Clément Molin Profile picture
Jan 10, 2024 26 tweets 10 min read Read on X
« The Donbass Line🇺🇦 »

Since 2014, 2022 and more recently winter 2023, Ukraine has been building a huge defensive system. The multilayered “Donbass Line” composed of many trench network is quite similar to Russian Surovikin system.

🧵THREAD on Ukrainian in depth defenses⬇️
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When we talk of defensive trench network, the huge Surovikin line is the first thing we think about: trenches, bunkers, mines, dragon teeths…

This particular system, sometimes compared to the Maginot line was one of the assets that stopped Ukrainian summer counteroffensive.

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Since it is already mapped by many, it is not useful to talk about it.
However, I’ve also mapped pre-2022 Russian defenses. It is interesting to see that these particular trenches system can still be used in case of a Ukrainian breakthrough.

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Let’s talk about Ukrainian defensive lines I called “Donbass line”.

Donbass line is quite different and more complex than Russian Surovikin system: it is composed of highly defended fortified system, separated by fields.

Zoom in⬇️
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If we take the example of Ukrainsk-Muraka line (facing south near Kourakhove), we can see on this Sentinel-2 imagery that each system is separated by a kilometer at least.
Each fort can defend itself from every direction: you have to take all of them to advance.

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Contrary to Russian line, Ukrainian one is composed of many forts that are defending each other.
The 2014-15 Popasna-Luhanske line is a good example: to breakthrough, you have to assure that no other fort has fire control on you. (This particular line was however abandoned)

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The line 0:
This was the 2014-2022 line, it was composed of 2 systems near Marioupol (overrun in a few days because of the lack of personal), 2 lines near Popasna (Ukr retreated to the city) and one line between Marinka and Horlivka, with some part still standing.

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The really first line built from February to June 2022, preparing the retreat of Sievierodonetsk was built from southern Bakhmout to Siversk, passing through Soledar
This defensive system had 2 lines, both were overrun in Bakhmout and Soledar but are still standing in Siversk.
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At the same time, Ukrainians built lines 1, 2 and 3 in northern Donbass. Today, they are still building these lines.
Line one: Siverski-Donets river/Tchasiv Yar/Toretsk.
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Line two and three are the defenses of Kramatorsk and Sloviansk: 2 lines are protecting Sloviansk from the North, an anti tank ditcj and 1 line protecting the twin cities from the west.
+ 2 lines protecting Kostiantinivka/Droujkivka.

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Now, as some may ask themselves, the defenses after Avdiivka are already prepared but non-sufficient: main line is 17km from the city.
This line is however behind a river and lakes, making it a natural barrier.

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The final objective of the Russian offensive may be to reach Pokrovsk, the last big city and industrial center of Ukrainian Donbass (with Kramatorsk).
The Ukrainian Armed Forces have built a two layered trench system all around the city.
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Support lines:
Donbass is a thing, but there are 3 other fronts: Kherson, South (Zaporijia) and Louhansk/Kharkiv.

Apart from Mykolaiv defense network and old Russian Kherson defenses, I haven’t found any Ukrainian line in the oblast.
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In Zaporijia oblast, there are at least 2 main defensive lines, plus a line defending the city itself. In Louhansk frontline, we have the Lyman-Borova line quite impressive. There is also a line near Izioum.

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Currently, I’m investigating Ukrainian defenses on Russian border: the Koupiansk-Vovtchansk line, the Kharkiv defenses and border defenses in Sumy and Tchernihiv oblast.
For now I havn’t find many things, suggesting it is just the beginning.

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How does those systems look like? This image is a high resolution one (from google earth pro): you can see part of the western Sloviansk defense.
A Ukrainian trench is never linear, and it is not always linked to avoid loosing a whole line if one part has fallen.

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Ukrainians made fun of Russian anti-tank ditches and dragon teeths, but they are now using it. You can also see this new basement to protect soldiers from artillery and FPV shells.

