My thoughts on the rape allegations🧵
I fully support an impartial international investigation & oppose out of hand denialism!
There's a range of crucial questions & uncertainties to answer (some raised by Israeli scholars) in order to make a "weaponization of rape" conclusion👇
2\ Question 1: What is the compelling evidence alleged rape incidents were used as "a weapon of war"?
To establish "weaponization" of alleged rape rather than individual incidents, 2 prerequisites need to be fulfilled.
That it was *both*
a) Premeditated/instructed
b) Systematic
3\ The NYT article doesn't show any argument that the alleged rape was premeditated/instructed.
The authors did well to NOT cite any "confessions of rape" by detained Gazans in Israeli prisons b/c Israel's own Physicians for Human Rights dismissed them as extracted under torture
4\ Israel "leaked" videos of kidnapped & visibly tortured Gazans as "Hamas operatives' admissions of rape", like Muhammad Nahed Al-Arja (21) whose family announced he & his 2 cousins went missing & has been seeking help to locate them & says they were NEVER affiliated with Hamas!
5\ Was the alleged rape systematic?
NYT cites unnamed IDF soldiers & ZAKA volunteers that they overall found 30 bodies with "signs of abuse"
On Oct 7, ≈3,000 militants crossed into Israel
Serious question to experts: is 30 out of 3000 sufficient to establish it was systematic?
6\Question 2: Does NYT have evidence to link the alleged rape to Hamas militants?
After Hamas' Nokhba took over IDF military bases surrounding Gaza & the separation fence collapsed, militants from at least 7 other groups rushed in without a central command & acted individually..
7\ A witness quoted by NYT claims he saw 5 men in "civilian clothes" committing an alleged act of rape
Hamas militants wore military gear & (often) green arm or head bands..
To establish a "weaponization" of alleged rape, there's a need for evidence linking these acts to Hamas
8\ Israel itself says ONLY 1 person -out of over 200 militants detained on Oct 7 & 1000s detained in Gaza- allegedly "admitted" (under torture) to committing an act of rape
That alleged detainee is from the PIJ not Hamas & Israel hasn't found his alleged "victim" yet
9\ Question 3: Did the NYT consider that some of the quoted witnesses have changed parts of their testimonies or had previously made other allegations that were proven to be false? Does this impact their testimony here?
Was any background check conducted about the interviewees?
10\ E.g. Shari Mendes told NYT she only saw 4 women with signs of sexual abuse, inc. some with “a lot of blood in their pelvic areas”
But Shari said elsewhere she saw "evidence of MASS rape of so brutal that they *broke* their victims’ pelvis – women, grandmothers, children"!
11\ Shari had also claimed elsewhere to have seen a "decapitated pregnant woman and her beheaded unborn child" (a claim debunked by Haaretz)
She had also expressed strong opinions on Gaza re how the PR battle for Israel's image "may make the military battlefield look easy".
12\ Sapir is a witness who describes militants allegedly raping & stabbing 2 women to death.
But she said elsewhere the victim was shot in the head in the middle of the act of rape "he didn't even pick up his pants"
Did NYT consider if there was a conflict between the 2 claims?
13\ Sapir also claimed she saw 3 women allegedly beheaded. (Evidence?)
Early on, Israel provided evidence of only 1 female corpse burned & the head severed in unclear circumstances (2 male soldiers were decapitated after they were killed allegedly by Kata'ib Mujahideen & PIJ).
14\ Raz Cohen -ex-soldier who trains Congolese troops- changed his testimony multiple times until the NYT interview
Also the paramedic quoted in the article had earlier alleged a 1-year-old baby was stabbed & "tossed into the garbage". On Oct 7, only 1 baby was shot, not stabbed
15\I understand the extreme sensitivity of this topic to women & victims & wish in no way to minimize what may have happened on Oct 7
Please understand it's also an extremely sensitive topic to Palestinians as it's being weaponized for dehumanizion & genocidal incitement re Gaza
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The ultimate gift to Hamas is NOT a few countries' symbolic recognition of Palestine
The ultimate gift to Hamas is Netanyahu & Trump humiliating, weakening, sanctioning & bankrupting the Palestinian Authority no matter how far Abbas goes to appease Israel & the US🧵
2\ Hamas' key argument for armed resistance is that nonviolence, advocacy, civil disobedience, international courts, diplomacy, peace processes are all futile & if you try them you'd only get smacked & demonized by Israel & the US without achieving any tangible results
3\ Hamas' main case study to legitimize their path is to point out how Mahmoud Abbas recognized Israel, renounced violence, suppressed intifadas, & actively collaborates with the US & Israel against fellow Palestinians
Then they'd ask "what did Abbas get out of this? Nothing"
We warned about this 8 months ago; Israel's 5 finger policy of dissecting Gaza into smaller concentration camps using "security corridors" (i.e. extermination zones):
Everything on both sides of each corridor is then gradually wiped out
2\ You can already see how Israel systematically demolished every single building on both sides of its latest "corridor" in Khan Younis
Those "corridors" are deadlier than the Berlin Wall; anyone trying to cross from one side to another is instantly executed
3\ Each time Israel creates a "security corridor" (i.e. extermination zone), they gradually expand its width until it becomes a giant strip of wasteland
Netzarim started as a narrow route, quickly expanded to 4 miles (6.5 km) in width
Every single building in there was wiped out
10 soldiers took turns to rape their victim on camera until they exploded his intestines & raptured his rectum. Gov leaders, MPs, religious leaders… all praised the rapists. National TVs hosted the rapists. The public overwhelmingly supported the rapists.
