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Tim Hogan 浩勤 Profile picture
@TimInHonolulu
Jan 27 • 4 tweets • 1 min read • Read on X
1. I've been DC docket watching for years. Since Jan 17 there have been 7 sealed cases in the Art III docket and during that time there were many Jan 6 cases, not sealed, that to me evidence actions of a Jan 6 grand jury. Many sealed cases are filed because of a need to effect
2. an arrest but often they are unsealed shortly after filing. None of these cases has been unsealed. The time from Perry's phone being accessed is still short in the context of a large investigation but if it was needed mostly ti corroborate other evidence then the time
3. required to bring charges might be compressed. Perry emerging after Twitter silence since November 15 with posts that IMO strongly suggest he's a target and is establishing a selective prosecution defense, combine with the primary calendar to lead me the conclusion
4. something's coming soon.😎

Tony. Cue the music. via @YouTube

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More from @TimInHonolulu

Tim Hogan 浩勤 Profile picture
Jan 28
1. For a typical supersedeas appeal bond Trump would have to post about $120 million with the court to stay the Carroll judgment collection pending appeal. I think he worked out some deal in his first judgment that was effectively bonded by a surety but I need to confirm details.
2. With the boom about to be lowered in the NYAG case combined with the former admission that his available case was $400 million, he'll likely be bordering on insolvency. If E Jean Carroll's attorneys demand a full cash deposit in the court of $120 million and he
3. gets at least a $200 million hit in NYAG case, he's going to have to file another Chapter 11. But that may only slow down his demise.

The Carroll judgments are for intentional misconduct and the NY AG case is fraud and arguably a police power enforcement. Either way with
Read 5 tweets
Tim Hogan 浩勤 Profile picture
Jan 20
1. My research concluded it is highly likely that they met during WWII in the South Pacific theater where these naval intelligence officers' jealous hatred of rich-boy JFK, who got all the girls, was formed. Additional member of the dramatis personae? Gerald Ford who was there.
2. After JFK was assassinated, Ford, who directed the Warren investigation, worked to pull his old war buddy out of a funk and get him to run for office. Why was Bush in a funk? Because, as a CIA plans or operations officer, he knew that members of his Operation
3. Zapata crew did it. That's the truth we are still hiding.
When a little kid gets a full set of blue Warren Report volumes as a child for Christmas this is what you get. And fun fact: they also got Nixon because that was also the Bush41 Zapata crew. But to get Ford in place Image
Read 4 tweets
Tim Hogan 浩勤 Profile picture
Jan 15
1. The Constitution's grant of speech and debate immunity to members of Congress was clarified in the 14th Am were we made clear that there was no immunity for words that called for the overthrow of the Republic. Barry Loudermilk is attempting to intimidate Cassidy Hutchinson.
2. The evidence strongly suggest that Loudermilk was an active participant in planning the attack on the Capitol. He can and must be banned from office and actions should commence to remove him from Congress. The focus on elections is misplaced. The ban can remove sitting
Image
Image
3. members by its terms and does not need to be limited to the qualifications for an election. The DOJ must begin to charge the members of Congress who engaged in insurrection with 18 U.S. Code § 2383 - Rebellion or insurrection and impose the ban upon conviction.
Read 6 tweets
Tim Hogan 浩勤 Profile picture
Jan 13
1. Got up early this week to listen to DC appeals court oral argument. I posted earlier I expected a hypothetical about Trump killing someone important. So if I knew it was coming certainly John Sauer expected it. I was and remain baffled at his admission that Trump wants
2. the court to okay murdering a political rival. In an oral argument a lawyer has to be ready to establish the outer limits of the ruling. Sauer came up with the power of a dictator. Why? In some cases you might try to go to a more extreme position than the court was likely to
3. adopt in hopes that they might split the baby and fall somewhere shore of it but still be acceptable to your client, but Sauer went full Kim Jon Un. Why? The only thing I can think of to come out with a position so extreme that it's almost certain that the court will
Read 5 tweets
Tim Hogan 浩勤 Profile picture
Jan 13
1. When bankruptcy lawyers see a case like the @NewYorkStateAG case against Trump about to enter a final money judgment that the defendant is unlikely to be able to pay in full upon entry, the only thing on their mind is whether the soon-to-be judgment debtor is ready to file.
2. Not a NY state practitioner but in general terms the entry will allow the state to perfect judgment liens. Most states allow it encumber real estate by recording it. Generally a writ of execution is needed to perfect liens on personal property. Once that is all done and
3. 90 days passes, the judgment debtor who failed to file in time has a new secured creditor to deal with in the bankruptcy that the absolute priority rule makes very hard to ignore in a Chapter 11 plan. So rational people file. My point in this is that it is possible
Read 7 tweets
Tim Hogan 浩勤 Profile picture
Jan 9
1. It appears that the DC Court of Appeals will broadcast the Trump oral argument live via YouTube. Here's the link. It says it starts at 4:30am that I'm guessing is just Hawaii time. 😎 9:30 am in DC sounds more reasonable. youtube.com/USCourtsCADC
2. Trump's brief failed to put limits on the scope of his immunity claim. I'd imagine his attorney will spend a lot of time dodging hypotheticals that could range wide to possibly include shooting people on 5th Ave but the one I want to hear is immunity for staging a coup.
3. His absurd approach likely gave the panel the liberty to craft a draft opinion that might be ready to go in short order. Fingers crossed.
Read 11 tweets

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