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To geolocalise these trench network, I used 4 elements:
-Google earth updates (from June to august 2022)
-Sentinel-2 imageries, most of them until may-july 2022 (since it is the best time to see trenches)
-Geolocated Videos showing trenches (Kreminna forest)
-Esri Imageries

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Since some may ask, this work is not helping Russia. Why?
-We mapped Russian positions and defenses before
-Russia has satellites, and IA that can detect these lines
-For most of it, it is now nearly 6-month-old
-The map is indicative and non-exhaustive

20/
I’ve been mapping Ukrainian and Russian defensive lines since nearly 2 years, this is the first part of my final project, it will be updated and improved many times in a row.
Here is the link to have it on your computer. Please credit me when using it!
21/google.com/maps/d/edit?mi…
Keep in mind that when I’m using Sentinel-2, I can’t be precise, and there may be errors since it is sometime really difficult to know if there is a trench or not.

I will improve the map with updates of Maxar imageries in Google Earth.

22/
Here you can find the link for my interpretation of the lines. Since it is not a continuous defensive system, it is only an interpretation of hundreds of trenches. As tweet #21, you can download both trenches and defensive lines.
23/google.com/maps/d/edit?mi…
Since some people have already asked me, if you want to buy me a coffee for my volunteer work (tens of hours of work in my free time), you can here:
Thank you
24/buymeacoffee.com/clement.molin
This is the end of the thread
If you like it, you can repost the first tweet. Make sure to follow both my account @clement_molin and my think tank @atummundi
I will do a French version soon.

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@escortert @Pouletvolant3 @frog_of_war @wolski_jaros @guillaume_ancel @Michel_Goya @ObsDelphi @CartesDuMonde @AudrandS @Black_BirdGroup @emilkastehelmi @GeoConfirmed @UAControlMap @Stevius21 @Danspiun @Tatarigami_UA @NOELreports @IntelCrab @egea_blog (some that may be interested)
@escortert @Pouletvolant3 @frog_of_war @wolski_jaros @guillaume_ancel @Michel_Goya @ObsDelphi @CartesDuMonde @AudrandS @Black_BirdGroup @emilkastehelmi @GeoConfirmed @UAControlMap @Stevius21 @Danspiun @Tatarigami_UA @NOELreports @IntelCrab @egea_blog @jdomerchet @DefMon3 @Tendar @Thinker_View @ChrisO_wiki @AndrewPerpetua @COUPSURE

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More from @clement_molin

Mar 1
For the first time in months, we had clear satellite images of Ukraine 🇺🇦 without snow or clouds

Ukraine is digging massive ring defenses in front of Kharkiv and 8 other cities, while russian airstrikes and artillery strikes continue to be monitored.

🧵THREAD🧵1/16 ⬇️Image
The city of Chuhuiv in Kharkiv oblast received its first ring fortifications since the war started.

Ditches are being dug north and east of the city. Image
In Izium, also in Kharkiv oblast, the city's ring defenses are being reinforced, especially north and south of the city. Image
Read 16 tweets
Mar 1
‼️Guerre Iran 🇮🇷 - Israël 🇮🇱/USA 🇺🇸, résumé et suivi en direct de la situation au Moyen-Orient le long de ce fil :

Après la mort d'une partie du leadership Iranien dont Khamenei, la guerre se poursuit, avec des bombardements massifs en Iran et au Moyen-Orient.

🧵THREAD🧵1/X ⬇️
Liste des cibles frappées en Iran 🇮🇷 :

🔸Téhéran : Vagues multiples hier (compound Khamenei détruit, ministères, QG IRGC, University Street, Jomhouri, Seyyed Khandan) + nouvelle vague massive ce matin dans le cœur de la capitale (explosions près du QG police, télévision d’État, tribunal révolutionnaire, ministère de la Défense).