They now pretend this never happened; the very folks who never said a single word about this want to shame you into supporting a genocide by screaming “Oct 7 sexual violence” every single day!
🚨Yehuda Vach is the man behind the daily GHF massacres:
An IDF Brigadier General & an extremist settler from Kiryat Arba. He gave explicit orders to fire at starved Gazans
He's one of the most genocidal Israeli officers in Gaza, responsible for some of the worst atrocities🧵
2\ Vach is the one who blew up Gaza's sole cancer specialist hospital, the Turkish hospital
He created his "private army" of extremist settlers & terrorist "hilltop youth" to demolish homes in Gaza & hired his brothers to lead the job to "flatten Gaza"
3\ Vach brags that "there are no innocents in Gaza" & said last year that "not one [aid] truck should enter." He explained to his soldiers "We needed to make things hard on the convoys that entered and harass them."
Israel put him in charge of the GHF area on purpose!
Here's how & why GHF massacres happen daily (step by step)🧵
1- Starved Gazans sleep in the open near al-Mawasi's Mu'awiya mosque that leads to the GHF "hubs"
Near dawn, more desperate people arrive & start pushing the queue to get to GHF
IDF fires: 1st massacre of the day at 3:00-4:00. Everyday, like clockwork
The more fires shot, the more starved people panic, scatter or stampede, & the more violently the IDF attacks (e.g. tank shells, live bullets)
2- The gangs arrive first:
At the crack of dawn, the IDF & GHF allow in collaborators, looters, gang members & subcontractors who open boxes to scavenge & loot the most valuable items (e.g. oil) to sell on the black market
No massacres at that point
3- First wave of starved Gazans arrive in the earliest hours of the morning
The IDF & GHF allow them into the caged concentration camp & feeding pens
But more people show up than what GHF could handle (i.e. 8,000 food boxes per day for 2.4 million people)
IDF starts shooting: 2nd massacre of the day
People who managed to get food sometimes encounter criminals on their way back who loot the boxes by force
3- Negotiating a possible long-term truce for 5-7 years that entails full cessation of "offensive military operations" by both sides
4- Allowing Gazans to travel out of & back to Gaza freely through the Rafah crossing & resuming commercial goods & trade
5- Finalising reconstruction arrangement & plans during the negotiations on ending the war & providing aid to Gazans affected by the war.
6- Reconstruction of the Gaza Strip to be implemented over 3-5 years (i.e. the widely endorsed Egyptian plan); under the supervision of a number of countries & organizations, including Egypt, Qatar, & UN.
6- Ceasefire would continue automatically after the 60 day pause if Israel & Hamas are still negotiating by then (this was a basic condition in the Jan 19 ceasefire agreement Netanyahu signed).
7- Hamas would release 10 Israeli captives & 18 bodies during the 60-day pause, & will release all remaining captives as soon as the final phase is agreed upon (i.e. ending the war).
Most of those points were ALREADY in the outline Hamas reached with Trump's negotiating team last week before Netanyahu rejected that proposal completely out of hand & forced Witkoff to take those items off
3\ The main changes between Witkoff's latest outline & Hamas' response are:
1- Witkoff's proposal says the 60-day pause would be extended "under conditions" & for "a duration agreed upon by the parties", which basically means after the 60 days are over, Netanyahu would say give me the remaining captives for another 60 days (that's how he did it last March).
Hamas's response says the 60-day pause should be renewed if negotiations are still ongoing (which is literally what the Jan 19 agreement stipulated, which Israel signed & agreed to & the US guaranteed).
2- Witkoff's latest proposal says Hamas would release the 10 Israeli captives & 18 bodies within one week of the 60-day ceasefire starting (what would guarantee Israel wouldn't end the ceasefire right after that week?)
Hamas says they'd release 4 of alive captives on day 1, two of them on day 30, & 4 on day 60, to ensure Israel's compliance with the terms of the agreement (Israel violated the last agreement over 960 times).
3- Witkoff's latest proposal says Hamas & Israel would negotiate the permanent ceasefire on day 1 of the this 60-day pause going into effect. It says the topics the two sides would negotiate *include*:
- Keys & terms of prisoner swap for the remaining captives
- Israel's withdrawal and redeployment
- Long-term security arrangements within Gaza
- "Day after" arrangements
Hamas removed the word "including" since it's a loophole that allows Netanyahu to add more demands last minute to sabotage the talks. They defined the terms of the negotiations to be about:
- Keys & terms of prisoner swap for the remaining captives
- *Full* Israeli withdrawal from Gaza (not redeployment)
- Day after arrangements which are; Hamas handing over control in Gaza immediately to a technocratic independent committee & full cessation of "offensive military operations" by both sides for 5-7 years (to give room for PA-Israeli peace negotiations).