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THE SHORT BEAR Profile picture
@TheShortBear
Jan 9 • 4 tweets • 1 min read • Read on X
Let’s be quicker with the private video release.

This is my archive… 100+ videos I haven’t release to the public from 2019-2021!

As I distance myself from small cap trading this is my time to share more for others.

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More from @TheShortBear

THE SHORT BEAR Profile picture
Jan 2
Hiring process pointers

1. Dress up
If you can not take time to dressup, it tells a lot about how much you prepared and want to be part of the team.

It also shows a slight organisational skill as you planned for it.
2. Clean up
I want to see you CARE.

You took time to prepare, take care of yourself, you show you want to represent the firm in the most professioanl manner possible.

The combination of the above shows me you came at least somewhat prepared and you care.
3. Notebook and notes
Having the above shows me a few things.

You have enough humility to know you might not know everything.

You are organized and care. You want to make sure to take the most out of the meeting and my time.

Additionally notes will show you came prepared
Read 11 tweets
THE SHORT BEAR Profile picture
Dec 13, 2023
I am excited to present you our newest project!

AI has become a powerful tool and we created one of its most powerful use cases for you traders.

No more will it take $100,000+ to conduct quality trading research.

Now, we can do the same using the power of AI, Here's how: Image
Before:
Endless searching + Multiple tabs + Googling jargon + Hours of reading = Massive headache

Now:
Have a question + AskEdgar = Answer

AskEdgar takes the unfair advantage from institutions and gives it to the masses.

Sign up for FREE early access: askedgar.io/?referral=thes…
Here's how my research has changed using AskEdgar.

Before if I wanted to find out specifics on a ticker, I would need to spend many hours digging through fillings.

Now I just ask my question and my personal analyst responds!
Read 6 tweets
THE SHORT BEAR Profile picture
Dec 6, 2023
+116.5% Trailing 1 year (smoothed 10days)

Today I made the biggest change to my portfolio in over a year.

I spent the entire morning selling off nearly all my assets.

I went from long ~200% to long ~65%. Image
The entire year I focused on maintaining a strong position in my stocks.

I was positioned aggressively and kept on day trading on the side.

During the latest dip I made sure to play the seasonality, positioning... to get long into the max shorts we saw from hedge funds to CTAs.
Experts were calling for the recession, however everyone was positioned for it.

I took advantage to buy $TLT and 20Y treasuries to start the recession playbook while playing what I believed would be a short squeeze into year-end.

Read 10 tweets
THE SHORT BEAR Profile picture
Oct 27, 2023
There is only one comparison that looks like the current market.

1974-1975

It is the only one with similar inflation data as well as interest rates regime.

If we do end up breaking down, this is the roadmap.
I'd expect a recession in Q1 2024 together with rate cuts. Image
The market would drop as rates would come down and we'd find a bottom in EPS and employment in late Q3 to Q4 24.

The recovery would be broad across risk assets and alike as inflation would crash down if not happened already. (through rate cuts)
This would likely mean a bond market low or bond yield top 3 months prior to the equity low or about mid year 2024.

If we do see this scenario play out, it would mean that the risk assets would have been through a bigger downturn than 2001!
Read 8 tweets
THE SHORT BEAR Profile picture
Oct 9, 2023
Cloud remains the space I have been long since mid to end 2022.

I had the change to add to these positions during Q1 and Q2 and have held tight since.

The focus is around the service companies that are directly linked to the growth of cloud. Image
Cloud security grew into a major bet through the growth my positions have benefitted from.
$CRWD $ZS ( $ZS replace $NET as per my tweet)

$GOOGL and $AMZN both are sizable as well through their 40%+ gains since the buys. Both are plays on Cloud and services around AI.
$MELI represents my bet on South America and has one of the best managements out there and pure execution within a growing space.

+21% projected CAGR and only 13% penetrated.

embodies the lessons I learned from the $AMZN bet made by Nick Sleep at Nomad. Image
Read 7 tweets
THE SHORT BEAR Profile picture
Aug 29, 2023
Spent some time this morning to go through prior charts to refresh my brain.

I went from the end of 2021 to now.

I will say I am just amazed at the moves from the 2021 period and just how complicated these moves were to trade in terms of risk management.

Here are examples:


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That time was all about finding an entry point near open and adding. The range (open to high/low) was immense.

Stubborn players got wrecked


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Looking back, it is a lot more chaotic than what I remember.

Sequential trading was important to understand the movement then. 'This happened yesterday/this week, thus players will tilt to this side.


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Read 7 tweets

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