Ian Ellis Profile picture
Feb 2 5 tweets 2 min read Read on X
🚨U.S. military strikes in retaliation for a deadly attack on U.S. troops have started in Syria, a U.S. official confirmed to ABC.

Illustrative strike package & thread with live updates: Image
Breaking news from ABC: Image
Despite some conflicting reports, more sources are confirming the U.S. air campaign has begun. @JenGriffinFNC & Fox News confirming earlier reporting from @LMartinezABC & ABC.
@JenGriffinFNC @LMartinezABC U.S. SECDEF yesterday: “They have a lot of capability. I have a lot more. We're going to do what's necessary to protect our troops & our interests.”

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More from @ianellisjones

Jan 31
Heightened Chinese military activity around Taiwan in January:

• 300+ aircraft & 135 warships detected
• Significant attack on Taiwan's sovereignty & airspace with daily violations
• Notice the flight paths cluster around major cities, air & naval bases & red beaches

Quick🧵 Image
Since Taiwan’s election on 13 January, there has been a considerable increase in Chinese PLA military activity around the island.

Starting a new thread below with updates since I posted this 👇
Major military activity is underway in the region across several critical flashpoints:
Read 5 tweets
Jan 28
China likely to demonstrate “force against Taiwan in the near term,” said the head of U.S. Indo-Pacific Command.

We could be seeing that now. 10 things you may have missed (as always, from accounts to follow) 👇 Image
“I don't know how you connect those dots, but they're pretty effective in the information space. Doesn't have to be true. They've just got to say it enough times.” —Admiral Acquilino

Below, I try to connect a few dots & shed light on China's military aggression in the region.
Two-thirds of American experts believe that a Taiwan Strait crisis is likely in 2024, according to CSIS.

“In the next couple of years, a blockade or quarantine is more likely than an invasion. That has a lot to do with the capabilities China has. A blockade is more feasible.”
Read 22 tweets
Jan 26
I’m tracking a Russian surface action group/flotilla operating east of Taiwan🧵

Chinese military activity around the island has been elevated over the past few days.

VINSON CSG is underway nearby & carrier USS THEODORE ROOSEVELT is in the Pacific—steaming toward the action. Image
Updates below.
Thread tracking the surge in Chinese military activity over the past few days:
Japan’s Joint Staff Office is tracking 3 Russian warships—most recently operating east of Taiwan as of 26 January. Image
Read 8 tweets
Jan 21
Another wild week as the Middle East Powder Keg heats up.

10 things you may have missed (all from accounts you should follow) 👇 Image
Yesterday, in less than 24 hours, missile attacks were carried out in Syria, Lebanon, Iraq, & Yemen—showcasing the growing risk of a wider regional conflict pitting Iran & proxies against the U.S. & allies.

Updates below. Quick 🧵 about the Pentagon’s expectations vs reality:
Over the past week, missile & drone attacks were conducted in Israel, Gaza, Lebanon, Syria, Iraq, Iran, Pakistan, Yemen, & the Red Sea by state & non-state actors.
Read 19 tweets
Jan 20
First map shows the Middle East conflict described by the Pentagon: contained in Gaza—no wider regional war.

The second shows what's played out as Iran + proxies drive a dangerous cycle of escalation, including a large attack today on U.S. forces.

More detailed thread tomorrow.
Image
Image
In the past week, since the U.S. & U.K. launched retaliatory strikes against the Houthis in Yemen:

- On 11 Jan, U.S., U.K., & Allies conducted large-scale strikes against 60+ Houthi targets at 28 locations—for the first time since the conflict began
- Today: large attack on U.S. forces at an airbase in Iraq by Iranian-backed militants
- Iran attacked 3 countries in 48 hours (Pakistan, Iraq, Syria), hijacked a ship & took hostages, & caught sending ballistic missile components to Yemen
- In a proportional tit-for-tat response to Iran's attack, Pakistan struck multiple targets in Iran
- 140+ attacks now on U.S. forces in Iraq & Syria (confirmed by DOD), U.S. responded with precision strikes 10+ times (& gunship sorties)
- The U.S. followed up with an additional 6 rounds of strikes, targeting key Houthi infrastructure
- Houthis continue to attack commercial shipping & U.S. Navy ships, with at least 35 incidents recorded (more than 5 since the 11th)Image
The latest attack is a significant escalation. Several U.S. injuries. Ballistic missiles hit U.S. base. Expect significant U.S. retaliation.

- U.S. forces targeted @ al-Assad Airbase, Iraq
- Multiple ballistic missiles & rockets launched by Iranian-backed militants
- Most missiles intercepted by air defense systems while others impacted on the base
- A number of U.S. personnel have traumatic brain injuries
Read 7 tweets
Jan 20
Two more U.S. aircraft carriers underway in the Atlantic

⑴ USS HARRY S. TRUMAN began sea trials today after 12-month modernization, deploying mid-2024

⑵ USS GEORGE WASHINGTON left Sunday, preparing for a 2024 Pacific deployment

10 of America's 11 aircraft carriers are active Image
In December 2023, Nimitz-class aircraft carrier USS HARRY S. TRUMAN (CVN 75) returned to Naval Station Norfolk following a 12-month maintenance period—focused on modernization efforts, structural repair, & preservation work.
The U.S. Navy released a statement at the time saying that TRUMAN would complete sea trials & begin workups in preparation for its next deployment in early 2024. Image
Read 9 tweets

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