My thoughts on the rape allegations🧵
I fully support an impartial international investigation & oppose out of hand denialism!
There's a range of crucial questions & uncertainties to answer (some raised by Israeli scholars) in order to make a "weaponization of rape" conclusion👇
2\ Question 1: What is the compelling evidence alleged rape incidents were used as "a weapon of war"?
To establish "weaponization" of alleged rape rather than individual incidents, 2 prerequisites need to be fulfilled.
That it was *both*
a) Premeditated/instructed
b) Systematic
3\ The NYT article doesn't show any argument that the alleged rape was premeditated/instructed.
The authors did well to NOT cite any "confessions of rape" by detained Gazans in Israeli prisons b/c Israel's own Physicians for Human Rights dismissed them as extracted under torture
4\ Israel "leaked" videos of kidnapped & visibly tortured Gazans as "Hamas operatives' admissions of rape", like Muhammad Nahed Al-Arja (21) whose family announced he & his 2 cousins went missing & has been seeking help to locate them & says they were NEVER affiliated with Hamas!
5\ Was the alleged rape systematic?
NYT cites unnamed IDF soldiers & ZAKA volunteers that they overall found 30 bodies with "signs of abuse"
On Oct 7, ≈3,000 militants crossed into Israel
Serious question to experts: is 30 out of 3000 sufficient to establish it was systematic?
6\Question 2: Does NYT have evidence to link the alleged rape to Hamas militants?
After Hamas' Nokhba took over IDF military bases surrounding Gaza & the separation fence collapsed, militants from at least 7 other groups rushed in without a central command & acted individually..
7\ A witness quoted by NYT claims he saw 5 men in "civilian clothes" committing an alleged act of rape
Hamas militants wore military gear & (often) green arm or head bands..
To establish a "weaponization" of alleged rape, there's a need for evidence linking these acts to Hamas
8\ Israel itself says ONLY 1 person -out of over 200 militants detained on Oct 7 & 1000s detained in Gaza- allegedly "admitted" (under torture) to committing an act of rape
That alleged detainee is from the PIJ not Hamas & Israel hasn't found his alleged "victim" yet
9\ Question 3: Did the NYT consider that some of the quoted witnesses have changed parts of their testimonies or had previously made other allegations that were proven to be false? Does this impact their testimony here?
Was any background check conducted about the interviewees?
10\ E.g. Shari Mendes told NYT she only saw 4 women with signs of sexual abuse, inc. some with “a lot of blood in their pelvic areas”
But Shari said elsewhere she saw "evidence of MASS rape of so brutal that they *broke* their victims’ pelvis – women, grandmothers, children"!
11\ Shari had also claimed elsewhere to have seen a "decapitated pregnant woman and her beheaded unborn child" (a claim debunked by Haaretz)
She had also expressed strong opinions on Gaza re how the PR battle for Israel's image "may make the military battlefield look easy".
12\ Sapir is a witness who describes militants allegedly raping & stabbing 2 women to death.
But she said elsewhere the victim was shot in the head in the middle of the act of rape "he didn't even pick up his pants"
Did NYT consider if there was a conflict between the 2 claims?
13\ Sapir also claimed she saw 3 women allegedly beheaded. (Evidence?)
Early on, Israel provided evidence of only 1 female corpse burned & the head severed in unclear circumstances (2 male soldiers were decapitated after they were killed allegedly by Kata'ib Mujahideen & PIJ).
14\ Raz Cohen -ex-soldier who trains Congolese troops- changed his testimony multiple times until the NYT interview
Also the paramedic quoted in the article had earlier alleged a 1-year-old baby was stabbed & "tossed into the garbage". On Oct 7, only 1 baby was shot, not stabbed
15\I understand the extreme sensitivity of this topic to women & victims & wish in no way to minimize what may have happened on Oct 7
Please understand it's also an extremely sensitive topic to Palestinians as it's being weaponized for dehumanizion & genocidal incitement re Gaza
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Hamas doesn't stand to lose much, but Israel might lose dearly
Palestinian reconciliation might get even more difficult
Hamas recently pledged to cooperate with the ICC investigation, Israel rejected it out of hand as "antisemitic"
2\ Netanyahu won't be able to step a foot on any of the 124 countries in Green, including the EU. Israeli ministers & IDF general would fear going to any of these countries in case of surprise arrest warrants.
The reputational damage to Israel could lead to halting arm deals, boycotts, declining foreign investments...
World leaders won't be eager to meet & be pictured with a guy accused of crimes against humanity.
Pressure can be increased on Israel's Western patrons to act.
