Brian Feroldi Profile picture
Jan 5, 2024 14 tweets 5 min read Read on X
How to analyze an Income Statement, FAST.

Warren Buffett’s 8 Income Statement 'Rules of Thumb': Image
1: Gross Margin

🧮 Equation: Gross Profit / Revenue

👍 Rule of Thumb: 40% or higher

🤔 Buffett's Logic: A consistently high gross margin signals that the company isn’t competing exclusively on price. Image
2: SG&A Margin

🧮 Equation: SG&A Expense / Gross Profit

👍 Rule of Thumb: 30% or lower

🤔 Buffett's Logic: Wide-moat companies don’t need to spend a lot on overhead to operate & convince consumers to buy. Image
3: R&D Margin

🧮 Equation: R&D Expense / Gross Profit

👍 Rule of Thumb: 30% or lower

🤔 Buffett's Logic: R&D expenses don't always create value for shareholders. Buffett doesn't want to own companies that need to invent the next great product to do well. Image
4: Depreciation Margin

🧮 Equation: Depreciation / Gross Profit

👍 Rule of Thumb: 10% or lower

🤔 Buffett's Logic: Buffett doesn't like businesses that constantly need to invest in depreciating assets to maintain their competitive advantage. Image
5: Interest Expense Margin

🧮 Equation: Interest Expense / Operating Income

👍 Rule of Thumb: 15% or lower

🤔 Buffett's Logic: Great businesses have such incredible economics that they don’t need debt to finance themselves. Image
If you're enjoying this thread, you'll love my cohort-based course starting next week, Financial Statements Explained Simply

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Image
6: Income Tax Expenses

🧮 Equation: Taxes Paid / Pre-Tax Income

👍 Rule of Thumb: Current Corporate Tax Rate

🤔 Buffett's Logic: Great businesses make so much money that they are consistently forced to pay their full share of taxes. Image
7: Net Margin (Profit Margin)

🧮 Equation: Net Income / Sales

👍 Rule of Thumb: 20% or higher

🤔 Buffett's Logic: Companies that consistently convert 20% of their revenue into net income are more likely to have a durable competitive advantage. Image
8: Earnings Per Share Growth

🧮 Equation: Year 2 EPS / Year 1 EPS

👍 Rule of Thumb: Positive & Growing

🤔 Buffett's Logic: Great companies consistently generate profits and increase them every year regardless of the operating environment.
Caveats:

1: These “rules of thumb” are only useful when a company is mature and fully optimized for profits (stage 4/5).

2: CONSISTENCY is key.

3: There are PLENTY of exceptions & nuances to these rules. Image
Want to dive deeper into financial statements?

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Here's a handy summary infographic: Image
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More from @BrianFeroldi

May 17
8 visuals every investor should memorize:

1: In the long run, stocks win: Image
2: You make far more money by holding through bull markets that you lose by holding through bear markets. Image
3: Investors are their own worst enemy.

Why do they underperform?

Their behavior. Image
Read 9 tweets
May 16
My worst investing decisions ever all contain the same word:

Sell

But that doesn't mean I "buy and forget"

Here are the exact reasons I will exit an investment: Image
1: Thesis Busted

Translation: I was wrong

This could be because:
▪️Brand deteriorated
▪️Management isn't executing
▪️I misjudged the moat
▪️Rising competition

If the original reasons I bought are no longer valid, I admit defeat and move on
2: Accounting Irregularities

If I can't trust the numbers, I'm out.

Accounting Irregularities = You are dead to me forever
Read 14 tweets
May 12
How to analyze an income statement, FAST.

Study these 7 infographics:

1: Income Statement Overview Image
2: Three Types of Analysis Image
3: Net Income vs Free Cash Flow Image
Read 8 tweets
May 11
The most powerful investing principles I've ever learned are counterintuitive.

That’s logical - if they were intuitive, I wouldn't need to learn them.

Here are 7 counterintuitive investing principles I had to learn the hard with (with visuals) Image
1: Don’t haggle

If a stock is trading at $21, I used to set a limit order for $20.50

But my orders usually didn't fill.

Haggling caused me not to BUY a few mega-winners.

Which is FAR MORE costly than slightly overpaying. Image
Think of it this way:

If stock checks all your boxes and goes from $20 to $200

Does it matter if you got in at $19.56 or $21.25?

If you think a stock has 10x potential from today's price, don’t haggle over pennies.

Just buy it.
Read 18 tweets
May 8
I bought my first stock 21 years ago.

Here are 21 harsh investing truths I learned the hard way:

1: The worst mistake is to sell a mega-winner early Image
2: Humans are pre-programmed to be bad at investing.

3: Your personal finances are 10x more important than your investments.

4: Handle volatility is 100x easier in theory than in reality.
5: Confidence in your strategy will rise and fall in lock-step with asset prices.

6: The best stocks put their owners through gut-wrenching volatility. The worst stocks do, too.

7: You're going to be wrong—a lot. Be humble.
Read 10 tweets
May 6
How to Read 10Ks Like a Hedge Fund

Here’s what metrics professional analysts focus on (using $MA as an example:) Image
1: Business overview.

Understand everything about how the business works, like:
- What is the business model?
- Who are the key suppliers, distributors, partners?
- Revenue quality?(Recurring? Recession proof?)
- What is the revenue split from products / services? Image
2: Risk Factors

Most of these are standard.

Identify the risks that are company-specific and make sure you understand them. Image
Read 14 tweets

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