A 🧵on #IRGC missile strikes in Iraq’s Erbil, Syria’s Edlib and Pakistan.
1/ The IRGC says they avenged last month’s terrorist attacks in Kerman and Sistan-Baluchistan, claimed by ISIL and Jaish Al-Adl.
As 🇮🇷 saw Israel behind the attacks, it states to have hit 🇮🇱 assets, too.
2/ The #IRGC fired 24 missiles to Kurdistan and Idlib.
Four medium-range Kheibar Sheken missiles flew 1,280km.
The missile is designed to reach distances as far as 1,450km.
The Idlib strike was a direct warning to #Israel that Iran’s precise missiles have reached its vicinity.
3/ Thirteen missiles fired from #Iran’s Khouzestan and Kermanshah to Jabal Al-Samak in western Idlib, Syria.
The region is said to host Tahrir Al-Sham and Turkistan Islamic Party. They allegedly train ISIL Khorasan (ISIL-K), that claimed responsibility for Kerman double blasts.
4/ Missiles that hit Kurdistan were launched from kermanshah and West Azerbaijan.
The IRGC asserts it pounded “a MOSSAD center”.
But it seems Peshraw Majid Agha Dizayee, the Kurdish businessman whose property came under fire, was killed because of his business activities.
5/ Iranian media allege “Peshraw Dizayee had ties with Mossad”.
We know his main activity was Construction.
I searched a bit more and found that OIL, NATURAL GAS and SECURITY were among his activities, too.
🚩And that brings us to the main point.👇
6/ On November 1, Iran’s leader Ali Khamenei urged regional countries to stop oil and food supplies to Israel. His call fell on deaf ears.
In late November, Raisi cancelled a trip to Turkey, bcz Tehran expected Ankara to reduce business with Israel in the shadow of war in Gaza.
7/Iranian media claim Peshraw Dizayee and dead businessman Karam Mikhail, were killed for their ties with 🇮🇱 Mossad & Dizayee provided logistical support for Mossad agents and activities in Kurdistan.
But the real reason for killing him could be his oil & gas exports to Israel.
7/ IF we consider Houthi attacks on vessels/tankers en route to Israel as part of the strategy to impose oil, gas and food boycott on Israel, then the #IRGC’s strike on Peshraw Dizayee would be meaningful in that context and a part of the broader boycott plan.
8/ Therefore, I see #IRGC’s missile strikes as an initial warning to all oil exporters, specially private companies dealing with Israel, that their assets could be the next target and anytime anywhere in this region, they might come under a sudden attack from sea, land or air.
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1- A media outlet close to former SNSC’s Secretary -Ali Shamkhani- has reported about “possible changes in some senrior security institutions to pave the way for structural reforms”, without going into further details.
2- Some observers interpret these changes as replacement of current SNSC’s Secretary Ali-Akbar Ahmadian with Ali Larijani.
Ahmadian is the SNSC’s secretary since 2023.
Larijani once served the same post from 2005 to 2007.
3- Larijani is in news more than before and recently relayed to Russia’s Putin, a message from Iran’s leader.
IF (big IF) Larijani succeeds Akbarian, we could see a real shift towards the East and China.
An associate of Larijani is also Iran’s ambassador in Beijing now.
1- Words suggest the Pezeshkian’s government is trying to bypass the law on “suspension of cooperation with the IAEA” through two tools it has in its hand: the foreign ministry and the Supreme National Security Council- whose chairman is Pezeshkian.
2- Words ALSO say the government’s plan is to accept the UK-Germany-France’s offer to extend start of the SnapBack mechanism for six months.
Though everybody knows it would keep Iran under constant threat and would finally lead to either surrender or another war.
3- Therefore, members of the parliament’s National Security and Foreign Affairs Committee held a meeting with Masoud Pezeshkian on Monday.
The meeting came amid the above-mentioned reports as the committee is drafting a new bill.
1- While Iran has fundamentally agreed to hold talks with the EU and E3 (🇩🇪, 🇬🇧,🇫🇷) over the so-called Snapback mechanism (the mechanism Javad Zarif denied its existence in the JCPoA); it feels that nothing positive will come out of these talks, either.
2- Iran’s FM Araghchi says his team will be well-prepared for talks with the EU/EU: he sends a letter to the UN Secretary General and President of the UN Security Council, reminding them that the E3 lack legal and moral authority to trigger the Snapback mechanism.
3- Iranians argue that in 2018, after Trump’s withdrawal from the JCPoA, the E3 didn’t lift a finger to support Iran in the face of Trump’s bullying. They accuse the EU and especially the E3 of tacitly aiding and abetting the Zionist regime in its aggression on Iran.
1- Iranians are implying that the Trump administration has sent “messages, requesting them to return to the negotiating table”, that’s per former parliament speaker Ali Larijani and a member of Majlis’s National Security Committee, Ali Khezrian.
2- Ali Larijani reportedly told an Arabic news channel that “Iran is mulling the messages it received from Washington to resume talks”.
Larijani -who was threatened to death by 🇮🇱 on the first day of strikes- however has added: “the issue is we don’t trust the U.S. in any way”
3- Ali Khezrian, a lawmaker from Tehran at the Iranian Majlis, told another Arab TV that “the enemy is desperate and disappointed, so is sending messages urging the Islamic Republic to return to the negotiating table”.
🧵 1- A video’s gone viral from the slain commander of #IRGC’s Aerospace Force, Amir-Ali Hajizadeh in which he speaks about his force’s being cash-strapped with former Pres. Rouhani refusing to pay them.
The video has no date but most likely is post-2018.
2- In the video Martyr Amir-Ali Hajizadeh admits he ordered the sell-out of the lands belonging to the Aerospace Force, to fund IRGC drone program: “each drone that fails and crashes we laugh and say no problem, but inside we cry for the loss of money earned with difficulty”.
3- In the first part of the video an unknown expert of the IRGC Aerospace Force, says “because they had no money, he (Hajizadeh) asked me to determine which drones are our priority to develop, and allocate funds that came from selling land to those types.”
1- Iran is flexing its muscles in the face of the West specially the US, Israel and E-3 (France, the UK, and Germany) as the parliament ratifies a motion officially ending Iran’s cooperation with the #IAEA. Out of 223 lawmakers, 222 voted for and one abstained.
2- The ratification of the motion is very important, due to the destructive role of the #IAEA, its 130 inspectors and Director General Rafael Grossi had in recent weeks which led to Israel’s unprovoked strike on #Iran.
3- Per the new bill, the IAEA’s head is now banned from entering Iran, IAEA’s inspectors will be kicked out and all their cameras will be taken off. Iran’s atomic energy organization IS NOT ALLOWED to share any report or information about 🇮🇷 nuclear program with the agency.