3\ Hamas, however, is already isolated & sanctioned by the entire West
The 3 leaders targeted by the ICC prosecutor NEVER travel to an ICC member state (or are never allowed to in the 1st place)
Daif never steps a food outside Gaza. Sinwar barely traveled to Egypt a couple of times
Haniya only ever travelled to countries that are non-members of the ICC or didn't ratify the Rome Statute (e.g. Iran, Russia, Qatar, Turkey, Lebanon, Syria, Malaysia, Oman, Morrocco)
A🧵debunking Israel's talking points on Rafah through the words of top *Israeli* generals & leaders on why the invasion:
Will NOT defeat Hamas
May cost the lives of all hostages
Is NOT necessary
& that Hamas is "still alive & kicking" in every city the IDF invaded & destroyed...
2\ Israel's own (under)estimates is that there's still 5,000 armed Hamas militants in Northern Gaza after 210 days
IDF General (res.) Israel Ziv admits Hamas is "still alive & kicking" in northern Gaza after everything Israel did there, including destroying & damaging over 70% of all homes!
🚨Israel is RAPING & sexually assaulting Palestinian detainees:
"They were led to the kitchen, where they were stripped & forced to lie one on top of the other.... They were beaten with clubs & spat on. A guard then started to stuff carrots into the anus of Abu Halil & other prisoners."
2\ Israel's sexual abuse of those detainees that spoke up was a routine: "Again they were stripped. This time they were kicked in the testicles. The guards would lunge at them & kick, lunge & kick, again & again. Nonstop brutality for 25 minutes. 'We are Bruce Lee,' the guards proclaimed. They shook them & shoved them around like balls from one corner of the room to the other, then moved them to their new cells in Block 6."
3\ Most Palestinian victims of Israeli sexual abuse would never speak up about their trauma out of fear of Israel arbitrarily detaining or killing them in revenge, as well as the social stigma & shame it brings
🚨Harrowing evidence revealed of Israel's execution of Gazans at the Nasser hospital mass grave 🧵
These 2 bodies were both shot in the head, both hand-tied.
Multiple discovered bodies were zip-tied, some both arms & legs. Some buried in patient gowns, including children.
2\ Multiple bodies discovered at the Nasser hospital mass grave had their arms tied with zip-ties or duck tape.
Many bodies were buried at a 3 meter depth to accelerate decomposition.
3\ At the mass grave, bodies of patients were discovered, buried in their hospital gowns & tied
The body to the right belongs to a girl whose leg was amputated after being wounded in an Israeli airstrike. Her family says she was still alive at the hospital when Israel raided it.
Israel lies pathologically!
A🧵of dozens of conclusively debunked Israeli gov lies since Oct 7, off the top of my head
1- The IDF blatantly claimed this underground WATER TANK was a "Hamas tunnel" their ground troops discovered at the Qatari hospital in Gaza on Nov 5 2023
Mainstream media put it in headlines immediately despite experts challenging this lie with detailed maps of the room
In February, local journalists were finally able to access the area & debunk the lie
The IDF knew exactly what this shaft was back in Nov b/c their troops inspected it on the ground, but they lied deliberately to pave the way for raiding, besieging, bombing, & destroying almost every single hospital in Gaza
2\ Bombing fleeing refugees: Israel bombed a convoy of Gazans fleeing south on the very "safe road" they ordered to go through, killing over 70 on Oct 13.
Israel immediately denied bombing the convoy & said it was Hamas.
Financial Times found Israel was lying.
The damage was consist with an Israeli airstrike! ft.com/content/95c5fc…
3\ In Nov, Israel lied (again) about Palestinian detainee Mohammed Nazal who was mercilessly beaten & tortured by Israeli prison guards for no reason until they broke his arms & denied him medical treatment.
BBC confirmed with 2 UK doctors that his arms were indeed broken.
🚨Hostages are having their legs amputated from being zip-tied by all 4 limbs for months; they're being forced to defecate in diapers & fed through straws.
Those are Gazan hostages at Israel's Sde Teiman "concentration camp", so you won't see one word about it in Western media🧵
2\ Wherever the IDF goes in Gaza, they mass arrest surviving men & children from the age of 15
IDF soldier force kidnapped Gazans to strip down to their underwear on camera & put them on trucks to the Sde Teiman military base in the Negev that Israelis call a concentration camp!
3\ Israel does NOT reveal how many Gazans they currently hold at the Sde Teiman "concentration camp" & don't allow any access to the Red Cross or any other international group.
The number of detainees is in the thousands!
They're subjected to unimaginable nonstop daily torture!