🧵CIA chief Bill Burns: “The key to success lies in preserving Western aid for Ukraine. At less than 5% of the U.S. defense budget, it is a relatively modest investment with significant geopolitical returns for the United States and notable returns for American industry.
“Keeping the arms flowing will put Ukraine in a stronger position if an opportunity for serious negotiations emerges. It offers a chance to ensure a long-term win for Ukraine and a strategic loss for Russia; Ukraine could safeguard its sovereignty and rebuild,
“while Russia would be left to deal with the enduring costs of Putin’s folly. For the United States to walk away from the conflict at this crucial moment and cut off support to Ukraine would be an own goal of historic proportions.” foreignaffairs.com/united-states/…
“No one is watching U.S. support for Ukraine more closely than Chinese leaders. China remains the only U.S. rival with both the intent to reshape the international order and the economic, diplomatic, military, and technological power to do so.”
…
“In this volatile, divided world, the weight of the ‘hedging middle’ is growing. Democracies and autocracies, developed economies and developing ones, and countries across the global South are increasingly intent on diversifying their relationships to maximize their options.”
“In this volatile, divided world, the weight of the ‘hedging middle’ is growing. Democracies and autocracies, developed economies and developing ones, and countries across the global South are increasingly intent on diversifying their relationships to maximize their options.”
…
“If past is precedent, Washington ought to be attentive to rivalries between the growing number of middle powers, which have historically helped spark collisions between major ones.”
“If past is precedent, Washington ought to be attentive to rivalries between the growing number of middle powers, which have historically helped spark collisions between major ones.”
“The crisis precipitated by Hamas’s butchery in Israel on Oct. 7…is a painful reminder of the complexity of the choices that the Middle East continues to pose for the U.S….the United States has to navigate with care and discipline, avoid overreach, and use its influence wisely.
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