Ilkka Rauvola Profile picture
Jan 10, 2024 7 tweets 3 min read Read on X
United Kingdom: economic inactivity due to long term sickness now amounts to approximately 1.5 percent of all 16-64 year olds, and is increasing at a rate of 0.45 percentage points per year. The rate of change is increasing.
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Iso-Britannia: pitkäaikaisista sairauksista johtuva taloudellinen passiivisuus vastaa nyt noin 1.5 prosenttia kaikista 16-64-vuotiaista, ja kasvaa 0.45 prosenttiyksikön vuosivauhtia. Muutoksen vauhti on kiihtymässä.
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Sources:
1) Economic inactivity: Office of National Statistics, UK (ONS)


2) Population estimates:
Population estimates: (choose "Analysis of population estimates tool for UK")


The tool:

3/x ons.gov.uk/employmentandl…
ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulati…
ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulati…
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In Finland, I don't believe @Tilastokeskus provides these kind of tables about economic inactivity. I would love to be wrong about this.
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@RapoMarkus Image
@Tilastokeskus @RapoMarkus En usko että Tilastokeskus julkaisee vastaavaa dataa taloudellisesta toimettomuudesta, joka johtuu pitkäaikaisesta sairaudesta. Olen kyllä mielelläni väärässä.
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@Tilastokeskus @RapoMarkus Image
A pattern of delay in the reporting of chronic sickness may be at work. Sick people first leave the labour market, and only some time after that start reporting chronic sickness to ONS. That could mean that the true number is higher.
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Taustalla saattaa olla viivettä kroonisen sairauden raportoinnissa. Sairaat ihmiset poistuvat ensin työmarkkinoilta, ja vasta jonkin ajan kuluttua alkavat raportoida kroonisesta sairaudestaan Tilastokeskukselle (ONS). Tämä voisi tarkoittaa, että todellinen lukumäärä on suurempi.
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More from @jukka235

Feb 22
Finland's epidemic 22 Feb 2026: the amount of virus detected in wastewater is now 60% higher than during the first Omicron wave in 2022. The post-Omicron baseline appears permanently higher compared with the pre-Omicron period; repeated waves show no sign of diminishing.
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Post-Omicron baseline is permanently higher than pre-Omicron:
- before late 2021, levels were mostly 10³–10⁴.
- from 2022 onward, even troughs sit around 10⁵, or 10-100x higher than before Omicron: a sign of constant background transmission
2/x Image
The first Omicron wave in January 2022 was the first major structural break.
- this wave was an order of magnitude jump compared to the pre-Omicron period (2020-2021)
- the first Omicron wave fundamentally shifted the baseline 10 to 100 times upward
3/x Image
Read 12 tweets
Feb 20
Index / January 2026.
Part 1: fastest growing disease groups in Finland (7 Jan 2026)
1/x

Renal failures in Finland (8 Jan 2026)
2/x
Developmental delays and disorders (F80-F89) (9 Jan 2026)
3/x

Read 4 tweets
Feb 19
This is one beautiful chart.

Between 1997 and 2019, mortality across age groups declined by up to 48 percent. Large amounts of additional life were delivered. Courtesy of the Swedish health system.
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Between 2019 and 2024, the Swedish health system took a step back. It would appear that school aged children were sacrificed for the greater good.
2/x Image
As a result, the post-2019 years have seen increasing levels for disease-related mortality for the younger age groups. For 5-9 and 10-14 year olds, mortality is now 66% and 38% higher than in 2019, respectively. 2024 was the worst for both of these age groups.
3/x Image
Read 4 tweets
Feb 18
Which diseases are people increasingly dying from in Sweden ?
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0-4 year olds:
1. P21 Birth asphyxia
2. P29 Cardiovascular disorders originating in the perinatal period
3. Q61 Cystic kidney disease
4. P78 Other perinatal digestive system disorders
5. Q87 Other specified congenital malformation syndromes affecting multiple systems
2/x Image
5-9 year olds are increasingly dying from:
1. C41 Malignant neoplasm of bone and articular cartilage of other and unspecified sites
2. C74 Malignant neoplasm of adrenal gland
3. A49 Bacterial infection of unspecified site
4. E72 Other disorders of amino-acid metabolism
5. A41 Other sepsis
3/xImage
Read 10 tweets
Feb 15
Mortality in Sweden: how fast are all disease related causes of death growing within each age group?
1/xImage
In this thread, I take all disease-related causes of death for each age group in Sweden and assign them to growth bands based on how much above or below the 1997-2019 baseline they are. Here are 25-29 year olds. 2/x Image
Let's start with the total picture. Total deaths of 25-29 year olds are declining, but deaths from diseases (dark blue + red) are up since 2019.
- the external category includes traffic accidents, falls, injuries, drowning, fires, drugs, poisonings, homicides, suicides etc.
3/x Image
Read 18 tweets
Feb 13
Mortality in Sweden: Are the causes of death that are increasing among 0-4, 5-9 and 10-14 year olds also rising in older age groups?

Let's find out.
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These causes collectively represent all causes of death that are rising among 0-4, 5-9 and 10-14 year olds. Among 0-4 year olds, their average growth rate (2019-2024) is 13.5%.
2/x Image
Among 5-9 year olds the average annual growth rate (2019-2024) is 33.8 percent (10-fold in 7.9 years if this growth rate continues).
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Read 19 tweets

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