🔸Isfahan : Centre nucléaire et sites balistiques
🔸Natanz : Complexe d’enrichissement principal, frappes à confirmer
🔸Fordow : Usine souterraine d’enrichissement, frappes à confirmer.
🔸Qom : Sites de commandement militaire – frappes confirmées.
🔸Karaj : Production missiles et défense – frappes confirmées.
🔸Kermanshah : Défense aérienne et sites militaires – frappes confirmées.
🔸Tabriz : Sites IRGC et militaires – frappes confirmées.
🔸Minab (Hormozgan) : École primaire (85+ morts) – frappe confirmée hier, pourrait être un missile de défense aérienne retombant.
🔸Zanjan : Sites de missiles – nouvelles vagues hier soir et ce matin.
🔸Bushehr : Port et possible site nucléaire – frappes confirmées.
🔸Ilam : Infrastructures de défense – frappes confirmées.
🔸Khorramabad (Lorestan) : Sites militaires – frappes confirmées.
🔸Shiraz : Sites militaires – frappes confirmées.
🔸Urmia : Impacts isolés – confirmés.
🔸Damavand : Cibles rapportées – confirmés.
🔸Hamedan : Explosions confirmées – confirmés.
🔸Qeshm (île) : Sites militaires – confirmés.
🔸Asaluyeh : Port pétrolier – frappes confirmées.
🔸Konarak : Installations navales sud-est – confirmées.
🔸Bandar Kangan : Côte Golfe – impacts mineurs confirmés.
🔸Kharg Island : Île pétrolière – frappes possibles
🔸Lamerd (sud, province Fars) (nouveau) : 18 civils tués selon médias iraniens – frappe confirmée hier soir / nuit.
🔸Kenarak (sud, installations navales) (nouveau) : Sites navals IRGC visés – frappe confirmée aujourd’hui.
2/Image
Les frappes de riposte iraniennes sur 10 Etats (base américaine mais aussi le secteur touristique, pétrolier, les ports et aéroports :

🔹🇨🇾 Chypre : 2 missiles (base britanniques et américaines)
🔹🇴🇲 Oman : 3 drones au sud du pays
🔹🇧🇭 Bahreïn : 45 missiles et 9 drones
🔹🇮🇶 Irak : Nombre indéterminé, rapports en provenance d’Erbil faisant état de 7 salves de missiles et de drones iraniens et de plusieurs dizaines de drones interceptés.
🔹🇮🇱 Israël : Plus de 200 missiles et plus de 12 drones
🔹🇯🇴 Jordanie : 13 missiles et environ 36 drones
🔹🇰🇼 Koweït : Plusieurs missiles et plus de 2 drones
🔹🇶🇦 Qatar : 66 missiles
🔹🇸🇦 Arabie saoudite : 0 à 2 missiles/drones
🔹🇸🇾 Syrie : 1 missile (plusieurs débris abattus, le pays n'est pas directement visé.
🔹🇦🇪 Émirats arabes unis : 140 missiles et 270 drones

Total du 28 février au 1er mars 2026 :

🔹Plus de 465 missiles
🔹Plus de 357 drones
🔹Plus de 824 projectiles au total

La plupart ont été abattus mais certains ont atteint leur cible.
3/Image
Read 17 tweets
Feb 28
Bombardements israélo-américains 🇮🇱/🇺🇸 en Iran 🇮🇷, voici ce qu'il faut savoir :

🔸Chronologie des évènements
🔸Lieux et bases attaquées
🔸Riposte iranienne
⬇️Voici le résumé d'une journée historique au Moyen-Orient :

🧵THREAD🧵1/10 ⬇️
Chronologie (heures locales Téhéran IRST)

🔹~09h30–10h00 : Premières explosions à Téhéran et dans plusieurs villes (opération israélienne « Roaring Lion » + US « Epic Fury »).
🔹~10h00–11h00 : Vagues intensives sur sites militaires, nucléaires et leadership.
🔹~11h30–12h30 : Riposte iranienne → missiles sur Israël (sirènes à Jérusalem, Tel-Aviv, Haifa).
🔹~12h30–13h30 : Trump poste une vidéo de 8 min sur Truth Social : « opérations de combat majeures » lancées, appel au renversement du régime.
🔹~13h30–15h30+ : Salves iraniennes sur bases US (Qatar, Bahreïn, EAU, Koweït, Jordanie…).
🔹Soirée : Nouvelles frappes US/Israël sur Zanjan et centre de l'Iran ; Iran menace de fermer le détroit d’Ormuz.


Cibles touchées en Iran (frappes US/Israël), plus de 500 cibles militaires au total (défenses aériennes, lance-missiles, etc.)

