The Commander-in-Chief of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, Valeriy Zaluzhniy, gave a press conference on mass mobilization. He also spoke about the state of the war in Ukraine.
His answers were tough, to the point. Not a word about a ceasefire, but what’s next on the battlefield 1/
His answers were tough, to the point. Not a word about a ceasefire, but what’s next on the battlefield 1/
Z: 2024 must differ from 2023 with enhanced efficiency and better soldier survival rates. We have identified key problems [that stopped the counter offensive] and have developed solutions to the most of them
But the enemy has been evolving too 2/
But the enemy has been evolving too 2/
Ukrainian forces for now hold the north of Mariinka, but the city no longer exists after brutal block-by-block destruction reminiscent of Bakhmut. (Mariinka is a suburb of Donetsk from which artillery can reach it and has been held by Ukraine) 3/
The situation around Avdiivka also follows military realities, not political or media perception; the enemy can at the moment concentrate forces to methodically devastate the city like Bakhmut 4/
Zaluzhniy remains confident of continued Western military assistance; he has been satisfied with the support in 2023 5/
On mass mobilization. Zaluzhniy would not discuss a total mobilization number publicly; the figure shapes mobilization phases over time, with some in early and some in late 2024
[The government has spoken about 500K mobilization in 2024] 6/
[The government has spoken about 500K mobilization in 2024] 6/
Mobilization number estimates account for losses, future year tasks, and new unit needs
[the key “between the lines” insight is that Ukraine is preparing for a very long war in a serious way] 7/
[the key “between the lines” insight is that Ukraine is preparing for a very long war in a serious way] 7/
Specifically, mobilization will be done for 36 months. This also applies to the currently mobilized soldiers, so one more year. This provides time to prepare replacements by 2025, but replacements likely need to begin training in 2024 already. 8/
Soldiers on the frontlines now face extremely difficult conditions, so Zaluzhniy wants mobilized men to know clearly how long their service will last. 9/
Zaluzhniy is unsatisfied with the work of military offices on mobilization so far, as managing mobilization requires specific skills and knowledge that many heads of these offices lack. 10X
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