Despite some conflicting reports, more sources are confirming the U.S. air campaign has begun. @JenGriffinFNC & Fox News confirming earlier reporting from @LMartinezABC & ABC.
@JenGriffinFNC @LMartinezABC U.S. SECDEF yesterday: “They have a lot of capability. I have a lot more. We're going to do what's necessary to protect our troops & our interests.”
Heightened Chinese military activity around Taiwan in January:
• 300+ aircraft & 135 warships detected
• Significant attack on Taiwan's sovereignty & airspace with daily violations
• Notice the flight paths cluster around major cities, air & naval bases & red beaches
Quick🧵
Since Taiwan’s election on 13 January, there has been a considerable increase in Chinese PLA military activity around the island.
Starting a new thread below with updates since I posted this 👇
China likely to demonstrate “force against Taiwan in the near term,” said the head of U.S. Indo-Pacific Command.
We could be seeing that now. 10 things you may have missed (as always, from accounts to follow) 👇
“I don't know how you connect those dots, but they're pretty effective in the information space. Doesn't have to be true. They've just got to say it enough times.” —Admiral Acquilino
Below, I try to connect a few dots & shed light on China's military aggression in the region.
Two-thirds of American experts believe that a Taiwan Strait crisis is likely in 2024, according to CSIS.
“In the next couple of years, a blockade or quarantine is more likely than an invasion. That has a lot to do with the capabilities China has. A blockade is more feasible.”
Another wild week as the Middle East Powder Keg heats up.
10 things you may have missed (all from accounts you should follow) 👇
Yesterday, in less than 24 hours, missile attacks were carried out in Syria, Lebanon, Iraq, & Yemen—showcasing the growing risk of a wider regional conflict pitting Iran & proxies against the U.S. & allies.
Updates below. Quick 🧵 about the Pentagon’s expectations vs reality:
Over the past week, missile & drone attacks were conducted in Israel, Gaza, Lebanon, Syria, Iraq, Iran, Pakistan, Yemen, & the Red Sea by state & non-state actors.
First map shows the Middle East conflict described by the Pentagon: contained in Gaza—no wider regional war.
The second shows what's played out as Iran + proxies drive a dangerous cycle of escalation, including a large attack today on U.S. forces.
More detailed thread tomorrow.
In the past week, since the U.S. & U.K. launched retaliatory strikes against the Houthis in Yemen:
- On 11 Jan, U.S., U.K., & Allies conducted large-scale strikes against 60+ Houthi targets at 28 locations—for the first time since the conflict began
- Today: large attack on U.S. forces at an airbase in Iraq by Iranian-backed militants
- Iran attacked 3 countries in 48 hours (Pakistan, Iraq, Syria), hijacked a ship & took hostages, & caught sending ballistic missile components to Yemen
- In a proportional tit-for-tat response to Iran's attack, Pakistan struck multiple targets in Iran
- 140+ attacks now on U.S. forces in Iraq & Syria (confirmed by DOD), U.S. responded with precision strikes 10+ times (& gunship sorties)
- The U.S. followed up with an additional 6 rounds of strikes, targeting key Houthi infrastructure
- Houthis continue to attack commercial shipping & U.S. Navy ships, with at least 35 incidents recorded (more than 5 since the 11th)
The latest attack is a significant escalation. Several U.S. injuries. Ballistic missiles hit U.S. base. Expect significant U.S. retaliation.
- U.S. forces targeted @ al-Assad Airbase, Iraq
- Multiple ballistic missiles & rockets launched by Iranian-backed militants
- Most missiles intercepted by air defense systems while others impacted on the base
- A number of U.S. personnel have traumatic brain injuries
Two more U.S. aircraft carriers underway in the Atlantic
⑴ USS HARRY S. TRUMAN began sea trials today after 12-month modernization, deploying mid-2024
⑵ USS GEORGE WASHINGTON left Sunday, preparing for a 2024 Pacific deployment
10 of America's 11 aircraft carriers are active
In December 2023, Nimitz-class aircraft carrier USS HARRY S. TRUMAN (CVN 75) returned to Naval Station Norfolk following a 12-month maintenance period—focused on modernization efforts, structural repair, & preservation work.
The U.S. Navy released a statement at the time saying that TRUMAN would complete sea trials & begin workups in preparation for its next deployment in early 2024.