tern Profile picture
Jan 18, 2024 11 tweets 3 min read Read on X
Seriously.
What the heck is happening to boys aged 10-14 in England and Wales?
I mean it would be great if someone in the media even acknowledged this, let alone asked questions about it.rising boys' deaths
Maybe something like "the mysterious and silent tragedy of the near doubling in the numbers of 10-14 year old males dying in England and Wales".
Girls v Boys

Girls' deaths have risen... but boys' deaths have leapt. rising boys deaths v rising girls deaths
Here's the cumulative difference between boys and girls deaths in that age bracket since the start of 2020.
Do you see how it goes ballistic in August 2022? sharply rising graph
This is the ratio between the three month rolling average of weekly deaths of boys and girls.
That scale on the left is *how many times as many deaths of boys are being registered than deaths of girls*. growing peaks above red line
You can see that at one point nearly THREE TIMES as many boys deaths were being registered.

The red line is when the same number are happening.

And remember, this is *how many more* are happening - girls has risen too. same graph
I don't know if it's caused by anything.
It may just be one of those random fluctuations.
I'm not suggesting it's caused by any specific thing.
But don't you think someone should be looking at it? Comparison graph
Why isn't anyone from the government or opposition talking about what they think is happening and what they're going to do about it?
And, *AS ALWAYS*, if increased deaths are occurring in any non-elderly population, they'll almost certainly be linked to increased disability across that age group.
If ten kids are dying in a week, how many are being disabled?
Let's put it another way.
On any day, you can look back and see how many 10-14 year old boys died in the previous 365 days, right?
Here's that rolling graph.
Three years ago, it was 138.
Now it's 231.
Do you understand yet? rising graph

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More from @1goodtern

Jan 15
You're not going to like the next tweet in this thread, so don't read it.
I don't think there's a difference between the set 'people who have had a covid infection' and 'people who have long term effects from a covid infection'.
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Read 8 tweets
Jan 15
This may be obvious to everyone else already, but it occurred to me today that ICE just does not have the manpower to do everywhere what it's doing in Minnesota.

The surge there is not sustainable nationwide.
But the appearance of ICE being everywhere right now is heavily shaped by the unusually large and concentrated deployment in Minnesota, which is drawing outsized attention and resources.
They don't have capacity to mount similar surges everywhere simultaneously, especially given training and logistical limits.
Read 14 tweets
Jan 14
One of my dissertations was on the causes of the second world war.

I wrote it late, in a hurry, when I was young, naive, sleep deprived, and thought that it was ancient history.

But one aspect of what I wrote was what Germany looked like *from the outside*.
🧵
Here are six key views of Germany from other countries at the time that totally misread the situation.

Some of them might be relevant today.
They overlap a bit, but I've put a rough timeline along with them.
Read 61 tweets
Jan 10
Just imagine for a moment that you are infected with a virus that harms the lining of your arteries. The virus doesn't damage the artery walls in every part of your body to exactly the same degree. Some parts will be more damaged, some less.

At your next infection, will the parts of your artery wall that were more damaged first time round be more or less vulnerable to the virus?
It's an interesting question, isn't it.

Will those damaged parts be better equipped the next time round?
Sadly the answer is no

Those harder-hit patches do not reset to factory condition once the acute infection passes.
Read 9 tweets
Jan 10
I just want to do a very quick run through the latest up to date charts of rates of sickness absence in *young* doctors here.

Yeah. This is still *really* important, and I'll explain why in a moment.
There are some really really important points before I get on to the graphs.
First off - these are young doctors in their mid to late 20s.
'F1s' and 'F2s' and 'Core Training' doctors.

There may be a very tiny number of older F1s and F2s, but *they're rare*.
Read 77 tweets
Jan 9
Let's play "Guess Where The Line Goes"

This one is "Retirement Due To Ill Health, NHS England".

It's a horrible thing to be playing games with, but I think it's less horrible to play 'Guess Where The Line Goes' than to ignore it altogether. Image
A, B, C, or D? Image
Image
Image
Image
A? Image
Read 27 tweets

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