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Alex גדעון בן װעלװל Profile picture
@JewishWonk
Jan 30, 2024 • 31 tweets • 10 min read • Read on X
Thread tracking Rep Bowman in this election year
Not great, Bob!
What was he starstruck by? Finkelstein's book "The Holocaust Industry" whose talking points every antisemite knows by heart?
There's an enthusiasm gap in this primary
Bowman has one of the largest Jewish constituencies in America, with over 200,000 Jews, many of whom have family in Israel, in his district. He knows he is unpopular with them.

Last night, the IDF rescued two hostages.

This is what Bowman wrote an hour after it was announced. Image
Not content to do 9/11 conspiracies, Rep. Bowman also engages in mass rape denial following Hamas's invasion of Israeli towns. Does he know how many of his constituents have family in Israel and heard it first hand from survivors? I think he will find out

First polling I've seen of Bowman's primary. Hint: this is really bad for Bowman
No adjustment to Bowman's campaign. He is telling voters to associate him with the squad and his opposition to Israel. I'm sure if he loses there will be no reflection on campaign strategy, just that nefarious AIPAC which right now is a "paper tiger."

Lots of leftists will have their narrative about what cost Bowman his primary (hint: Jewish money) but if he actually loses it will be because he is running a bad campaign and his opponent is running a good one.
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Iran directly fired ballistic missiles and drones at Israeli population centers. Today Congress is condemning that attack. Bowman voted against it. Voters in NY-16 should be aware that their representative sides with America's enemies.
When the write ups for Bowman's primary are made, leftists will fixate on money, but they'll never acknowledge Bowman's complete disinterest in talking to Jewish constituents who disagree with him, and how that takes him to stupid places.
Bowman hosts a fundraiser outside of his district with a CAIR leader who praised Hamas's mass murder on October 7. This is an easy self-own to avoid, but it seems clear that Bowman wants to be associated with such people.
Latimer picks up another Democratic club endorsement. This follows the endorsements from Democratic committees from Eastchester, Rye City, Rye Town, White Plains, Pelham, Mamaroneck, Harrison, Scarsdale, Greenburgh, Yonkers and Mount Vernon.

Bowman's love of conspiracy theories apparently continues to the present day.
Bowman plays coy about whether Israel should continue to exist as a Jewish majority state. This will surely play well with his Jewish constituents.
Bowman deploys classic antisemitic stereotypes to talk about the pro-Israel lobby AIPAC and its role in Congress. This will do wonders to correct the impression that he believes antisemitic conspiracies.
Latimer racks up more endorsements from Democrats, this time in Bowman's home turf.
Bowman previously opposed BDS.

Struggling with Jewish voters ahead of a heated primary, he opts to endorse BDS to secure support from a socialist party.
thedailybeast.com/dem-rep-bowman…
Bowman says October 7 was a provoked attack because Israel is an "apartheid" state. Messaging designed to antagonize Jewish voters.
Independent polling shows Latimer continues to lead over Bowman, though with a large chunk of undecided remaining.
Hillary Clinton, who enjoys strong support in Westchester and has a residence there, endorses Latimer over Bowman.
Bowman continues to double down on antisemitic tropes ahead of his primary.
Latimer continues to rack up endorsements, this time from the leader of the NY State Democratic party
Bowman is giving up on trying to persuade voters he has alienated and is focusing instead on a turnout strategy designed to increase youth turnout.
Good summary in @J_Insider on how thoroughly Bowman has alienated his Jewish constituents
jewishinsider.com/2024/06/rep-ja…
@J_Insider With early voting already underway, Bowman finally apologizes for denying that Hamas systematically raped Israeli women and calling that propaganda. Probably would have been wiser to do this sooner.

Jews in NY-16 are mobilizing the community to get out and vote.

"People feel like antisemitism is on the ballot and they feel like, for the first time, we are a community at risk.”
Bowman has a GOTV rally a week into voting being underway. It was on Shabbat when many of his more religious Jewish constituents wouldn't be able to view it.