🔶Téhéran
🔸Compound / bureaux du Guide suprême Ali Khamenei (lourdement endommagé, images satellite)
🔸Palais / bureaux présidentiels (Pezeshkian)
🔸Ministère du Renseignement
🔸Ministère de la Défense
🔸Organisation de l’Énergie Atomique d’Iran
🔸Complexe militaire Parchin
🔸University Street / quartier Jomhouri
🔸Quartier Seyyed Khandan (nord)
🔸Quartier Tajrish (nord)

🔶Isfahan (Esfahan)Centre de technologie nucléaire
🔸Installations liées au programme balistique et militaire

🔶Natanz
🔸Complexe d’enrichissement nucléaire (cible prioritaire), à confirmer

🔶Fordow
🔸Usine souterraine d’enrichissement nucléaire, à confirmer

🔶Qom
🔸Sites militaires et de commandement

🔶Karaj
🔸Installations de production de missiles et défense

🔶Kermanshah
🔸Systèmes de défense aérienne avancés
🔸Sites militaires

🔶Tabriz
🔸Sites IRGC et militaires

🔶Bushehr
🔸Port (dommages incertains)

🔶Minab (province Hormozgan, sud)
🔸École primaire de filles Shajareh Tayyebeh (85+ morts selon rapports iraniens)

🔶Ilam :
🔸Infrastructures de défense

🔶Lorestan (Khorramabad) :
🔸Sites militaires

🔶Zanjan (nord-ouest) :
🔸Nouvelles vagues sur sites de missiles (dernières heures)

🔶Urmia :
🔸Sites touchés

🔶Shiraz :
🔸Sites militaires

🔶Damavand :
🔸Cibles rapportées

🔶Hamedan :
🔸Explosions confirmées

🔶Qeshm (île dans le Golfe) :
🔸Sites militaires

🔶Asaluyeh (port pétrolier, Golfe) :
🔸Installations portuairesImage
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Read 9 tweets
Feb 28
This morning, the USA 🇺🇸 and Israel 🇮🇱 started a large military operation to overthrow the Iranian 🇮🇷 regime

Iran retaliated and bombed 8 countries in the middle east.

Everything you need to know is HERE :

🧵THREAD🧵1/15 ⬇️Image
Early this morning, the first american and israeli strikes targeted Iran.

In a video he posted online, Donald Trump announced that the United States had launched major combat operations against Iran, named Operation Epic Fury (coordinated with Israel's Roaring Lion strikes). He said the goal is to destroy Iran's missile and naval capabilities, eliminate the nuclear threat, and protect the U.S. and its allies. He directly addressed the Iranian people, urging them to overthrow their government:

"The hour of your freedom is at hand. When we are finished, take over your government. It will be yours to take."He warned that the operation will be massive, will last several days, and that American lives may be lost.
~09:30–10:00 IRST

First explosions reported in Tehran and other Iranian cities (Isfahan, Qom, Tabriz mentioned early).

Israeli preemptive strikes (Operation Roaring Lion) begin, quickly supported by US forces (Operation Epic Fury). Witnesses hear blasts near leadership sites (Khamenei's compound area, central Tehran). Videos show thick black smoke rising over University Street/Jomhouri districts; air defenses activate. Panic in streets, people filming from rooftops/balconies.
Read 15 tweets
Feb 21
EXCLUSIVE : Ukrainian 🇺🇦 forces managed to push back russian 🇷🇺 artillery in the Pokrovsk'e direction

Meanwhile, Russia is pushing very hard on the Kramatorsk/Sloviansk front as well as in Pokrovsk and Hulialpole.

I mapped 3 000 additional shell impacts :

🧵THREAD🧵1/20 ⬇️Image
After few weeks of counter-attacks, we now have more confirmations of the scale, the means engaged and the progress of ukrainian forces.

For the first time, they entered a village which was firmly under russian control, Ternove, 8km south of the river.

This means Ukraine probably regained control of most of the 2022 defensive line in this sector (obsolete, but the ditch, the barbed wire and the dragon teeths still offer good defense).

We do not have all the confirmations, but with artilley strikes impact, we can nearly be sure Image
Read 20 tweets
Feb 20
The world demographics 👨‍👩‍👦‍👦 are slowly collapsing📉

All continents are concerned, even Africa, with the first countries now bellow 2 children per woman.

Which states are affected more by the birth rate crisis?

🧵THREAD🧵1/17 ⬇️ Image
For the first time, we now have at least 3 african countries under the replacement level.

In Morocco, there are 1.97 children per woman, in South Africa 1.7 children per woman and in Tunisia 1.45 children per woman, less than in France or the USA. Others are slowly following. Image
For example, Egypt, the 3rd most populated state of Africa is set to be under 2 children per woman before 2030.

Others are following, while most are still above 3 today, most were above 6 10 to 15 years ago !
Read 17 tweets

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