1/ Today we'll touch on Dynamic Risk & Risk management . Understanding dynamic risk is crucial. It's not just about current exposure but how market changes impact risk profiles of your position. While static risk shows immediate exposure, dynamic risk reflects how changes like spot price movements or volatility shifts alter risk profiles. This is an important thread for risk management 🧵
2/ Factors Affecting Dynamic Risk: for the purpose of this thread we will focus on changes in the spot price, the passing of time, and shifts in implied volatility. You can find more on other Greeks here
3/ Changing Spot Price ie spot price movement. Risk intensifies as the spot nears the option's strike, especially for ATM options. Conversely, moving away reduces risk. The gamma, vega, and theta are particularly sensitive to this.
This is the effect of changes of spot on gamma
4/ Effect of Changing Spot on Vega
5/ Effect of changing spot on theta - for ATM theta is large and negative. Theta increases as you move from OTM to ATM and decreases as we move from ATM to ITM
6/ Focusing on the Passing of Time, we know that passage of Time affects risk differently. Nominal Vega typically declines over time. Shorter-term options have higher theta. Moving away from ATM reduces it. Overall, risk tends to decline with time. As time passes, an option's risk profile changes - from ATM to more of a wing option. This gradual shift affects the delta and other Greeks, influencing risk exposure.
7/ Focusing on IV, its changes affect risk in two ways: a general shift across the curve and relative shifts among different options. These changes impact the position's vega and other risk dimensions. As IV falls, risk should also go down as potential for action is also reduced, the opposite when IV moves up
In a next thread we will discuss how these affect your delta
1/Tomorrow is OpEx. Understanding OpEx is important for traders, this is when options contracts expire and lose their value. This period can significantly impact investment strategies and market movements. Let's break it down a little 🧵
2/ Expiration Dynamics: Options differ from stocks due to their expiration dates. Post-expiration, options can't be exercised and hold no value. Expiration can thus bring market volatility.
3/ Standardized Expiration Cycles. Options follow weekly, monthly, or quarterly expiration cycles. The specific expiration week depends on these cycles, bringing unique trading opportunities and challenges. You can find expiration calendar at CBOE. Link here cdn.cboe.com/resources/opti…
1/ SPX is in negative gamma. What does that mean? Let's understand the difference between Positive and Negative Gamma. Gamma conditions significantly influence investment strategies and risk exposure. Let's delve into how these conditions affect market dynamics and trading decisions Let's review tonight 🧵👇
2/ Market Makers and Gamma. MM profit not from directional moves but from trade spreads. Their delta hedging varies based on whether they are in a positive or negative gamma condition
3/ Positive gamma is typically associated with long options positions, for example long calls or long puts. The same can be said for multi-leg strategies. Long Straddles or Strangles and Long Options spreads are positive gamma. When your strategy is long gamma, you benefit from spot price moments. Gamma scalping is an example of a strategy that benefits from a positive gamma condition.
1/ A quick look at Gamma in Options including for 0DTE to close the day. Gamma is a crucial Greek in options trading (we all know that at this point), indicating how sensitive an option's delta is to changes in the underlying asset's price. Let's explore the key factors affecting gamma next 🧵
2/ Strike Price vs. Spot Price. Gamma is highest for ATM options, as they are highly sensitive to spot price changes. Far OTM options, with a delta near 0%, show little to no gamma. Simple chart 👇
3/ ATM Options and Gamma. ATM options, hovering around a 50% delta, react significantly to even slight changes in the spot price. This heightened sensitivity results in higher gamma. Another simple chart here
1/ A bit of Waller and pre Vixperation gave the market a little excitement. Today last trading day for VIX. Let's see how the key levels can help you risk manage. While it is impossible to have 100% accurate models, we can still use them as support. Let's take a look 👀🧵
2/ Starting from (1). We opened right at the Call resistance 0DTE. We could also see from NetGex, OI and BMO volumes that that looked like a solid level for the market to bounce off. We wrote a thread about it yesterday
3/ Then (2) we moved to the GEX level 2. This is a key level but not a major level. It uses NetGex to identify secondary key levels. You can find more about these levels here. Ultimately when the price reaches one of these levels, we want to look at what volumes are doing around that particular strikes. Working on intraday data, that should help you with this. menthorq.com/guide/gex-leve…
1/ 📉 Long Weekend Education Thread: What is the Volatility Smile? The volatility smile shows how implied volatility changes across different strike prices for options with the same underlying asset and expiration. It's a key concept in options trading 🧵
2/ 📊 Characteristics of the Smile. This pattern arises as IV increases for options that are deep In-The-Money (ITM) or Out-of-The-Money (OTM), while it's generally lower for At-The-Money (ATM) options.
3/ 📈 Equity Smile Curve For equities, the left side of the smile curve (representing OTM puts) often steepens. This reflects market fears and a rush to buy protective puts in downturns, spiking IV
1/ 📊💰 Exploring the Hottest Options Trade of 2023: 0DTE (Zero-Day to Expiration) 🚀
Wall Street's "quant" community is buzzing about the latest trend in options trading: 0DTE derivative contracts. These contracts have zero days to expiration and have gained immense popularity among banks and investors alike.
We summarized this BB article in this thread, some interesting takes 🧵
2/ Wall Street's Embrace: Banks like Citigroup, JPMorgan Chase, and UBS, which specialize in developing systematic equity products, have jumped on the 0DTE bandwagon. Teams responsible for quantitative investment strategies (QIS) have started incorporating 0DTE options into their portfolios.
3/Liquidity and Acceptance: 0DTE options have seen rapid acceptance due to their liquidity and versatility. They are used for everything from low-cost volatility bets to portfolio diversification. Professional investors are leveraging bespoke 0DTE strategies.