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Ilkka Rauvola Profile picture
@jukka235
Jan 10, 2024 • 7 tweets • 3 min read • Read on X
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United Kingdom: economic inactivity due to long term sickness now amounts to approximately 1.5 percent of all 16-64 year olds, and is increasing at a rate of 0.45 percentage points per year. The rate of change is increasing.
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Iso-Britannia: pitkäaikaisista sairauksista johtuva taloudellinen passiivisuus vastaa nyt noin 1.5 prosenttia kaikista 16-64-vuotiaista, ja kasvaa 0.45 prosenttiyksikön vuosivauhtia. Muutoksen vauhti on kiihtymässä.
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Sources:
1) Economic inactivity: Office of National Statistics, UK (ONS)


2) Population estimates:
Population estimates: (choose "Analysis of population estimates tool for UK")


The tool:

3/x ons.gov.uk/employmentandl…
ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulati…
ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulati…
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In Finland, I don't believe @Tilastokeskus provides these kind of tables about economic inactivity. I would love to be wrong about this.
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@RapoMarkus Image
@Tilastokeskus @RapoMarkus En usko että Tilastokeskus julkaisee vastaavaa dataa taloudellisesta toimettomuudesta, joka johtuu pitkäaikaisesta sairaudesta. Olen kyllä mielelläni väärässä.
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@Tilastokeskus @RapoMarkus Image
A pattern of delay in the reporting of chronic sickness may be at work. Sick people first leave the labour market, and only some time after that start reporting chronic sickness to ONS. That could mean that the true number is higher.
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Taustalla saattaa olla viivettä kroonisen sairauden raportoinnissa. Sairaat ihmiset poistuvat ensin työmarkkinoilta, ja vasta jonkin ajan kuluttua alkavat raportoida kroonisesta sairaudestaan Tilastokeskukselle (ONS). Tämä voisi tarkoittaa, että todellinen lukumäärä on suurempi.
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More from @jukka235

Ilkka Rauvola Profile picture
Jan 14
This is an important moment.

After more than five years of silence, mainstream media has begun to acknowledge that C19 can harm T cells, and to discuss the consequences that follow. @fitterhappierAJ was one of the first, if not the first, to talk about this.
1/x
Dr. Leonardi has provided a significant amount of direction for me. In particular, he has been interviewed in some excellent articles that have withstood the test of time. Here is one of them.
2/x
thetyee.ca/Analysis/2022/…
We have seen it all.
- in 2020, they said that our health systems are so robust that this disease wouldn't come here
- then they wanted them infected. C19 was de facto allowed to spread in schools. Only a small fraction of <12 year olds received ...
3/x
koronatilastot.fi/fi/rokotukset/Image
Read 8 tweets
Ilkka Rauvola Profile picture
Jan 9
Something is causing injuries among young children.
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Something changed in 2022. Before that, the numbers were generally falling. Wonder what it could be.
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After 2022, 1-6 year olds have overtaken a total of three other age groups (50-64, 15-24 and 65-74 year olds), and are now clearly above the total population average. All injuries (S00-S99).
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Read 6 tweets
Ilkka Rauvola Profile picture
Jan 9
Developmental delays and disorders (F80-F89).
1/x Image
Between 2020 and 2025e, the number of patients with developmental delay or disorder diagnoses grew at an average annual rate of 21.6% (10x in 11.8 years). The fastest patient growth was seen in pervasive developmental disorders, incl. autism and Asperger syndrome (F84).
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Among total population, number of patients with developmental delay or disorder diagnoses is up 2.6 times since 2020. All disorders are showing continued significant patient growth.
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Read 11 tweets
Ilkka Rauvola Profile picture
Dec 23, 2025
Finland's epidemic 23 Dec 2025: amount of virus in wastewater appears to have risen above the first Omicron wave. Post-Omicron baseline is permanently higher than pre-Omicron; repeated waves are showing no diminishing.
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Post-Omicron baseline is permanently higher than pre-Omicron
- before late 2021, levels were mostly 10³–10⁴.
- from 2022 onward, even troughs sit around 10⁵, or 10-100x higher
- C19 has become endemic
- constant background transmission, even outside waves
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Repeated large waves in 2023–2024, not diminishing. Notable peaks:
- Apr 2023
- Nov 2023 (highest for the entire pandemic)
- Dec 2024

These peaks are:
- comparable to or higher than Omicron 2022
- evidence against a simple “each wave gets smaller” narrative
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Read 21 tweets
Ilkka Rauvola Profile picture
Nov 30, 2025
Congenital malformations, deformations and chromosomal abnormalities. For 1-6 year olds,
- the condition showing largest increase since 2022 is Down's syndrome (Q90)
- the condition showing fastest growth since 2022 is Congenital malformations of great arteries (Q25)
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1-6 year olds / chromosomal abnormalities (Q90-Q99).
- Down's syndrome (Q90): average patient growth (2022-2025e) 14% per year = 10x in 18 years)
- fastest growing condition: other sex chromosome abnormalities, male phenotype (Q98), up 150% in 2025e
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<1 year olds / chromosomal abnormalities (Q90-Q99):
- Down's syndrome (Q90) is the most frequent diagnosis
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Read 9 tweets
Ilkka Rauvola Profile picture
Nov 11, 2025
Intellectual disabilities (F70-F79): <1 year olds are leading in terms of y/y growth. Ten percent of <1 year olds will have an intellectual disability diagnosis in 14 year's time (2039), if current growth rates continue.
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The rise in intellectual disability among <1 year olds also shows in number of diagnoses: up roughly 11 times in 4 years. Also note the rise among 1-6 year olds.
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7-14 and 15-24 year olds are showing the highest levels of intellectual disability. If current growth rates continue, 5 percent of 7-14 and 15-24 year olds will have an intellectual disability diagnosis by 2048 (24 years from now).
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Read 6 tweets

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