Crémieux Profile picture
Jan 6, 2024 • 12 tweets • 4 min read • Read on X
Radiant Energy Group recently published a massive international survey of opinions on nuclear energy.

It's full of some things you might already know, but it also contains some surprisesđź§µ

For example, did you know French and German nuclear support isn't that different? Image
Nuclear does have less support than other green technologies, but in most places, it still receives net support. Image
This apparently low level of support looks higher when survey participants are asked about their ranked supported for different energy sources. Image
This support increases further if you subset to people who are techno-optimists or tech-neutral when it comes to fighting against climate change. Image
Unfortunately, most people aren't aware about nuclear is exceptionally clean. Even larger numbers think nuclear waste is a major point of worry.

The Simpsons has done incredible damage to the reputation of our best energy source. Image
Onto the demographics!

In some countries, the old are the most supportive of nuclear. In others, it's the young. Image
If you've seen other surveys on the demographics of nuclear support this one won't surprise you: men are universally more supportive of nuclear. Image
If you've seen other surveys on the relationship between science knowledge and nuclear support, this won't surprise you either: the most knowledgeable are (almost) universally the most supportive of nuclear. Image
Despite being the current best option for providing reliable, low-cost, and clean energy, being concerned about the climate generally predicts less support for nuclear.

When climate concern is represented by nonprofit membership, there's a similar result.Image
Image
Despite the nuclear industry being aligned with numerous (typically) left-wing goals from protecting the environment to supporting labor unionization and high employee safety standards, it's the economically right wing that's more supportive of nuclear. Image
There's more in the report, but I'll end this thread on a happy note: globally, there's more support for additional nuclear builds than for additional nuclear shutdowns. Image
Give the whole report a read, here: radiantenergygroup.com/reports/public…

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More from @cremieuxrecueil

Apr 23
I simulated 100,000 people to show how often people are "thrice-exceptional": Smart, stable, and exceptionally hard-working.

I've highlighted these people in red in this chart: Image
If you reorient the chart to a bird's eye view, it looks like this: Image
In short, there are not many people who are thrice-exceptional, in the sense of being at least +2 standard deviations in conscientiousness, emotional stability (i.e., inverse neuroticism), and intelligence.

To replicate this, use 42 as the seed and assume linearity and normality
Read 7 tweets
Apr 22
I would like to live in a high-trust society.

The decline of trust is something worth caring about, and reversing it is something worth doing.

We should not have to live constantly wondering if we're being lied to or scammed. Trust should be possible again.
I don't know how we go about regaining trust and promoting trustworthiness in society.

It feels like there's an immense level of toleration of untrustworthy behavior from everyone: scams are openly funded; academics congratulate their fraudster peers; all content is now slop.
What China's doing—corruption crackdowns and arresting fraudsters—seems laudable, and I think the U.S. and other Western nations should follow suit.

Fraud leads to so many lives being lost and so much progress being halted or delayed.

I'm close to being single-issue on this.
Read 6 tweets
Apr 21
British fertility abruptly fell after one important court case: the Bradlaugh-Besant trialđź§µ

You can see its impact very visibly on this chart: Image
The trial involved Annie Besant (left) and Charles Bradlaugh (right).

These two were atheists—a scandalous position at the time!—and they wanted to promote free-thinking about practically everything that upset the puritanical society of their time. Image
They were on trial because they tried to sell a book entitled Fruits of Philosophy.

This was an American guide to tons of different aspects of family planning, and included birth control methods, some of which worked, others which did not.Image
Read 14 tweets
Apr 17
One of the really interesting studies on the psychiatric effects of maltreatment is Danese and Widom's from Nat. Hum. Behavior a few years ago.

They found that only subjective (S), rather than objective (O) maltreatment predicted actually having a mental disorder.Image
Phrased differently, if people subjectively believed they were abused, that predicted poor mental health, but objectively recorded maltreatment only predicted it if there was also a subjective report.

Some people might 'simply' be more resilient than others.
I think this finding makes sense.

Consider the level of agreement between prospective (P-R) and retrospective (R-P) reports of childhood maltreatment.

A slim majority of people recorded being mistreated later report that they were mistreated when asked to recall. Image
Read 6 tweets
Apr 15
Nature finally published it!

The Reich Lab article on genetic selection in Europe over the last 10,000 years is finally online, and it includes such interesting results as:

- Intelligence has increased
- People got lighter
- Mental disorders became less common

And more!Image
They've added some interesting simulation results that show that these changes are unlikely to have happened without directional selection, under a variety of different model assumptions. Image
They also showed that, despite pigmentation being oligogenic, selection on it was polygenic.

"[S]election for pigmentation had an equal impact on all variants in proportion to effect size." Image
Read 9 tweets
Apr 10
I still think this is one of the most important recent papers on AI in the job marketđź§µ

The website Freelancer added an option to generate cover letters with AI, and suddenly the quality associated with cover letters stopped predicting the odds of people getting hired!Image
LLMs do a few things to cover letters.

Firstly, they increase the quality, as measured by how well tailored they are to a given job listing. Image
Second, they make job applications in expensive, so people start spending less time shooting off applications.

More, rapidly-produced job applications becomes the norm. Image
Read 8 tweets

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