assessment under the Act.
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Jun 23
🚨How to buy health insurance- A checklist

Health insurance policies come with 100s of variations & are very complicated🤯🤯

Which conditions should u keep in mind before buying a health insurance policy?🤔🤔

A thread🧵 on a comprehensive checklist of things you should check before buying a health insurance policy

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What is a health insurance policy?

In simple words, you pay a premium to an insurance company.
The insurance company in return will cover the cost of any unforeseen hospitalization

Almost everyone should have personal health insurance Image
Which health insurance policy to buy?

Health insurance policies come with 100s of variations such as:-

🩺Some have co-pay
🩺Some have lower premium
🩺Some have higher new claim bonus
🩺Some have caps on various things

So which one to buy?
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May 30
🚨 Suzlon- Is the turnaround finally completed?

After decades of Hardships,
Suzlon is reported 67% revenue growth in FY25
It is order book of 5.6GW(highest in last 25 years)

Is the wind energy and Suzlon's business on a massive turnaround?🤔🤔

A thread🧵on the business of Suzlon and what lies ahead?

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The history of Suzlon:-

Suzlon undertook aggressive expansion within the wind energy space.

This led to a massive build-up of debt and after that huge problems for the company

Here is a brief history of the company Image
So what is changing for Suzlon?

A series of steps have been taken by policy makers to reverse earlier policies that hampered wind capacity addition between FY18-FY23.

Policy makers decided to do away with reverse auctions.
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After a change in strategy,
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But are these changes sustainable?🤔🤔

A thread🧵on the business of VA tech wabag & what lies ahead?

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Water purification is a major theme not only in India but across the world
In India,
The
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Other Southeast Asian countries are also investing in this, Image
Most of this market is dominated by Municipalties across the world Image
Read 17 tweets
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🚨Indusind Bank- Can it get any worse?🤔🤔

As if derivative accounting problems were not enough,

Indusind Bank reported shocking numbers with even more problems:-
🏦 NPAs hidden in microfinance
🏦Inflated fee income
🏦The board suspects fraud by some employees🤯🤯

A thread on 🧵on the results of Indusind Bank and what lies ahead?👇Image
What is happening at Indusind bank?

In March,
Indusind Bank reported an accounting error in the derivatives book.
This led to 2000 cr and exit of top management.

That was just the tip of the iceberg,
The stock price has tanked from there

Let's find out more👇 Image
First of all.

Let's break down the current fiasco,

1. Accounting discrepancy in the derivatives book

From 2019,
Indusind Bank did not report losses in the derivatives portfolio,
This lead to massive loss of 1960cr this quarter,

Third party investigation confirms the loss and that this is all of the loss,
It is suspected many insiders were involved in this cover upImage
Read 15 tweets

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