It was... interesting.
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Betting markets are expecting a Latimer win
News sites begin to project Latimer as winner

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More from @JewishWonk

Alex גדעון בן װעלװל Profile picture
Jul 8
Something I see a lot of online is Jewish leftists who romanticize the Bund's socialist ethos and anti-Zionism while missing key points of what the Bund was actually about. Quick thread.
1) The Bund was mainly a political movement in and for Eastern Europe. The debates of today, in different geographies, languages, and circumstances do not neatly map on to the politics of that era.
2) It's true that the Bund was an anti-Zionist movement. It was also anti-assimilation. Doikayt ("hereness") was about grounding Jewish life in the lived, local experience of Jews in Eastern Europe.
Read 19 tweets
Alex גדעון בן װעלװל Profile picture
Jul 1
I get the anger, but I don't believe this is the right read of what motivates a specific subset of Jews to support the far left. They are not self-hating and they are not embarrassed to be Jews.

Thread.
1) The average American Jew isn’t raised with deep Jewish literacy. I should know, I was raised the same way.

Most go through public school or secular private school. Holocaust education, bnei mitzvah, and *maybe* a trip to Israel. That’s the foundation and it’s thin.
Being in a room full of Jews is not a regular experience for them. They might have grandparents who had antisemitic experiences but their own Jewish life is largely secular and around a secular calendar. Hebrew and Torah are foreign. No exposure to Jewish thought after age 13.
Read 12 tweets
Alex גדעון בן װעלװל Profile picture
Jun 26
Really into this thing a stream of the left is doing. Israel's conduct doesn't meet the definition of genocide? Let's change the definition.

American Jews tell us our conduct against them in the name of Palestine is antisemitic? Let's change the definition of antisemitism.
Can’t dunk? Redefine dunking to include layups.

Can’t cook? Redefine “cooking” as anyone who’s seen a stove.
Didn’t read the book? Redefine watching the movie as reading.

Reality getting in the way? Just redefine it. Problem solved.
Read 4 tweets
Alex גדעון בן װעלװל Profile picture
Jun 25
I am seeing in public and private a lot of despair and panic from Jews about Mamdani winning the primary. I'd like to offer some advice to calm folks down and effectively respond to the challenges facing us. Thread.
1) This is a common cognitive bias in politics. When you see your opponents win, there is a tendency to see all of their power and all of your helplessness.

We are not helpless. There are more Jews in New York than any city on Earth. We have electoral muscle to throw around.
2) Mamdani did not win because he convinced everyone to become a leftist. He campaigned by softening his image. When confronted by past extreme statements, he simply abandoned many.

That coalition is going to be hard to maintain if he becomes mayor and has to make choices.
Read 10 tweets
Alex גדעון בן װעלװל Profile picture
Jun 25
Mamdani appears to be in the lead. I don't know what the final result will be, but I want to note a few things
1) Candidate quality and energy matters. Mamdani may be an extremist, but that"s not how he packaged himself on social media and that"s not how he was presented by one fawning publication after another.
2) Cuomo, by contrast, wasn't really visible. I personally saw multiple candidates stumping for votes. Never saw Cuomo or his people. I live on the UWS. This neighborhood votes. Didn't even see a sign up at my voting precinct, where everyone for every office had people and signs.
Read 11 tweets
Alex גדעון בן װעלװל Profile picture
Jun 24
CNN is reporting that intelligence produced by the Defense Intelligence Agency (DIA), the Pentagon’s intelligence arm, claiming that the strikes did not destroy the core components of Iran's nuclear program and likely only set it back by months.

I'm skeptical. Thread.
1) This is a single agency perspective. America has 18 intelligence agencies, each with their own methods, biases and cultures. This is not an intelligence community-wide assessment.

This limits perspective and may reflect DIA-specific biases rather than a consensus view.
2) Other publications give us some hints about what information was gathered by the DIA. In Reuters they write "based on a battle damage assessment."

CENTCOM typically uses IMINT (satellite & drones) and SIGINT (electronic interceptions) for early-stage damage assessments. Image
Read 13 tweets

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